Miscellaneous News

Chevalier

Major
Registered Member


Trump wants to drink Londons milkshake, specifically the lucrative monopolistic pricing power of insurance, long held by Lloyd’s of London. I’m surprised the Americans haven’t done this earlier, but trump being the nationalist that he is would naturally want all the power to himself. The U.S. UK transatlantic partnership probably keeps Lloyd’s more relevant than it should have. It’s similar to the capital market rivalry between New York and London stock exchanges.

Another thing, in insurance, Trump has no choice, in times of catastrophe like a major bushfire or a war in this case, the state will have to step in as the insurer of last resort. It’s the only way to get those ships moving. The issue I see is the clear conflict of interest because trump is most likely going to use US debt as security for that guarantee, which means more printing, more debt.

Bit of background: maritime insurance is actually the oldest and first forms of insurance, back in the day traders from Europe to China would all collectively pool their money and split their cargoes across different ships in a trading fleet, so if they lost one ship to storms, piracy etc, they’d still get a payout.
 

AssassinsMace

Lieutenant General

Trump thought Iran was going turn out exactly like Venezuela…? Now Trump wants the US Navy to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz. Apparently Trump didn’t see Iran attacking other countries than Israel even believing that Iran wouldn’t dare attack the US bases in those countries. Is that the same logic of why he thinks he can use the US Navy to escort ships because Iran wouldn’t dare…?
 

Bellum_Romanum

Brigadier
Registered Member
China isn't a small oil producer itself, once ME is removed from the equation China+Russia is only 15% less production than US+Canada, then you consider Russia is exclusive to China while Canada isn't exclusive to US, and that China is at 50% EV sales right now, while there will be a reduction in energy supply, China is actually the best positioned among all countries, US included, to deal with a cut to ME oil.

Besides China cut a deal with the Houthis, it's not unthinkable for China to cut a deal with Iran to let China-bound tankers through, in exchange for increased covert military support, Iran wins, China wins, Arab countries win, the west loses.
To echo what you mentioned about China as an OIL PRODUCING country. It ranks NUMBER 3 in the world in terms of having the biggest oil fields in the world. The other four are concentrated in the Middle East.

 

Bellum_Romanum

Brigadier
Registered Member
It’s true that China will be dealing with unreasonable oil price spikes pretty soon if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. That could be why the Chinese leadership reached out to Iran around keeping it open.

While Iran may or may not comply, I would encourage China to practice dealing with oil supply shocks like these because the US is surely watching how China responds to an oil embargo, and planning to use it as future leverage.
China has a diversified portfolio of energy sources—including coal, solar, wind, nuclear, gas, and yes, oil. Not to mention that its insistence on sticking with Russia for strategic reasons is now going to pay massive dividends, unlike the situation that EU countries are soon to find themselves in: higher prices equal higher cost of living for their people, leading to uncompetitive economies. Couple that with the pressure and necessity to compete with the U.S. and China for AI supremacy and relevancy, and one has to wonder how the EU is even going to get there.
 

pmc

Colonel
Registered Member
To echo what you mentioned about China as an OIL PRODUCING country. It ranks NUMBER 3 in the world in terms of having the biggest oil fields in the world. The other four are concentrated in the Middle East.

He missed this one. This Exxon- Rosneft $500b project post Crimea was scale down and than new technologies developed that Russia is now offering $14T worth of Projects to US.
when that OPEC+ was created Russia got much indepth understanding of rest of OPEC countries and true value of Soft Power and that major reason Russia is not that much into Oil/Gas.

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Vostok Oil on track to become a huge Russian oil project
 
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