I don't know why people keep looking at this as China helping Iran. China isn't in the business to hand out charities, it would intervene in Iran for its own benefit. Iran would benefit too, but they'll have to pay for it as I listed already in my previous posts. The deal can work because in that case the interests would align. If they don't then China won't intervene, as it hasn't at least not overtly.
Just to repeat my reasoning for Chinese intervention. In the event of AR, the expected Western response is a blockade far from Chinese shores in the IOR. China does not have the expeditionary force to contest this effectively, it will need to rely on land links to help "port hop" its way west, and Iran would be a key part of it. Now, do you think it's easier to do this now or wait until US troops are entrenched in Iran with the backing of a puppet government?
Current regime is functionally a democracy so within the framework of the regime, the most likely outcome is that the reform party is 100% discredited and the new opposition to the conservatives will disagree with them only in domestic policy and how exactly to be hardline.Best case scenario would be for the current regime to barely hang on throughout the conflict, and shortly afterward be replaced afterwards by a new secular, nationalist, pragmatic, and anti-imperialist regime with strong domestic support. Wouldn't count on it though.
They sure got really cozy with Modhi's India, ignoring the growing relationship between India Intelligence agencies and the Mossad. And that backfired spectacularly with all the Mossad operations in the country.
TORONTO, June 18 (Reuters) - India is a perpetrator of foreign interference, Canada's intelligence agency said in a report published on Wednesday, just after India's and Canada's prime ministers vowed to strengthen ties at a global summit hosted by Canada.
India is a perpetrator of foreign interference, Canadian intelligence agency says
Current Iran certainly has poor understanding of reality but it was not that bad thats why Russia put up for so long with it.Iran just has bad foreign policy from the start to finish, from the moment it's born to this very moment. It rushes forward to declare to Israel, United States, Soviet Union and Sunni Arab states as enemies and made no friends.
The situation they are in are their own doing.
In their mind, the only people cool enough for them to appreciate are the Western European, who are unenthuiastic US lackeys and the most you can expect is dragging their feet before eventually toeing the US line. The secularists espacially see themselves as temporarily embarassed westerners.
"In the letter, Khomeini declared that communism was dissolving within the Soviet bloc,[4][5] and invited Gorbachev to consider Islam as an alternative to communist ideology."Current Iran certainly has poor understanding of reality but it was not that bad thats why Russia put up for so long with it.
Soviet Union during Gorbachev time had improved relations with Iran. so much that founder of Iranian revolution wrote a letter to him. I will not put the thinking of real muslims in Russia about this letter
I guess the conspiracy theorists were right about May 7th being a probe attack against Pakistan. Their end goal is to denuclearize any Islamic country. From a geopolitical standpoint it makes sense given how international perception, especially of American Gen Z, have soured post October 7th.
...Maritime approaches by Chinese Navy bring recon ships close to U.S. bases in Korea