plawolf
Lieutenant General
So more tunnel warfare? Why would IDF start a war with Hezbollah, that would just make their situation more untenable
That’s true, but there are other factors to consider, chief of which is Israel’s desire and need to draw America directly into the fight so they can send American GIs to grind Hamas and Hezbollah rather than their own under-trained, poorly equipped and badly motivated and plainly inadequate conscripts.
Also, Hezbollah has been bleeding Israel all this time with its thousand cut attacks. I bet many Israeli generals feel the only reason Hezbollah is able to do this is because they have an arm tied behind their backs and demand the politicians take the gloves off the soldiers. There are always such generals in every army in every fight. Doesn’t make them right, but their arguments can be hard to resist.
Opening a second front may also ease their Gaza fight somewhat as some of the weapons and supplies being smuggled into Gaza to sustain Hamas may be redirected to Lebanon in the event of open war with Hezbollah.
Also, right now Israel feels it desperately needs a clean ‘win’ to restore some of the IDF’s tattered reputation and Israel’s deterrence power. Fighting Hezbollah and drawing in America may be the first step to fighting Iran, what Israel feels is the ultimate source of all their troubles.
Getting America sucked into invading and occupying and then ultimately abandoning Iran will remove Iran as a serious threat to Israel for at least a generation and also stop Iran from getting the bomb, what many in Israel considers and existential threat.
So there are a lot of layers and reasons. Not all of them good or correct, but that doesn’t stop them being persuasive to those in power.