J-20 5th Gen Fighter Thread VI

Status
Not open for further replies.

Inst

Captain
I ultimately like this.

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


Thing is, the figures are almost exactly right, and you can derive further figures from them. As it turns out, they're using the 20x13 figures, and they included the canards in the wing area. Their figures should then be off by -4%, so the surface area of the J-20 comes out to about 292 m^2, in comparison to the F-22's 315 m^2. Practically, this implies that the weight of the J-20's RAM coating is less than on the F-22, by about 400 kg. It also implies that volumetrically, the J-20 could actually be smaller than the F-22.
 

plawolf

Lieutenant General
All this talk of RAM taking up a quarter of the plane’s weight is ignoring or igorant of recent publicised Chinese RAM advancements.

Not this was published in 2015.

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


Not the site I originally read the story on, but it was the first that came up with a quick search.

Ignore the typically added on editorial nonsense and just focus on the parts referring to the Chinese paper.

Some interesting extracts, highlights are mine.

A group of scientists from China may have created a stealth material that could make future fighter jets very difficult to detect by some of today’s most cutting-edge anti-stealth radar.

The researchers developed a new material they say can defeat microwave radar at ultrahigh frequencies, or UHF. Such material is usually too thick to be applied to aircraft like fighter jets, but this new material is thin enough for military aircraft, ships, and other equipment...

Our proposed absorber is almost ten times thinner than conventional ones,” said Wenhua Xu, one of the team members from China’s Huazhong University of Science and Technology, in a statement.

In their paper, published today in the
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
, the team describes a material composed of semi-conducting diodes (varactors) and capacitors that have been soldered onto a printed circuit board. That layer is sitting under a layer of copper resistors and capacitors just .04 mm thick, which they called an “active frequency selective surface material” or AFSS. The AFSS layer can effectively be stretched to provide a lot of absorption but is thin enough to go onto an aircraft. The next layer is a thin metal honeycomb and final is a metal slab.
 

Inst

Captain
This article concerns UHF-band protection only, and given the thickness, it would result in an additional 2 square meters of coating weight.,that translates to about 4 tons with RAM that's essentially solid steel.

But it might be worthwhile to designate J-20 interception variants for UHF stealth in order to conduct interception missions vs E-2Ds; the estimated 800-1200 km range (scale up an AESA to the ~8 m^2 of the E-2D's radome) gets reduced to 225 km detection vs UHF-shielded J-20 variants (assuming -30 dBsm), putting the AEW&C well within the range of interceptors armed with even PL-15s.

As to the surface area, if you're willing to use a straight surface area scaling and subtract 800 kg of the F-22's flat nozzles, you can get 17500 kg on the J-20. Converting the surface area to volume (implausible, true), you get 16900 kg. Removing 4600 kg of RAM, then removing 4000 kg of engines, cockpits, applying the 3D printing titanium weight reduction, then adding back the RAM and non-structural weight, and we're at a 15214 kg estimated weight.

What I really need, though, is the estimated volume of the J-20 and F-22. That'd give us pretty good weight comparisons between the two.
 

Quickie

Colonel
This article concerns UHF-band protection only, and given the thickness, it would result in an additional 2 square meters of coating weight.,that translates to about 4 tons with RAM that's essentially solid steel.

But it might be worthwhile to designate J-20 interception variants for UHF stealth in order to conduct interception missions vs E-2Ds; the estimated 800-1200 km range (scale up an AESA to the ~8 m^2 of the E-2D's radome) gets reduced to 225 km detection vs UHF-shielded J-20 variants (assuming -30 dBsm), putting the AEW&C well within the range of interceptors armed with even PL-15s.

As to the surface area, if you're willing to use a straight surface area scaling and subtract 800 kg of the F-22's flat nozzles, you can get 17500 kg on the J-20. Converting the surface area to volume (implausible, true), you get 16900 kg. Removing 4600 kg of RAM, then removing 4000 kg of engines, cockpits, applying the 3D printing titanium weight reduction, then adding back the RAM and non-structural weight, and we're at a 15214 kg estimated weight.

What I really need, though, is the estimated volume of the J-20 and F-22. That'd give us pretty good weight comparisons between the two.

This article concerns UHF-band protection only, and given the thickness, it would result in an additional 2 square meters of coating weight.,that translates to about 4 tons with RAM that's essentially solid steel.

How did you get the 4 tons of RAM? The article provide info on the thickness of the layer of capacitors and resistors (i.e. 0.04mm) only, but almost zero info with the other layers of the new type of RAM.
 

delft

Brigadier
In answer to this in #1280:
And the microstructures part after all is precisely what I mean by material properties - that aspect continues to favour forgings currently.
I am ignorant about Ti alloys but it is often possible to greatly influence the micro structure of a piece of metal by a a suitable choice of alloying. This can be varied over a printed structure in a way that is very difficult in a forged part.

The picture from 2013 of a large printed fighter part shows one that is not optimized as described in the Nature news item but such a part might have been developed by now. After all China has the strongest computers and by now plenty of experience in using them.
 

Klon

Junior Member
Registered Member
Hello to everybody. I've been reading SDF for a few years and made an account four months ago, which was approved only recently.

On the topic of J-20's weight, was the source (of the 15 tonnes claim) and it's credibility discussed? It was first posted on page 36, but I don't remember whether people assessed the source in the following, very prolonged, discussion.

Does anyone know where it was published, and the reliability of the magazine, writer or source of information?

I personally find the claim pretty incredible.
 

latenlazy

Brigadier
Having researched the question of the Chinese bulkhead and wing beam a bit more, I have to admit that I'm on the fence now - I might be prepared to accept that they are 3D printed and ready for use in production aircraft. What I continue to doubt is that there is a weight reduction, I'll explain below (though most of the points I have made before in one post or another).
Why believe the claim that the parts are 3D printed and ready for use but reject the claim about weight savings when they come from the same source, the manufacture themselves?


Sciaky is neither a he or a she, they are a US-based manufacturer of metal 3D printers. Their biggest machine can handle parts about the same size as the Chinese samples we've been discussing and Airbus has been playing around with a smaller variant based on the same technology. I've since learned that Airbus have also been cooperating with the Chinese Uni since 2014, perhaps you were aware of this and that's what confused you?
Oops. When I was reading your original source for whatever reason I thought Sciaky was a person. In my defense it was very late when I wrote the reply. Also, somehow misread 5m parts as 3m parts. That said, the relative point still stands. China was ahead by a few years.

Regarding the accuracy of Western assessments of Chinese technology you are barking up the wrong tree - I don't disagree, hence my emphasis on the fact that I am expressly NOT holding China's 3D printer industry to a different standard than anybody else's. I also concur that China is at the forefront of the additive manufacturing race (their big machine beat Sciaky's by two years, closed loop control system and all!), I am just skeptical about them being THAT far ahead of the pack.
I'm just making the point. Not necessarily suggesting that you think otherwise.

I didn't - I made the point that for a highly loaded part of straightforward shape such as a fighter bulkhead, it will be load bearing requirements which drive part thickness, not manufacturing capability (and that this has been the case for a while). So unless you adopt a novel approach to shaping (e.g. something hollow or an integrated truss structure), using 3D printing to make it will drastically drive down cost and manufacturing time but hardly affect weight at all. A solid piece of Xcm³ of titanium is going to weigh Ykg, no matter how it came to be that shape.

"Modern high-speed milling can handle material thicknesses so low that making a full depth bulkhead that thin is nonsense (if load requirements are so low, simply stiffening a semi-monocoque skin with a frame is probably preferable, as in an airliner fuselage)."

That's what I was referring to when I said you made the point about mills being able to machine thinner parts than before.

Anyways, I think our disagreement here boils down to whether you can mill a titanium bulkhead to the minimal amount of material needed for the amount of load it must handle. As I keep saying, how much load a part can handle involves a lot more than how much material there is. Load bearing requirements drive thickness *dependent* on the capabilities of your process technologies and materials of the time. When either changes, achievable thickness can change too.

I think we can also use a bit of clarification over what we mean when we talk about "parts thickness". When I refer to "thickness", I'm specifically talking about shape features like, for example, how deep troughs in the structure can be or how thin rib structures are. Compare, for example, the two bulkheads below. The top two are the F-22's, and the bottom is presumably the J-31's.
Forged%20Bulkhead.jpg


af_bulkhead.jpg


3d-printed-parts-fighter-2.png

We're not debating "something" though, we're discussing fighter bulkheads - and it's a fairly safe bet you'll want the best material properties obtainable for this particular application.
Do we have reason to believe fighter bulkheads *must* use the *strongest* form achievable of some material (strength is not a monolithic property either, and which strength properties you need is highly dependent on the context of their use)? As I understand it, what matters for planes is ultimately strength to weight ratio, not strength alone, and costs play a limiting factor as well.

Absolutely true (and I have been saying things to that effect all along), but for this to be relevant here it amounts to you claiming that the bulkhead sample you've shown is of a geometry which could not be made by forging and machining. I would roundly disagree with that - I don't see anything unconventional there which would support such an assessment. And the microstructures part after all is precisely what I mean by material properties - that aspect continues to favour forgings currently.
Judge for yourself based on the pictures I posted above, but if you're going to go with an eye test, do you have enough expertise to know what to look for? Is an eye test good enough to refute the claims of the manufacture?

I've been hearing that the F-22's bulkheads are two pieces that have to be welded together. Maybe being able to print the bulkhead as a single piece is a part of weight advantage?

Regardless of how strong forging is, microstructures are still only one part of the equation, and 3D printing doesn't need to be the best if it can be good enough.

So where would the weight saving over a machined forging be coming from in the above examples, if we accept that they're 3D printed? Same material, geometry which is achievable with traditional processes, likely somewhat inferior material properties which might require greater thickness in places than the conventional analogue to bear the same load. There's no question that 3D printing the conventionally shaped parts would be dramatically faster and less expensive (factors important enough that they may well clinch the deal all by themselves), but lighter?

Another case in point:

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


Handsome weight saving, but only obtainable by completely rethinking the shape.

On a different note:

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


LOL! Talk about being blinkered - on the General Dynamics web site where I found the F-16 gun data there is actually a page for the F-22 gun system which I somehow failed to notice.

So a total of 170kg (empty feed + gun), but on the other hand EOTS weight is actually a bit less than 100kg:

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


Nonetheless, it shows that by applying a bit of common sense and technical judgement you can get the general trend right even without having the exact figures, and the two errors (such as the relevance of a couple dozen kg one way or the other is, for a ~21t estimate) do cancel out to a large degree.
If you really want to, absent the judgement of technical expertise you can find any number of general reasonable rationales for why a claim can't be true. As I've said repeatedly though, the claims made by the manufacture aren't ambiguous. You can take it or leave it.
 
Last edited:

latenlazy

Brigadier
Hello to everybody. I've been reading SDF for a few years and made an account four months ago, which was approved only recently.

On the topic of J-20's weight, was the source (of the 15 tonnes claim) and it's credibility discussed? It was first posted on page 36, but I don't remember whether people assessed the source in the following, very prolonged, discussion.

Does anyone know where it was published, and the reliability of the magazine, writer or source of information?

I personally find the claim pretty incredible.
Yes, we did, and the short and thin of it is simply that we don't know enough about the source to know for sure how reliable it was. On one hand, the claim was from a trade magazine, so it's atypical of the usual bad sources we're used to, but on the other hand it's not a source we've seen before so we have no history of claims to make judgments with and no context for how reputable, well sourced, connected, and diligent the publication is.
 

latenlazy

Brigadier
I ultimately like this.

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


Thing is, the figures are almost exactly right, and you can derive further figures from them. As it turns out, they're using the 20x13 figures, and they included the canards in the wing area. Their figures should then be off by -4%, so the surface area of the J-20 comes out to about 292 m^2, in comparison to the F-22's 315 m^2. Practically, this implies that the weight of the J-20's RAM coating is less than on the F-22, by about 400 kg. It also implies that volumetrically, the J-20 could actually be smaller than the F-22.
This article concerns UHF-band protection only, and given the thickness, it would result in an additional 2 square meters of coating weight.,that translates to about 4 tons with RAM that's essentially solid steel.

But it might be worthwhile to designate J-20 interception variants for UHF stealth in order to conduct interception missions vs E-2Ds; the estimated 800-1200 km range (scale up an AESA to the ~8 m^2 of the E-2D's radome) gets reduced to 225 km detection vs UHF-shielded J-20 variants (assuming -30 dBsm), putting the AEW&C well within the range of interceptors armed with even PL-15s.

As to the surface area, if you're willing to use a straight surface area scaling and subtract 800 kg of the F-22's flat nozzles, you can get 17500 kg on the J-20. Converting the surface area to volume (implausible, true), you get 16900 kg. Removing 4600 kg of RAM, then removing 4000 kg of engines, cockpits, applying the 3D printing titanium weight reduction, then adding back the RAM and non-structural weight, and we're at a 15214 kg estimated weight.

What I really need, though, is the estimated volume of the J-20 and F-22. That'd give us pretty good weight comparisons between the two.
The F-22’s ram is not that heavy.
 

Attachments

  • D9770C29-7BC1-4030-BB3F-E96CA28C0A28.jpeg
    D9770C29-7BC1-4030-BB3F-E96CA28C0A28.jpeg
    163 KB · Views: 14

Klon

Junior Member
Registered Member
Yes, we did, and the short and thin of it is simply that we don't know enough about the source to know for sure how reliable it was. On one hand, the claim was from a trade magazine, so it's atypical of the usual bad sources we're used to, but on the other hand it's not a source we've seen before so we have no history of claims to make judgments with and no context for how reputable, well sourced, connected, and diligent the publication is.

Thanks for the response. I'd like to ask you what your position is on the 15 tonne question, as you've generally made arguments in favor, but also expressed skepticism, particularly at the start of the discussion.
Do you think the weight is 15 tonnes or that it could be that? If the latter, what probability do you assign it?
If it's just that it could be 15 tonnes, do you acknowledge that it could be something else, e.g. 21 tonnes (which I take to be some kind of 'conventional' estimate) or 25 tonnes?
Why should we take a pretty extraordinary claim seriously?
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top