Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)

B

B.I.B.

Captain
I'm hearing an increasing amount of opinion on talkback radio that countries that had the virus during Feb, March, April, and May will see it gone by October. For us in NZ it is nothing more than a 6month event. Hmmm I hope they are right.
 
Gatekeeper

Gatekeeper

Brigadier
Registered Member
SoupDumplings said:
I've been seeing some pictures online of how certain adjustments can be made to a photograph to give the appearance of an area being extremely packed and crowded. Is it possible that the same thing is happening here? Just want to make sure.
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Yes a bit like all those fake journalists in Hong Kong taking photos of protestors real close to try showing number is high.

But I really don't think this is the case at the moment as there are numerous photos from Michigan to Florida showing people are out exercising their "freedom from lock-down".

I got a bad feeling about this!

@B.I.B

Here's to hope!
 
manqiangrexue

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
Before, the Russians felt like they did an amazing job dividing America over Trump but now, they see that Americans can be divided over any stupid thing and feel their achievement cheapened LOL
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No masks allowed: stores turn customers away in US culture war

Shops around the US make headlines for denying entry to those wearing masks as protesters argue against preventative measures in the name of freedom
 
supercat

supercat

Major
I think that's the vaccine that the Trump administration plans to order 400 million doses:
Project leader: Oxford's COVID-19 vaccine trial has 50% chance of success - Telegraph
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(Reuters) - The University of Oxford's COVID-19 vaccine trial has only a 50% chance of success as the coronavirus seems to be fading rapidly in Britain, the professor co-leading the development of the vaccine told the Telegraph newspaper.

Adrian Hill, director of Oxford’s Jenner Institute, which has teamed up with drugmaker AstraZeneca Plc to develop the vaccine, said that an upcoming trial, involving 10,000 volunteers, threatened to return “no result” due to low transmission of COVID-19 in the community.

“It’s a race against the virus disappearing, and against time”, Hill told the British newspaper. “At the moment, there’s a 50% chance that we get no result at all.”

The experimental vaccine, known as ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, is one of the front-runners in the global race to provide protection against the new coronavirus causing the COVID-19 pandemic.

Hill’s team began early-stage human trials of the vaccine in April, making it one of only a handful to have reached that milestone.
Click to expand...
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Situation in the U.S. on May 24:
1590374839476.png

1590374868988.png
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Situation in China on May 24, excluding HK, Macau, and TW:
1590374981466.png

1590375000359.png
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R

Rettam Stacf

Junior Member
Registered Member
supercat said:
I think that's the vaccine that the Trump administration plans to order 400 million doses:

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Situation in the U.S. on May 24:
View attachment 60259

View attachment 60260
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Situation in China on May 24, excluding HK, Macau, and TW:
View attachment 60261

View attachment 60262
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Click to expand...

I saw the news earlier and looked at articles from three different news sources on the same subject to understand why the professor said that the Oxford vaccine trial has only 50% chance of success. I came away with the conclusion that has nothing to do with the vaccine's performance, but rather due to the number of daily infected persons in UK is getting smaller and so there may not be enough patients to successfully complete Phase 3 trial - the same issue China is facing on her current vaccine trials.
 
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Quickie

Quickie

Colonel
supercat said:
I think that's the vaccine that the Trump administration plans to order 400 million doses:

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Project leader: Oxford's COVID-19 vaccine trial has 50% chance of success - Telegraph
Click to expand...

(Reuters) - The University of Oxford's COVID-19 vaccine trial has only a 50% chance of success as the coronavirus seems to be fading rapidly in Britain, the professor co-leading the development of the vaccine told the Telegraph newspaper.

Adrian Hill, director of Oxford’s Jenner Institute, which has teamed up with drugmaker AstraZeneca Plc to develop the vaccine, said that an upcoming trial, involving 10,000 volunteers, threatened to return “no result” due to low transmission of COVID-19 in the community.

“It’s a race against the virus disappearing, and against time”, Hill told the British newspaper. “At the moment, there’s a 50% chance that we get no result at all.”

The experimental vaccine, known as ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, is one of the front-runners in the global race to provide protection against the new coronavirus causing the COVID-19 pandemic.

Hill’s team began early-stage human trials of the vaccine in April, making it one of only a handful to have reached that milestone.
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Click to expand...

Would this not having the danger of sending the wrong message to the public?

The director of the institute makes it sound like the virus is going away by itself and the vaccine is not needed while what actually happened is that the vaccine trial has a 50% chance of failing because of the lower transmissibility of the virus due to the lockdown, not because of the virus transmissivity going down by itself.
 
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