I'm glad we agree the communists won the Vietnam War unequivocally.
Gambit, you keep harping about military battles and such but when I say the US had no idea how to fight the Vietnamese communists I am referring to the total war they launched against the South. You're right to note they were multi-faceted with the Viet Cong and NVA, but underlying it is a large base of popular support that is evident in the way the war was fought and won. If you examine the different styles of war the communists and South pursued you will see what I mean. The communists involved ordinary people in the fight throughout the war, from poor peasants hiding weapons in rice baskets to old men bringing weapons down the Ho Chi Minh Trail to barbers taking jobs in American bases to snoop out the layouts. They had a large brigade of female soldiers as well. How do you think they set up the Tet Offensive without massive support in the South? The Viet Cong weren't uniformed conscripts like the ARVN relied on but volunteers willing to risk their life for the cause.
From your story it sounds like you find it inconceivable anyone would support the Vietnamese communists but we can't let what happened after 1975 blind us to how people felt
then. I remember wondering how the Russians could support Stalin in World War II after everything he did to them but when you look at how the Germans treated Slavs it becomes clear. Ho Chi Minh and the communists had a decades-old compelling message that resonated with local grievances against rent-collecting landowners, the authoritarian Catholic elite with its strong links to foreign powers, and resentment of the way the South and Americans fought the war.
Ho Chi Minh himself was far more important a leader of Vietnamese nationalism than anyone in the South. He was in Versailles in 1919 lobbying for an free state of Vietnam, famously incorporating a lot of the language of the US Declaration of Independence in his efforts then and in 1945. Even the US supported him while he was fighting the Imperial Japanese. The Ho Sainteny agreement reinforces the story of Ho Chi Minh as a principled, patient nationalist . He kept trying to negotiate and work out an agreement with the West but they kept throwing it back in his face. No wonder he became convinced war the only path forward. But as you can see, Ho had more nationalist credibility than Diem.
Utter BS. The flow of refugees was consistently North to South, never opposite. That in itself was a clue on how the Vietnamese really felt about the communists. Ho was not the only one who fought against colonialist powers like France and Imperial Japan. There were plenty of other non-communist allied nationalists whom the US had relations during WW II. Ho managed to kill most of them off with Chinese and French assistance.
Once again you're forgetting the nature of the war. If the refugees hated communism so much why didn't they stay and fight throughout the war, and in 1975-forward? Ho Chi Minh and the communists didn't flee to China, they kept infiltrating, recruiting, ambushing, dying, and coming back for more. Who formed Diem's power base? Elite land-owners and Catholics who count themselves in the minority and were hated anyways because the exploitative feudal society they ran and blatant favoritism shown toward Catholics.
In 1955 South Vietnamese leader Ngo Dinh Diem canceled elections because he knew the communists would win. President Eisenhower said "80 per cent of the population would have voted for the Communist Ho Chi Minh." Diem was a real piece of work. He did everything he could to make himself and the government unpopular. Eventually not even his own military and American backers could take it anymore and overthrew him in coup. Well if Diem was short on credibility and integrity, the revolving door of generals after the coup was downright embarrassing to the South. Can you imagine how that looks to a Vietnamese peasant? They're wondering what the hell is going on in Saigon. Meanwhile those communists up north seem to have their act together, plus they want to overthrow the repressive regime in the South. You have to realize that is attractive to a lot of peasants, and rural areas were by far the majority of Vietnam. Even today Vietnam is still about 70% rural.
You don't have to prove your anti-communist credentials to me, I'm sold, but you have to admit the communists had a ton of popular support throughout the country throughout the war, more so than Diem and supporters of the South. If the South had more support than the communists they would have started a guerrilla war against Ho in the North, and kept fighting after the fall of Saigon instead fleeing as refugees. But neither thing happened. Why couldn't they muster up the support of villagers to create their own Ngo Dinh Diem Trail into the North? They had the weapons and the money....what's missing here?