Not disagreeing, but another way to look at it is that the US is going after those who work with or want to work with China, which can indirectly hurt China.
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- Thread starter bd popeye
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Here's what the US and the West would do if they had a proper plan to contain China: they would build close ties with Russia. Russia and China are natural rivals and they have competing interests in the Far East and in Central Asia. Russia would love to get a lot closer to Europe and peoples that they consider culturally tied to. Once upon a time, Russia even tried to join Nato.
But the West went and did the exact opposite: it alienated Russia enough to start a war. And now their relationship is unfixable while the Russia - China relationship is stronger than ever.
I'm going to correct this statement; it should read "which can theoretically hurt China". Because just look at the effects of the American interventions: not only have they been relatively ineffectual, they've actually pushed the targets closer to China's camp. And there's no way to improve the outcomes without actually sending in proper forces and making into a full-blown war. Something like engagin in a full-blown war with Venezuela is about the fastest way to ruin the American strategic position.
can already implies theoretical. Ex: Pakistan is in China's camp but there is no denying that US involvement in the region has hindered CPEC (a Chinese investment), especially the Gwadar Port which is sitting practically idle for the last 10+ years.
plawolf
Lieutenant General
You are not factoring in hard power reality.
The U.S. can dust off decades old playbooks against Russia because the balance of power and geopolitical dynamics at play has not materially changed in all that time.
America can’t do that with China because of the speed and scale of the hard power changes happening in the real world.
An old blockade was perhaps a viable play, in 2008. That’s what Obama and Hillary’s pivot to Asia was all about. Use the other SCS claimants to create a possible choke point in the SCS. That dream was utterly crushed by Chinese hard power building mutually supportive unsinkable carriers in its island bases underpinned by the growing might of the PLAN, PLAAF and PLARF. That study was a decade out of date when it was written, never mind now.
China’s exponential growth and dominance in global manufacturing and supply chains also make even a boycott by China an existential threat to everyone else’s whole economies.
Additional pipelines, HSR and EVs are all working to massively reduce China’s crude oil needs. Factor in transition to war economy and economic China could easily not need any sea based oil supplies to continue to live and fight comfortably indefinitely. China has utterly turned the tables where now it’s the west that is in existential danger from being cut off from China’s exports.
Indeed, one of China’s actual diplomatic challenges in the event of a major war is how to preserve its diplomatic relations with 3rd party nations while also not opening a backdoor for western MIC to resupply via industrial scale smuggling from said 3rd party nations. An American blockade would literally solve that problem for China, where China gets to close that possible loophole and not take any of the blame. Wonderful 6d move Americans.
Its normal in developed world. India which already lacks clean environment and nutrients for its population is adding another variable of late age birth. which will ensure that it will never become a developed country.
I dont think so. Russia does not want to weaken Erdogan. Russia problem with Turkey it is too European and its Erdogan lack of competence that he could not transform the country.
Some bridge in Sichuan partially collapsed due to landslides and other conditions. The bridge was already closed on Monday coz cracks started appearing. So no reported casualties.
Still though expect westoid media etc to spam this a lot for a few days on the whole tofu bridge thing. They really need a win against China so they will try to use this one occasion.
Here's a video.
It looks like it was not the bridge that actually collapsed. The hillside where the connecting road was built went down, taking a piece of the bridge with it.
Putin has extremely negative view of Europe or for that matter Russians. he invented the term Westernizer. Everything changes except one thing and that is the stick Putin is using internally. he consider his personal success this Abrahamic Accords which Kazakhstan Joined recently. I posted this Mi-38 pilot interview
Another example of why every country needs a GFW, like this is such dumb smearing that any independent news agency can filter but since Americans have Internet dominance they can just use saturation attack with brainrot to change the global opinion on basically anything.
This is why BRICS hype is laughable and the one true ally of China will be DPRK only. (Not a bad thing)