China News Thread
- Thread starter KYli
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antiterror13
Brigadier
This is interesting Video from "white" people ...... it is true and much less biased
Han Zheng is one year older than Li Keqiang, and one year younger than Xi Jinping. Liu He is actually the oldest of the bunch. One year older than Xi Jinping. I think Liu He will retire. He Lifeng is too inexperienced to take over as premier.
Han Zheng could potentially fill the role, as he's serving his first term in the Politburo Standing Committee. But having him stay while Li Keqiang retiring seems unlikely, as Li is younger.
So two possible scenarios:
1. Han Zheng takes over as premier, Li becomes Chairman of NPC (there's some idiot writing on the Diplomat saying moving from premiership to NPC Chairman is impossible because it's a demotion, but Li Peng did exact that and it wasn't a demotion).
2. Both Han and Li retire. Hu Chunhua takes over as premier.
The first scenario makes Xi's staying less standout (people think Xi and Li are in the same generation), while the second scenario gives people some young faces while maintain some measure of diversity in top leadership (Hu Chunhua is not Xi's man).
There's the possibility that Wang Yang could take over as premier, however even though Wang was the first vice premier before moving to CPPCC, he has been out of the State Council for too long and the premier's role is to keep the central government machinery running. So I consider the possibility of Wang Yang going back to lead the State Council to be extremely low.
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Could Hu Chunhua be a deal between Xi and Hu Jintao? In addition to being younger than all the other politburo members, Hu Chunhua has almost the perfect experience for premier, including Xizang (for experience in ethnics and border affairs), Hebei and Guangdong (industrialization, including both the rusty heavy industries and the shiny manufacturing sectors, and also issues with dyfunct industry zones), Neimenggu (for ethnics, agriculture, and border), and vice premier. The only shorcoming of Hu is that his tenure in Hubei last only one year.
Another choice could be Chen Min'er (LOL, his given name could be mistaken as "miner" in English). Born in 1960, has experience in Zhejiang (industrialization), Guizhou (agriculture and ethnics) and Chongqing (industrialization and poverty alleviation). But he lacks the crucial experience in northen provinces (for dyfunct industry zones) and those on the country borders.
He Lifeng is not even in the politburo right now. It will be too big a leap for him to become a standing member of the politburo and take the premiership. To me, his resume also does not look as good as Hu and Chen.