I been thinking back to Aug 2022 when Pelosi visited Taiwan.
I remember many global south ppl but especially the Russians calling China pussies. I remember one particular Russian guy saying that Japan would never stand for an insult and would immediately invade the country.
Looking back, I bet those guys don't feel so smart now huh? There's a reason Japan lost you know. Unless it's absolutely required, you should never enter a state of war or at least defer it as much as possible. Once you are bogged down in a state of war, you are less flexible in what you can do. Because of Ukraine, Russia who had no issues handling it's influence around the world now finds itself more isolated.
Now let's look at Taiwan right now? Has anything significantly changed so far in Taiwan? Mr Lai is supposed to be a hardcore independence supporter but if I'm his handler, I would be getting rather impatient with his lack of tangible results. I don't see him for example significantly arming Taiwan so it's ready especially now China can openly fire shells over it without anyone caring. I do see he seems to care more about holding power, worshipping Yoon over his failed martial law and trying hard to jail his political rivals. Imagine China entered a war back then just because people on the internet were calling it a pussy.
2 points
1. Lai is a cosplay independence supporter. He will say he supports it, and act like he does, but he won't pull the trigger because he doesn't want to be Assad.
Ultimately the final say is the US president. CSB wanted to go (and in fact was ready, and probably had the best chance given the state of the PLA at the time), but GWB said No (overruling Chaney), because he wanted to concentrate on the Middle East (side lesson, why do people want China to get caught up in the Middle East when it is just decades of mess?)
2. The more relevant example for Chinese history is probably India's annexation of Goa. Nehru's nationalistic fervor turned his country into a pariah and a false sense of superiority drove him to follow up with the disastrous 1962 campaign against China. Meanwhile, China simply bided time with HK and ended up with arguably better results. The Labour party governor MacLehose who is credited with spurring the development of much of the civil development of HK did so under the pretense of not disturbing the relationship with the PRC (he took office after the disruptive communist riots).
This is very wrong, even for the US. CNN gave an interview to Julani, a guy who leads a group formed by Al-Qaeda terrorists who killed many Americans in Iraq and Afghanistan, and now they want to remove the HTS group from the DoS terrorist list, this is a total and widespread betrayal of all Americans who served and died for their country during 20 years of GWOT. Collaborating with the guys who murdered your people is a bizarre attitude and very wrong, even for the US, which has no limits to hypocrisy. If I were an American right now I would be embarrassed.
The stage was already set. Obama visited Vietnam and offered to sell F-16 and other weapons to Vietnam in order to counter China. Vietnam is which is still controlled by the "terrible communist regime" responsible for 10's of thousands of dead Americans. What did they fight for if you are willing to arm the people they fought against?
On /r/hardware, people are still saying 18A is healthy and 10% yield rumors are a lie.... why did their CEO get fired if 18A is healthy and 2-3 quarters away from HVM (based on 0.4 defect rate) ?
Mr. "I bet the entire company on 18A" got fired, but 18A is still Great, trust me bro. The interim co-CEO actually admitted during an investor call that 18A production will be delayed from H1 2025 to H2025, presumably that means the the tape-out.
How can 18A be healthy and the yields better than 10% and still get the CEO fired? Easy, you still haven't signed on any big customers. You're draining billions in new fabs, new EUV machines, but still have minimal prospect of ROI. You could still get fired with 99% yield and no revenue.
Invalidate Nvidia patents the same way Marco boi was trying to do with Huawei... then seize the company/manufacturing assets, force them to opensource CUDA or else cut them off and cripple their ability to make GPUs (its more than just relying on TSMC etc)
nVidia has no manufacturing assets, they are literally called a "fabless" semiconductor company. They are not going to seize the company, but I could believe an open-source CUDA at some point.
