SinoSoldier
Colonel
I still do not believe that the Chinese military is interested in the FC-31...but you never know what time might bring.
The thing is, Japan has mulled over a dedicated fixed wing carrier a little larger than the Izumo, perhaps wth a ski-jump, that could hold up to 20 F-35Bs.
If they built four of those, and then you add the two Dokdos, and if the Australians ever go to the F-35Bs for their LHDs, and then you add the US ccarriers and the capability of each Wasp class to carry 12-15 F-35Bs and the America class to carry up to 15 -20 F-35Bs, all of that together makes for a very difficult mountain for china to climb.
But China does not need to have more carriers than everyone else...they simply need to have a credible threat...and with the 6 carriers I believe that they will ultimately have, that they will succeed in maintaining that very credible threat so that no one believes that they can (on either side) do whatever they want without a real risk of losing significant vessels in any serious exchange.
I agree that, for the Chinese, the prospect of its neighbors acquiring V/STOL 5th generation aircraft is quite daunting. This is why I think the PLAN will maximize whatever deck space they have to achieve at least some level of parity, which might involve canceling the J-15T and moving straight to 5th generation jets for their CATOBAR carriers (like I've mentioned before) and going for a smaller & cheaper FC-31 derivative as their mainstay fighter.
Of course, ramping up deployment of their anti-access weaponry such as DF-21D, DF-26, and DF-XX isn't out of the question either. Anti-access weaponry, however, is never the solution to all of their maritime problems and remains largely untested in combat.