I believe your stance is:
- a VCE is a design change enough to get leaked
- therefore WS-15 is very likely not to be a VCE.
No.
My position is:
- if WS-15 were modified to be a VCE, we would probably know about it by now
- it is technologically unlikely for such a major change in its design to be carried out this late into its development process while aiming for service in the near term future (we've heard about aiming for production in mid 2020s for a while now, for example)
- it is uncharacteristic for the PLA to significantly pursue more advanced/technologically sophisticated redesigns for products relatively late into a product's development especially if it is intended for production or service in the near future, and if we are to entertain such an idea it requires significant grapevine backing (such as the decision for EM catapult versus steam catapult for 003, in the mid 2010s)
However, IMHO, it could be because:
- WS-15 was redesigned as a VCE
- so PLA put it even more under wraps
- and the particular two-stream VCE design isn't as far departed from a traditional low BPR turbofan compared to an ACE
- easier to contain the information
- therefore close to nothing is known about the WS-15.
I would agree with you if the WS-15 were said to be converted to an ACE, but this particular two-stream VCE design is just a traditional low BPR turbofan with a CDFS and more variable stator geometries. It's much easier to achieve compared to a full-fledged ACE.
The reason I would consider this is because a two-stream VCE that's able to adjust bypass:core airflow is how you can have a 10+ engine T/W while also having supercruising as one of the main design focus. A traditional low BPR turbofan like the F119, due to the choice of having supercruising as the main focus, barely has a T/W around 10 and even lower if we include the nozzle. The WS-15 IIRC, somehow, achieves both according to vague rumors.
See above.