Lethe
Captain
Displacement could be deceptive, evidenced by the fact Philippines' "new" frigates BRP Gregorio del Pilar and BRP Ramon Alacraz each displaces about 3,250 tons, but no one in his or her right mind would say they're more capable than PLAN's 053H2/3 FFGs at around 2,400 tons.
Tonnage has its limitations, but it provides a way to compare even very differently constituted navies, and much more effectively than the other 'baseline' alternative of quantity. Surely you would not deny that the growth recorded on my graph does indeed correlate with increasing capability?
interesting note ROC is up there at #11.
Using my criteria (i.e. just counting destroyers/frigates/corvettes >1k tonnes) ROC is currently at 128k tonnes compared to 46k for Australia.
Going forward, however, ROC is likely to decline to 70-110k tonnes, with the lower end of that range assuming 10 new 3k tonne frigates, including replacement of the La Fayettes, while the upper range assumes 15 new frigates, not including replacing the La Fayettes. Both figures include 4 new 10k tonne destroyers replacing the current Kee Lung/Kidd class.
It's interesting to note that the Chinese navy will probably surpass the Russian navy in terms of tonnage by next year.
Realistically this happened some years ago. Many 'active' Russian ships are not really operational. In another 10-15 years, when the last Soviet era hulks are gone in favour of new vessels, we will get a much more accurate figure.
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