H-6 production will probably go on for another 5 years imo. Maybe eventually get to 200 units among the H-6K/J/N variants. Fully replace all the H-6H/M that are still in service. They are really useful even though the tech isn't new. They are cheap to operate, can launch pretty much everything, have better range than J-16/20s and have very high availability.
I think they stick around until close to 2050.
I think they stick around until close to 2050.