China's Space Program Thread II

ZachL111

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Yep, last year I too was of the same mindset, that 100 this year would be great, but as Tomboy said, they nearly hit it, and they ramped up launches in December. So I think most predictions have been somewhere in 120-140 range this year, that is my prediction as well.
End of month update, they got 8 this month as far as I can see.

They probably need to get around 12 per month for the rest of the year to now hit their target, they did rebound at least from the 2 launches in Feb.

I don't think this is impossible, especially since last year saw a major increase at the end of year for launches. I do hope that they can hit the 120-140 target.


Also so this post isn't a completely useless update, there has been a new Shanghai based commercial sea-launch builder that was formed, they are a commercial entity I believe, they will provide launch services for commercial LSPs as well, so I think it is both recovery and launch.

I just also saw updated NOTAMs potentially for the TZ-10 and SZ-23 missions, for the TZ-10 should be May 11 near start of day in UTC, and May 24th middle of day UTC for SZ-23.
 

SCE2Aux

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According to user MikeZang over on NSF, who keeps track of Chinese NOTAMS, Shenzhou 23 may launch around 14:24 UTC on May 24. The launch date means that the Shenzhou 21 crew will be having a slightly extended stay on orbit compared to usual, possibly to help get the "one vehicle for launch, one on standby" cadence back into routine again.
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TheRathalos

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Tianzhou 9 reentered earlier this week, Tianzhou 10 has been rolled out, it is carrying 6.3t of payload including 700kg of propellant, 220 individual items and a new spacesuit (Feitian Gen 2 #F), its mission will be lengthened to 12 months, which is probably going to be supplemented by cargo from the Mengzhou-1 and Qingzhou missions over the next year.
(Sadly CALT has completely whitewashed the livery of the CZ-7)

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4604703.jpg
USA puts more sanctions on Chinese EO companies:
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Galactic Energy inaugurates new Nanjing factory, they aim to produce 10 "Pallas 2" there (roughly comparable to CZ-12B), starting from the end of the year
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Guodian Gaoke (Tianqi constellation) can begin commercial trail of its IoT Tianqi constellation (41 sats in orbit currently)
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Aerospace Hongtu faces largest losses yet:
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Launcher company cosmoleap raises 500M Yuan
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Zhixing space (
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. , they make sar sats) raised more than 100 million yuan


Adaspace (who is developping the 2,800 sats "three body computing constellation") and Meishan Liansheng Photovoltaic Technology (Leascend) signed an agreement for a 1 billion Yuan space solar panel production & R&D project
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CAS Space prepares for sea launch of its Kinetica-1 rocket (previously only launched from Jiuquan), perhaps in the summer:
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Liangshan prefecture, Sichuan, hopes to have the Xichang-based Western commercial launch site project (西部商业航天) operational by 2030, IMO the geography is not favourable to RLVs...

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AZspace's "Dier6+11" recoverable capsule (300kg downmass, 1.2m^3 volume) is undergoing environmental tests, a launch before the end of the year may be possible

Landspace aims for a second launch attempt of the Improved Zhuque-2E on the 13th morning from Jiuquan (last attempt was on March 19th)
 

Wrought

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EO = earth observation, i.e. satellite companies. US hates them for looking at the Middle East.

Meentropy Technology, known as
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, published open-source images detailing US military activity during Operation Epic Fury, while The Earth Eye provided satellite imagery to Iran, the Department of State
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. Chang Guang collected data on US and allied military forces at Tehran’s request, according to the statement. The company has previously been sanctioned by Washington.

The US has sought to restrict commercial satellite imagery in the Middle East during the war with Iran as it can quickly inform military planning. Last month, the Trump administration asked providers of the technology to
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images of designated areas of interest due to the conflict, prompting
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to restrict access to data from the region.

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Asug

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I think there's a discrepancy in the payload mass sent to Tianzhou. Which value is correct for Tianzhou-6?
 

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iantsai

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2026年05月11日08时14分,我国在海南文昌航天发射场用CZ-7遥11运载火箭将天舟十号货运飞船发射升空,随后飞船进入预定轨道,发射任务取得圆满成功。
本次发射的天舟十号货运飞船由中国航天科技集团有限公司所属中国空间技术研究院(航天五院)抓总研制,本次任务总共携带了约6.2吨物资,共计220多件货物,以及700公斤的推进剂。货物主要用于保障神舟二十三号和神舟二十四号两批航天员乘组在轨工作、生活所必备的物品,以及空间站日常运营维护所需要的仪器设备。天舟十号货运飞船装载了1套舱外航天服以及航天员在轨驻留消耗品、推进剂、应用实(试)验装置等物资。此次天舟十号货运飞船继续采用3小时快速交会对接方案,将对接于空间站天和核心舱后向端口。
Tianzhou-10 Cargoship was successfully lauched by CZ-7/Y11 rocket from Wenchang Space Launch Center in 08:14 UTC+8, May 11, 2026.

The mission carries approximately 6.2 tons of supplies, including over 220 pieces of cargo and 700 kilograms of propellant. Tianzhou-10 is also loaded with one set of extravehicular spacesuit for Tiangong. The supplies will support the in-orbit activities of the astronaut crews of Shenzhou-23 and Shenzhou-24 missions and instruments and equipments required for the operations and maintenance of the Tiangong Space Station.

Tianzhou-10 will adopt the 3-hour rapid rendezvous and docking scheme and dock at the rear port of the Tianhe Core Module.
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iantsai

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据中国载人航天工程办公室消息,天舟十号货运飞船入轨后顺利完成状态设置,于5月11日13时11分,成功对接于空间站天和核心舱后向端口。
Tianzhou-10 successfully docked at the aft port of the Tianhe Core Module of the Tiangong Space Station in 13:11 UTC+8, May 11.

Seemingly a little bit later than originally planned, but still a smooth mission.
 
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