Miscellaneous News

GulfLander

Major
Registered Member
"Rabobank global strategist, Michael Every says Donald Trump's trade tariffs are part of his plan for global financial supremacy, and Australia is becoming more likely to be caught in the middle of what is, essentially, a cold war between the US and China. Mr Every says Australia might face a very difficult choice within months - that of choosing between its biggest trading partner, China, and its biggest military ally, the United States.
Mr Every told The Business the US president will not and cannot afford to back down on tariffs, even as criticism from finance and business leaders mounts. He says 'it would be a real surprise to imagine that they would step back just because a few hedge fund managers criticised them', because 'fundamentally what he's trying to do is to change the entire US and therefore the global economic and financial system, away from financialisation and a focus on finance in the US towards production'."

(This seem to be the framing in Aus media recently?)
....

Article by US Sen. Warren?
Her interview abt tariff.

.....

....

 
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zbb

Junior Member
Registered Member
From what I've seen, China sold a little over $50 billion, but this has been going on for some time. It remains to be seen whether they sold bonds massively, which doesn't seem to have been the case yet. The broader explanation for interest rates rising is in my comment above that I responded to.
My understanding is that the reduction in Chinese holdings of US treasuries in recent years mostly came from China not rolling over US treasuries that matured.
 

Mt1701d

Junior Member
Registered Member
Explanation:

Imagine you (a hedge fund) buy bonds and sell futures of the same bond to make a small but well-leveraged arbitrage profit, which gives you a good amount of money.

This operation is called a “basis trade”.

But to have money to do this operation, you need to borrow. And to borrow, you use collateral/pledge (bonds) . But your borrowing cost has exploded due to market instability and you are forced to sell your position (the bond) at a loss.

Can you imagine everyone repeating the same thing by selling bonds?

This is called an “unwind of the basis trade”.

Bond prices fall, INTEREST RATES GO UP.

No, it’s not the death of the dollar (yet)…

Here:
Thanks, now the cause and effect makes more sense!
 

GZDRefugee

Junior Member
Registered Member
"Rabobank global strategist, Michael Every says Donald Trump's trade tariffs are part of his plan for global financial supremacy, and Australia is becoming more likely to be caught in the middle of what is, essentially, a cold war between the US and China. Mr Every says Australia might face a very difficult choice within months - that of choosing between its biggest trading partner, China, and its biggest military ally, the United States.
Mr Every told The Business the US president will not and cannot afford to back down on tariffs, even as criticism from finance and business leaders mounts. He says 'it would be a real surprise to imagine that they would step back just because a few hedge fund managers criticised them', because 'fundamentally what he's trying to do is to change the entire US and therefore the global economic and financial system, away from financialisation and a focus on finance in the US towards production'."

(This seem to be the framing in Aus media recently?)
....

Article by US Sen. Warren?
Her interview abt tariff.

.....

I knew Chamath when he went to UWaterloo. Fucking idiot—nothing has changed, lmao. Guy got to where he is riding on the coattails of others. Mofo did no work.
 

FriedButter

Colonel
Registered Member
I don’t think they have money…

They don’t need to worry about that. MAGA has already said losing money is an illusion. Take out an 500% payday loan and support American billionaires today.

Benny Johnson on crashing markets: “Losing money costs you absolutely nothing”​

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