The conversation in the JF-17 thread about converting big numbers of old fighters to drones made me wonder:
are the reports of a lot of J-6/J-7 fighters having been converted into drones real, or are these just rumours based on some planes being converted to target drones ?
If they are real, would these drones be used like a "cruise missile" to attack a stationary target (while diverting / saturating the opponent's air defence) ?
How much maintenance would such converted drones need to keep operational (compared to a cruise missile) ?
I think China has a similar mothball strategy reserve programme with regards to old, retired fighters to the famous American Bone Yard.
Such a programme is not just about mothballing aircraft, but should also cover remaining spares, tooling, machines and all associated support and training assets such that those mothballed plans could be returned to full frontline combat states if the need ever arise.
But what generally happens is that a small number of crews are trained on their routine maintenance, to keep the knowledge base ‘live’, and they do regular re-activation and servicing at a steady, low pace (a handful of planes per year) as part of their training. Which just so happens to also service the military’s need for advanced target drones.
However, the fact that China has a plethora of dedicated targeting drone types, which are predominantly what we see them use in most live fire exercise videos, would suggest that only a tiny number of retired fighters are being used as target drones, if any are still being used in this way at a all. In fact I do not remember seeing any old fighters being used as target drones for years now.
Because of the unique combination of having the world’s best manufacturing base, rapidly advancing technology, and low threat environment; traditionally China has not bothered to order vast quantities of reserve gear, which has often been a source of frustration for military watchers. The reasoning is simple - why waste your military budget now buying things you know you are very unlikely to ever need to use, when you can rapidly ramp up production to make them when you actually need to have them in the future? Especially when the future versions are almost certainly to be more advanced and capable, yet cost less as a proportion of your military budge due to the expected high year-on-year budget growth?
I just do not see China having invested the time and money to convert all those old fighters into drones; and with the rapid emergence of Chinese UAV technology, there really isn’t much need or justification to start such a programme now. Since China can probably make more and better UCAVs and cruise missiles from scratch.
Yes, the old airframes are bought and paid for already, but the re-activation process is going to be be very slow unless they train a lot of people on the process, and probably have to massive invest in tools and machinery needed for the task.
It’s probably easier to just ramp up UCAV and cruise missile production instead.