This post is for our Pakistani members of the forum.
I just read the book
, its an excellent book that gives a broad overall view of almost every part of the world explains the local geography, politics and ethics situation on the ground.
The India and Pakistan chapter is very interesting, in the book I learned that Pakistan is actually dominated by about 4 ethics groups, Punjabis comprise 60 per cent of the population, the Sindhs 14 per cent, Pashtuns 13.5 per cent and Baluchis 4.5 per cent.
Punjabis are in control of the government as well as capital Islamabad and they are located in the north east part of Pakistan, the Pashtuns are located at West Pakistan bordering Afghanistan, then south west are Pashtuns who border rest of Afghanistan and port of Gwadar as well. Sindhs are top north west of Pakistan, the book says that all 3 groups does not really like Punjabis dominated government who seems them being treated as 2nd class citizens. (please correct if the book is wrong)
He also claims that Pashtuns who live in Pakistan are the same people of Pashtuns who controls Taliban in Afghanistan (also Pashtuns), and those people do not really care about borders, they just go back and forth all the time. He also said that Afghanistan Taliban was created by Pakistan ISI who needed a strategic retreat space in case of being attacked by India, that is why US was never able to defeat the Taliban in Afghanistan, because Pakistan never give up on Taliban and always give them shelter when they fled from Afghanistan to Pakistan. The author also said that the Pashtuns and Baluchis have never really been fully under control of Pakistan government anyway, that they are in the process of fighting a slow civil war for Independence. So again, any of those are true? Taken out of context? If not what you think?
And lastly the most important quest of all, this looks extremely confusing and unstable, and look like the CPEC is going through all areas of Punjabis/Sindhs/Pashtuns/Baluchis controlled territory, who don't like each other very much, and there is also the factor of unstable Afghanistan as well, so that seems the ground situations is pretty complicated?
Also I'm sure China has taken all of this into consideration, but how are China and Pakistan are making sure that this will succeed? To me it look like China/Pakistan has to make sure this corridor going that is going through all of their lands must have local people involved and paid off, and provide long term jobs that benefit the local people, brings long term economic benefit so that they all have a stake in its success, what are the ways that China is doing to make sure this happens? This also means once US is withdraw from Afghanistan, sooner or later the Taliban will take over, or at least take over the Pakistan side of the Afghanistan so that means China also have to pay them off too, with so many party involved and situation so complicated on the ground, what are the risk of failure? This project cannot succeed if the local relations within Pakistan is not managed well.
I'm sorry if anything that I wrote is not accurate, I didn't know anything a bout Pakistan politics before reading this book, and I really didn't want to take the book's word for it, so that's why I want to know is there any Pakistani member here wants to correct me or confirm what I wrote here, please share.
Thank you