I find a tactical bomber pretty crucial for PLAAF and PLANAF needs. J-20 can be modified only so much. I doubt it will ever be heavily modified, elongated by a few meters, getting new wings etc, carrying large missiles. And no non-stealthy plane can really be a proper replacement for JH7 in this day and age. As we can see, even the J16s are really replacing fighters units, so PLAAF is using them more as multirole fighters, a continuation of their J11 procurement to replace old fighters.
So i think it's very likely we will see such a plane in the next 5-10 years. H-20, however, has priority right now, so i think 5 year estimate for tactical bomber is on the low end.
(all of this says nothing about whether the new tactical bomber will be unmanned or not. It's a possibility, certainly.)