May I ask in which province or region is the H20 most likely undergoing testing?
Flight test for aircraft with "strategic and historic significance" could be H-20.
China is planning to conduct a flight test for an important type of aircraft that has crucial strategic and historic significance
As you can see in the comments, most Chinese people reading this news would be thinking about H-20 too. Th second highlighted bit reads "to fully understand the extreme importance of steadfast completion (of test flight) of a certain type".葛和平书记对某型号研制进行了动员,向全体参试人员发出动员令,强调了该型号研制的重大战略意义、历史意义,要求该型号研制党员干部和职工要始终站在政治高度,充分认识坚决完成型号任务的极端重要性。要弘扬航空报国精神,传承信仰之志;发扬拼搏奋斗精神,展现奋斗之志;坚持严谨求实创新,砥砺跨越之路。
Unless they flight test at night.If h20 protype is going to exit from the known Xian AC facility there is very little chance that it won't go public. Too many cameras around that place.
It really is. While a VLO flying wing bomber would definitely offer the PLAAF new capabilites, none come to mind as "crucial" to the PLA's strategy. You've already got the rocket force for far away targets like military bases or CSGs, and you've already got credible nuclear deterrence with subs and land-based ICBMs. Unless by "crucial" the article means "the ability to do what you've already been able to, but for slightly cheaper", it's possible that the H-20 isn't merely a Chinese B-2. Maybe, just maybe, it could be something much more?The word “crucial” strategic is an interesting word to choose.
Er. A large stealthy bomber that can penetrate air defenses is a pretty crucial strategic capability.It really is. While a VLO flying wing bomber would definitely offer the PLAAF new capabilites, none come to mind as "crucial" to the PLA's strategy. You've already got the rocket force for far away targets like military bases or CSGs, and you've already got credible nuclear deterrence with subs and land-based ICBMs. Unless by "crucial" the article means "the ability to do what you've already been able to, but for slightly cheaper", it's possible that the H-20 isn't merely a Chinese B-2. Maybe, just maybe, it could be something much more?
If you put it like that, yeah, you have a point. Maybe I was overreacting to the word "crucial". But since the PLARF exists, what reason is there for sending in a stealth bomber to take out certain targets vs. some ballistic missiles, apart from it being cheaper? Perhaps a smaller chance of strategic miscalculation for the enemy?Er. A large stealthy bomber that can penetrate air defenses is a pretty crucial strategic capability.
It really is. While a VLO flying wing bomber would definitely offer the PLAAF new capabilites, none come to mind as "crucial" to the PLA's strategy. You've already got the rocket force for far away targets like military bases or CSGs, and you've already got credible nuclear deterrence with subs and land-based ICBMs. Unless by "crucial" the article means "the ability to do what you've already been able to, but for slightly cheaper", it's possible that the H-20 isn't merely a Chinese B-2. Maybe, just maybe, it could be something much more?
What kind of capability could that PLAAF want that proves "crucial" to the PLA's overall strategy?
Response time and attack profiles are very big variables. Ballistic missiles have long kill chains that increase exposure to countermeasure and require a host of support assets. They are also easier to shoot down because they are immediately noticed when they are launched. You also can't do kill confirmation as easily with a ballistic missiles strike. A deep penetration stealth bomber allows you to do real time point of attack surveillance, which is pretty important for guaranteeing kills for sensitive or essential targets. You're also going to be able to deliver a greater volume of munitions onto a target with a deep penetration stealth bomber than with a battery of ballistic missiles.If you put it like that, yeah, you have a point. Maybe I was overreacting to the word "crucial". But since the PLARF exists, what reason is there for sending in a stealth bomber to take out certain targets vs. some ballistic missiles, apart from it being cheaper? Perhaps a smaller chance of strategic miscalculation for the enemy?