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LawLeadsToPeace

LawLeadsToPeace

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Bellum_Romanum said:
Just imagine if even 1% of Canada's population decide to fight back against the Americans via guerilla tactics; were looking at 400,000 people approximately! That's more than the Taliban was able to muster against the Americans.
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The Taliban had external support the US couldn’t squash since that would require the OBVIOUS (not covert) and large scale violation of the sovereignty of Pakistan. In addition, those places are very hard to access physically, and the Taliban are religious zealots. Canada has none of that. I won’t even get into the force readiness of Canada, which is just abysmal.
 
plawolf

plawolf

Lieutenant General
Bellum_Romanum said:
Just imagine if even 1% of Canada's population decide to fight back against the Americans via guerilla tactics; were looking at 400,000 people approximately! That's more than the Taliban was able to muster against the Americans.
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The key to a successful insurgency is coordination, control and strong external support via supplies and training bases. Otherwise it’s just a bunch of lone wolves doing lone wolf attacks.

In an actual fight against a real military that will just translate to 200k body bags and 200k additional slave Labour for America’s for-profit prison system. All for minimal American military losses.

Canada is not a country well suited to living off the land. Its vast size and inhospitable climate will also be problems for irregulars fighting against a modern army with modern tech. So supplies, shelter and transportation are all massive problems for insurgences. You will face persistent enemy drone surveillance, airborne thermal imaging that will work especially well in the Canadian cold to pick up warm bodies. And even if you do get to a target and mount an attack, it’s a long haul to safety and enemy air assets can easily catch you in the open.

Against modern tech, the wilderness is no longer your ally and friend.
 
manqiangrexue

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
Machiavelli said:
This is the exact thinking in the U.S. and why the U.S is calculating a potential nuclear war in the Pacific and its losses. A "limited" and "contained" nuclear war absorbed by the Phillipines, Japan, and Taiwan are acceptable loses, as it also is a potential conflict where the U.S can absorb the industrial capacities, investments, and human capital of those nations, should war break out, which aligns with the U.S effort to reindustrialize. Think Germany, as it is now losing its manufacturing base at an unprecedented rate unseen for over 80 years, and why Japan is openly stating it is pursuing nuclear deterrence capabilities. Make no mistake, Japan's nuclearization is supported by the U.S bipartisan behind the scene.
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Of course, the US is desperate enough for anything at this point but

1. It's different to goad China at America's behest for some game of ship-chicken, but who would actually do it knowing they will die in nuclear retaliation and have absolutely no sympathy from the world because they started a nuclear conflict?

2. China can make it apparent that countries with military treaties with the US will be regarded as the same as the US; a nuclear attack from Japan is regarded the same as a nuclear attack from the US. Then the US has to calculate how to get around it and how to separate from each other to the extent needed where China does not regard them as the same military entity. That opens a whole new can of worms; did they just allow Japan to become a nuclear military power only to have them separate from under the US umbrella and realize that the don't want to confront China but would rather work with it against the country that nuked Japan twice?

3. My solution stands. Science moves forward, not backward, and any nation has limited options on preventing another nation from gaining a technology. In order to be on the right side of both principles, China's main focus should be on increasing its own abilities to inflict damage more devastating than the traditional nuke and its abilities to counter nuclear launches towards itself. Spending an equal amount of effort but in counter to those 2 principles by doing everything we can to prevent Japan from becoming nuclear, will yield far less results, if any at all. Do this right and the implications and benefits will go far beyond Japan; the world world will fear China's new power.
 
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taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
jli88 said:
Not just photoresist, Japan is an integral supplier of many components, chemicals, precision tools that go in all sorts of stuff. Even if everything could be replaced, it will have a big impact at least temporarily on China's own supply chain.
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Mutual blockade will certainly hurt both sides, everybody knows it. The real meaningful question is who is going to be the last man standing, who can survive by successfully replacing imports and who is going to starve to death. All wars have cost, if China is afraid of the cost there wouldn't be the sanction today.

jli88 said:
I can bet this will be implemented selectively against Japan's MIC only, not as others are saying to deindustrialize Japan or the like.
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The statement of China's MOFCOM is as follow, I quote
为维护国家安全和利益、履行防扩散等国际义务，根据《中华人民共和国出口管制法》和《中华人民共和国两用物项出口管制条例》等法律法规有关规定，中方决定禁止所有两用物项向日本军事用户、军事用途，以及一切有助于提升日本军事实力的其他最终用户用途出口。任何国家和地区的组织和个人，违反上述规定，将原产于中华人民共和国的相关两用物项转移或提供给日本的组织和个人，将依法追究法律责任。

"any final usage which and user who may assist Japan's military capability"

Of course you may hope MOFCOM being lenient in action, but I think most people here is talking about what MOFCOM officially declared that is everything is on the table. The key is to create presure and give the oponent room to turn around instead of going nuts. This "any" is the room for bargain. It means industrial players other than MIC will be touched/scratched/demaged depending on the coming play. Total deindustrialization may be a word too strong but severely demage industrial base is real, and can be called partial deinustrialization if one want.
 
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generalmeng

Junior Member
Registered Member
LawLeadsToPeace said:
The Taliban had external support the US couldn’t squash since that would require the OBVIOUS (not covert) and large scale violation of the sovereignty of Pakistan. In addition, those places are very hard to access physically, and the Taliban are religious zealots. Canada has none of that. I won’t even get into the force readiness of Canada, which is just abysmal.
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the CAF is not even ready for fat camp.

the number of bright red dyed hair, and mental chits..... they still couldnt figure out why i left
 
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Thecore

Junior Member
Registered Member
sunnymaxi said:
Trump mocks Macron:

Emmanuel said to me: “Donalddd, you have a deal. I would like to increase my prescription drug prices by 200% or whatever. Whatever you want, Donald, please don’t tell the population, I beg you.”

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008572184659456143
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10,000 more years of Emperor Trump. The impudent eurocucks must be humiliated until they can no longer walk and must all crawl around on their hands and knees for the rest of time. The heavens will it.
 
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