Chinese Economics Thread

Wrought

Junior Member
Registered Member
CPI is up 0.5% YOY for January, slightly better than the expected 0.4%. From December, it's up 0.7% MOM. For all 2024, it was up 0.2%.

2025年1月份,全国居民消费价格同比上涨0.5%。其中,城市上涨0.6%,农村上涨0.3%;食品价格上涨0.4%,非食品价格上涨0.5%;消费品价格上涨0.1%,服务价格上涨1.1%。

1月份,全国居民消费价格环比上涨0.7%。其中,城市上涨0.8%,农村上涨0.5%;食品价格上涨1.3%,非食品价格上涨0.6%;消费品价格上涨0.6%,服务价格上涨0.9%。

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Michael90

Junior Member
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Ok. Nobody buy or sell any Baba so we can maintain this number.
Its crazy how Alibaba really lost its shine. While just 5/6 years ago they were almost competing with the biggest US tech e commerce companies like amazon in valuation and global reach and were neck and neck with tencent. Now they have stagnated /fallen so much that even Temu's holding is nearing them in valuation and Tencent is going to almost twice their valuation.
It really shows we should never take things for granted and alot can change in a few years. I thought Aliabab will emerge the strongest before and even outgrow amazon . Seems Jack Mas fall was the beginning of their uninspiring performance.
 

tamsen_ikard

Junior Member
Registered Member
Its crazy how Alibaba really lost its shine. While just 5/6 years ago they were almost competing with the biggest US tech e commerce companies like amazon in valuation and global reach and were neck and neck with tencent. Now they have stagnated /fallen so much that even Temu's holding is nearing them in valuation and Tencent is going to almost twice their valuation.
It really shows we should never take things for granted and alot can change in a few years. I thought Aliabab will emerge the strongest before and even outgrow amazon . Seems Jack Mas fall was the beginning of their uninspiring performance.
Alibaba is still one of the big 2 in Chinese tech with investment and hands on pretty much every field of tech and software eco-system. if Chinese stocks were valued correctly then Alibaba will likely be a trillion dollar company by now.
 

Staedler

Junior Member
Registered Member
FYI, if you read overseas Chinese forums (so Chinese people who live in the US and therefore are familiar with actual prices in the US and in China), they generally estimate the real PPP exchange rate to be about 3:1 CNY-USD for top tier cities. So 300,000 CNY in a first tier Chinese city would get you approximately the same standard of living as $100,000 in a major US city. And the ratio is probably closer to 2:1 if you compare a second tier Chinese city with a second tier US city.

At 3:1, that would put the real Chinese economy at about 160% of the US economy, significantly higher than the "official" IMF PPP ratio of 127%.
As one of the people with a foot in both, I would say it's closer to 1.2:1 in T1 cities. Hong Kong is 3:1.

As a habit, I keep a itemized list of my expenses and have noticed that the refrain of $1 = 1 RMB in XHS works decently well.
 

horse

Colonel
Registered Member
China’s economy in 2024 continued to far outgrow the U.S.

By John Ross (Posted Feb 05, 2025)

This is an edited version of an article which originally appeared in Chinese at Guancha.cn.

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:)




High rates of fixed investment into the economy correlates to strong levels of growth.

Savings = loans = investments.

Gawd daynm!

Okay, that is the basic thing.

But how China does it, then it is interesting.

Because that road is winding and twisting.

The state owned bank, gives the money to the state owned enterprise, but then often they get beat silly by the private sector, who also got a loan from someone.

Anyways, lots of stuff to reflect on.

:oops::D
 

bd popeye

The Last Jedi
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A customer selects goods at a supermarket in Zaozhuang City, east China's Shandong Province, Feb. 9, 2025. China's consumer price index (CPI), a main gauge of inflation, was up 0.5 percent year on year in January, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said Sunday. (Photo by Sun Zhongzhe/Xinhua)

BEIJING, Feb. 9 (Xinhua) -- China's consumer price index (CPI), a main gauge of inflation, was up 0.5 percent year on year in January, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said Sunday.

The figure was up from the 0.1-percent increase registered last month, largely due to the influence of the Spring Festival holiday, said NBS statistician Dong Lijuan.

The core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, rose 0.6 percent from a year ago in January, up from the 0.4-percent increase in December 2024.

On a monthly basis, the CPI expanded 0.7 percent in January, the data showed.

The NBS data also showed the country's producer price index (PPI), which measures costs for goods at the factory gate, went down 2.3 percent year on year in January, flat with that in December last year.

On a month-on-month basis, the PPI dropped 0.2 percent in January.

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A customer selects vegetables at a supermarket in Mengzi City, southwest China's Yunnan Province, Feb. 9, 2025. China's consumer price index (CPI), a main gauge of inflation, was up 0.5 percent year on year in January, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said Sunday. (Photo by Xue Yingying/Xinhua)

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A customer selects tomatoes at a supermarket in Zunhua City, north China's Hebei Province, Feb. 9, 2025. China's consumer price index (CPI), a main gauge of inflation, was up 0.5 percent year on year in January, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said Sunday. (Photo by Liu Mancang/Xinhua)
 
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