New technology compounds difficulty, period. I'm not disagreeing with you about the potential risks, but that does not mean they won't pursue it. A new engine could lengthen the J-20 programme by years, but that does not mean they won't pursue a new engine.
Nothing is ever conclusive with PLA watching. If we're going on the reliability of rumours, I have not yet heard rumours that they won't install TVC, but I have heard rumours for years that they will. This is simply a dispute about how ambitious China is willing to be. I think they will be a bit more ambitious. You think they won't be. No matter what we say, that won't actually tell us whether the J-20 actually will or will not have TVC.
To say that the contingency plan to TVC is to not have TVC is to say that TVC is part of the main plan
. The (or A) contingency to the WS-15 is to buy Russian engines with TVC. Both what you and I just said are a bit of speculative a red herring.
Anyways, if the PLAAF really had no intention to install TVN to begin with, then rumours have been misleading. The PLAAF also has a history of taking on ambitious projects and exploring the feasibility of theoretical superiority if it means strengthening their hand. Like a stealth fighter, for example.