That dude is on this forum too and he is quite famousTwitter post from a credible source predicting annual J-20 production for FY2023 to be >100 airframes
@Patchwork_Chimera
That dude is on this forum too and he is quite famousTwitter post from a credible source predicting annual J-20 production for FY2023 to be >100 airframes
Twitter post from a credible source predicting annual J-20 production for FY2023 to be >100 airframes
thanks for this Patch.I mostly gave that caveat as a precaution, since the folks who clued me in to the figure (just during discussion over a work lunch, since I was in town to consult a few galaxy brains - don't get any funny ideas that it's 2(S)us4(U) lol) also expressed a shared uncertainty about what exactly their material was assessing would "break the 100 unit per year barrier" by the end of the year (the actual total number of aircraft produced during '23? or just the immediate production cadence?).
Personally - between the grapevine's similar rumblings, the production ramp-up that even os*nters are aware of, and the guidance of my own (solely kosher) >PRoFeSSioNaL knowledge on the matter - I wouldn't be surprised to see totals in the 100-105 range this year. However, if they are just ramping up cadence to that EOY target, and/or if they got off to a slow start in January, I would only expect to see perhaps 80-90 aircraft hit the tarmac by EOY '23.
Imo, the Y/Y production trend, and the number of delivered, operational "Primary Mission" aircraft to PLAAF Brigades (as well as which Brigades, which Dadui the aircraft fill out, the Brigade's post-induction activities with the new platforms, etc.) are vastly more meaningful anyways. Airframe counting is neither my actual job, nor something I'm super interested in; and I only addressed it in this instance because they're hitting the fabled <<TRIPLE DIGITS!!!>>, and to note how rapidly they've ramped J-20 production in order to do so. That's why I asked folks not to go crossposting my tweets, since important details often go unnoticed or overlooked (or people simply misinterpret my schizo-ramble sleep deprived syntax) whenever people see or discuss my posts without me around to clear up confusion.
Hope that's coherent.
(I can no longer tell; sleep is a distant memory)
We would be extremely lucky to get any update in the next year I reckon.Were there any updates on the status of the J-20B, or prototype 2051? It was supposedly doing taxi tests in December but there hasn't been a peep about it since.
战机在万米高空进行大载荷机动