@AndrewS
My point is that the Indians seem to be hunkering down with their Sinophobia. It doesn't seem as though Beijing has any other choice to deal with the Indian problem; Modi seems to be the most Sinophilic Indian PM in years, and we get this.
China seems to only have the choice of strategic neutralization or not strategic neutralization.
Or, we can wait and see how bad coronavirus gets in India and what the strategic repercussions are.
Probably real. India is buying $ 8 billion of French jet fighters(36 planes). Production is 1 plane per month. It will take 36 months to complete the delivery. China should thank the French trade union at the Dassault factory for setting the painfully slow production schedule. The Dassault production workers want to keep their jobs long as possible. I think India just received 3 planes so far. They don't care about India's needs.
The two most effective ways for China to invade Taiwan would be, first, to secure the First and Second Island Chains, and then drop troops and tanks on the undefended Taiwanese Pacific coast. The terrain is a complete nightmare, but when you compare that to a D-Day type invasion, a pincer hitting Taiwan from its mountains would be way more effective than landing on the coastal flats.
Moreover, when you consider how built-up Taiwan is, heavy armor might not be so advantageous given that it's either all mountains or all cities. Better to establish a beachhead from which Chinese artillery can pound Taiwan from the east than to drop into its heavily-defended west.
The other way would simply be to develop the subterrene the Russians keep bragging about, either steal it, buy it, or develop it on your own. Everyone is all thinking amphibious landing scenario, but what happens when you're digging at 20 km a day multiple tunnels to connect Taiwan to the mainland by a series of nigh-indestructable tunnels?
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Put another way, the Boring Company is trying to develop a conventional speed driller without nuclear propulsion. Much safer, much less risky technologically. Their goal is to reach approximately 1 km / day speeds.
Let us say that China develops a tunnel infrastructure to the halfway point along the Taiwan Strait, which averages 180 km. That means it takes 90 days of bombardment and disruption before China can splash multiple tunnels with ZTZ-99s rushing out and attacking an island which is no longer an island.
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It'd cost around 1 trillion USD for any tunnel invasion of Taiwan, but when you consider the alternatives, it's remarkably cheap.
I think @Inst got this idea from the North Koreans lol ... if I'm not mistaken they dug dozens of tunnels to serve as invasion routes after the Korean War. Quite a few were discovered but I'm sure there's more. Of course, digging a tunnel to Taiwan would be astronomically more difficult.That has to be one of the dumbest ideas I’ve ever heard. You can’t keep something like an enormous tunnel construction a secret. Even if everyone in Fujian is tight lipped about it, you can easily detect construction via seismic activities.
Please get back to topic!
Not all imports from China are toys and trinkets, dollar store stuff. Many imports are key industrial products. India import most of its chemical fertilizer from China. Without chemical fertilizer, India's food production would drop by 1/2 or worse. And millions would starve. Why India cannot or unable to manufacture its own chemical fertilizer? I leave that question to some old wise man to answer.
Hahahaha!That has to be one of the dumbest ideas I’ve ever heard. You can’t keep something like an enormous tunnel construction a secret. Even if everyone in Fujian is tight lipped about it, you can easily detect construction via seismic activities.
Please get back to topic!
And even if china secures the beach landing, it faces a arduous task of fighting off Taiwanese gorilla warfare for years. Also remember, Taiwan is a very mountainous country, plenty of places for Taiwanese military to hide.
The two most effective ways for China to invade Taiwan would be, first, to secure the First and Second Island Chains, and then drop troops and tanks on the undefended Taiwanese Pacific coast. The terrain is a complete nightmare, but when you compare that to a D-Day type invasion, a pincer hitting Taiwan from its mountains would be way more effective than landing on the coastal flats.
Moreover, when you consider how built-up Taiwan is, heavy armor might not be so advantageous given that it's either all mountains or all cities. Better to establish a beachhead from which Chinese artillery can pound Taiwan from the east than to drop into its heavily-defended west.
The other way would simply be to develop the subterrene the Russians keep bragging about, either steal it, buy it, or develop it on your own. Everyone is all thinking amphibious landing scenario, but what happens when you're digging at 20 km a day multiple tunnels to connect Taiwan to the mainland by a series of nigh-indestructable tunnels?
===
Put another way, the Boring Company is trying to develop a conventional speed driller without nuclear propulsion. Much safer, much less risky technologically. Their goal is to reach approximately 1 km / day speeds.
Let us say that China develops a tunnel infrastructure to the halfway point along the Taiwan Strait, which averages 180 km. That means it takes 90 days of bombardment and disruption before China can splash multiple tunnels with ZTZ-99s rushing out and attacking an island which is no longer an island.
===
It'd cost around 1 trillion USD for any tunnel invasion of Taiwan, but when you consider the alternatives, it's remarkably cheap.