Desktops dying out because there is no speed improvement.
There was a decade long learning curve in phones, and now they dying out as well, the sales flat/decreasing now.
There is no performance improvement in the last decade , so no one wants to buy desktop.
With phones there was a lot of money spent for phone capabilities, new screens/custom ICs and so on.
But it ended as well - there was no need to replace the desktop in the past 10 years, and now there is no need to replace the phone.
Incredible, you try to falsify me with data that actually support my point ?
In the case of data centres 70% of the new gen server CPUs contain ASIC circuits, tailored for specific customer.
They don't get the edge from the underlying technology - they managed to sell the products due to higher and higher customisation.
No, desktops are dying out because they are big and bulky.
Laptops are small, portable and generally cheaper. They generally do have lower performance, but are perfectly fine for day-to-day use.
So the vast majority of consumers don't notice any performance difference between a desktop or laptop.
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So why did you use a desktop analogy, if you already acknowledge that desktops are dying, and are being replaced by datacentres, laptops and smartphones?
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Yes, ASICs are increasingly common for datacentres.
But remember ASICs still benefit from a smaller process node which uses less electricity per calculation.
Say you have a customised chip for a datacentre, and you have the choice of 14nm or 5nm.
Given high-enough production volumes, the 5nm chip ends up being the best option.
Why else are Bitmain and Canaan buying cutting-edge 5nm ASICs from TSMC?
If we use your logic on cooling constraints, Bitmain and Canaan should have stopped using smaller process nodes long ago.
Bitmain and Canaan to Reveal 5nm Bitcoin Mining Chips in 2020
Two of the largest bitcoin mining chip manufacturers have plans to equip their products with 5nm chips in the near future. Just recently, China-based manufacturer Bitmain purportedly produced the world’s first 5nm test-grade bitcoin mining chip and
more efficient mining rigs will see mass production next year.
...
Following discussions concerning Bitmain’s upcoming ASIC rigs, regional reports revealed that Canaan will also have 5nm chips by the first quarter of next year. The 5nm chips will
improve performance by 15% and the wafers will stem from the Taiwan-based semiconductor foundry.