J-20 5th Gen Fighter Thread VIII

[Wrought]

As at the end of 2025, I don't think it will be below 300 and annual production rate at 50, likely over 100 (up to 150)

so 2 to 3 J-20 are produce per week is reasonable to me

Extrapolating from prior annual production numbers is unreliable. It's perfectly reasonable to expect some level of disruption from switching over to J-20A/S production.

 

[valysre]

Extrapolating from prior annual production numbers is unreliable. It's perfectly reasonable to expect some level of disruption from switching over to J-20A/S production.

I agree. I think extrapolation would yield results similar to the ones given after mine, but we simply haven't seen any of those airframes to confirm, so we're stuck with pretty nebulous bounds.