Transformation of surface combatants
I want to add an interesting perspective on surface warfare that might help to gain new insights in the carrier debate:
This is an article the technological changes in the US surface fleet from a seemingly defensive oriented vessel to a strike force again due to the introduction of crusie missiles and a prediction that these capabilities will continue with ongoing UAV integration in the large surface ships other than carriers.
Possible implications for current aircraft carriers:
So while the surface ship did become a very defensive asset from US perspective and the carrier was the striking instrument, the current carrier vulnerability and air-defense centered mission could mean from my point of view that we might see a shift in naval attitudes. A defensive carrier air wing provides cover for the surface and subsurface ships that cover the carrier and all of them can have cruise missile or UAV capability for long range strikes.
Such a constellation could impact carrier requirements because fighter patrols don't need the catapults for heavy take off like multi-purpose and bomber aircrafts. Futhermore it's not necessary to have as large carriers if a reduction in size helps capability to better navigate in important waters. Just think about the Principe de Asturiass (R-11)
that could be a new way to provide all carrier cover necessary for a force of cruise missile&UAV large surface combatants.
In order not to neglect the science fiction approach and laser applications, there have been some experiments about using ground based laser energy in order to lift object into the air by producing a stream of heated gas. If succesful, such an approach could offer a new chance for STOVL operations (that are faster than other launch systems) with external energy supplied vertical landing, utilizing a simple light reflector system for the surface ships laser. This would shorten runways and especially for UAV allow a long range, long endurance bomber force that doesn't have an as expensive and heavy modification for STOVL as current weapon platforms and would allow a kind of hybrid battleship carrier with cruise missiles and UAV bombers and possibly even some UAV fighters for short distance (jamming!) self defense.
So surface combatant development likely won't do away with the carrier, but the established relation of utility for power projection may change and a less carrier heavy investment approach might prove more cost efficent for SLoC control and power projection.
Defensive approach of naval vessels and their consequences for China
Concerning the very defensive approach of naval vessels that leads some minds to dismiss them as expensive and utterly useless carrier escorts, actually a defensive surface combatant is a defensive roadblock that can be placed in the enemies SLoC and thus greatly reduce enemy capabilities because of reduced economic interaction with the outside world (most transport of goods is by ship). The same holds true for a perfectly defensive surface ship being capable of defending own SLoC, by fighting of air, surface and submarine attacks. So despite not being able to go out and destroy the enemy like an army or air force, both will have a hard time without the navy manipulating the SLoC.
After pointing out SLoC importance, the Chinese area denial is nice and probably quite capable, but other than reducing possible naval requirements for coastal defense, it doesn't help much in SLoC protection and without SLoC around the globe the Chinese economy would have to run at a reduced level in a conflict. So, to make the whole area denial and anti-access developments worse the money, it needs a SLoC defense for the rest of the global route to China.