If Japan assumes the permanent seat, the next logical and natural demand from them would be to legally possess nuclear weapons.
I'm not sure whether the US really feel confident that once you loosen the grip that Japan wouldn't bite back?
There is a reason that the 5 permanent members of the UN security council are the 5 first and largest nuclear powers in this world.
There is a reason that the 5 permanent members of the UN security council are representative of the victorious side of WWII.
A common unspoken goal of the 5 nations of the UNSC is to prevent more members from getting in and dilute power. They might not all veto at the same time, but at least one of them vetoing at a time is enough.
There are enough pressure from most of the world's nations to force some kind of Security Council reforms. As always, the devil is in the details.Just forget it.
It will another World War to change the UNSC structure fundamentally.
At least that's how I see it.
US already went on the record of supporting Japan and India as new permanent members of the UNSC.Let alone China and Russia's veto, I even doubt the US would want to allow Japan to become a permanent member of the UN, unless they're damn assured that they can control Japan forever, but I highly doubt the case.
One doesn't have much to do the the other. Japan might want nuclear weapons if it feels it no longer could count on absolute security guarantees from the US. And even then, the debate within Japan would be legend.If Japan assumes the permanent seat, the next logical and natural demand from them would be to legally possess nuclear weapons.
You're all over the map, but I think your thesis is US confidence on Japan going rogue. I don't think that will happen in the foreseeable future, because long before Japan stabs US in the back (again!), it would have to economically, politically, and militarily defeat China. I think the US could be confident of no Japanese betrayals, in this century anyway.The Yasukuni Shrine that Abe visited not only hosted those Class-A war criminals that invaded China--those same people are the ones which attacked Pearl Harbour as well.
And to this day the Japanese are constantly reminded of the two nuclear bombs.
I'm not sure whether the US really feel confident that once you loosen the grip that Japan wouldn't bite back?
Well... Pakistan has made it clear it has problems with India getting a permanent seat on the UNSC and not them, since they have a large population, and is the only Muslim state with nuclear weapons.I don't know that follows. India, Pakistan, North Korea and Israel got nuclear weapons, and only India is bidding for a permanent seat on the UNSC - and arguably their nuclear status has nothing to do with that.
Well... American and Japanese national interests are beginning to diverge and probably will increase over time. Someday in the future, Japan may feel it could no longer count on the US for security and would fully rearm; a process that might or might not include nuclear weapon. The bottom line is while the US likes Japan better, China is more important to her national interests. We know it, China knows it, and what's more, Japan knows it too.Japan remains one of America's key allies in Asia, and there's nothing (realistically that is going to happen) that can change that. Does that mean the US wants a nuclear Japan? No. But Japan has no reason to randomly start nuking the US, even if it had the ability to do so.
I really do not care if Japan obtains a permanent seat on the UNSC or not.
The two bits I have is that the other 4 permanent members of the UNSC besides US pays far less in maintaining the UN compared to Japan and yet they act as if they are the only players in the game.
I say place your wallet where your mouth is or step down graciously so that nations making far more contributions to maintain the system have a more active voice.