China need a new geopolitical Doctrine ?

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Aniah

Senior Member
Registered Member
That's because they're all the same person.
I don't want to say that about every new member who joins because it wasn't long ago either when I came here but their mannerism, attitude, pessimism, and how they seem so well adjusted to this site as if they were here before is something I feel with the majority of them. Then comes the new bans every now and then with many people having the same IP and even worse a certain returning troll. I simply can't help but get annoyed when "new" members come in with a voice that goes against almost everyone here.
 

ansy1968

Brigadier
Registered Member
2 points.

1. To be fair, the USA has anchored a stable order, which China has benefited from immensely.

2. You're talking about the Chinese people sacrificing their business and personal comfort in a competition with the USA.
In the short-term, that might make sense if there was an immediate threat.

But in the long-term, China having healthy hi-tech businesses and a broad middle-class high-income population means Chinese influence will overshadow the USA in any rational competition.

So there shouldn't actually be any need for business or the people to make significant sacrifices.

For example: Chinese companies being forced to develop their own world-class technology is not a sacrifice.
It's a competitive long-term advantage.
Hi AndrewS

Correct in all account as CHINA BENEFITED (AND CONTENTED) greatly from AMERICAN led international order, as you gain from this system it is automatic that you will want to maintain it, that is where the current western containment policy is wrong, Why you had to sacrifice you biggest market (GAIN GREATLY FROM IT) and the HARD EARNED INFLUENCE for IDEOLOGICAL ideas were your perceived rival have no motive to replace you.

Its such an ARROGANCE way of trying to dictate your ideas to a nation that had 5000 years of civilization, its like a child ordering its parent how to do things.
 

solarz

Brigadier
I don't want to say that about every new member who joins because it wasn't long ago either when I came here but their mannerism, attitude, pessimism, and how they seem so well adjusted to this site as if they were here before is something I feel with the majority of them. Then comes the new bans every now and then with many people having the same IP and even worse a certain returning troll. I simply can't help but get annoyed when "new" members come in with a voice that goes against almost everyone here.

Like I said before, it's not exactly subtle when they all argue the exact same points, lol!

Using the same faulty logic no less!
 

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
US policy towards China can always get worse, or it can always be less bad.
Yeah, if China becomes unable to challenge the US, it gets better. If China gets more competitive, it gets worse.
Given that the US is the most powerful and technologically advanced country in the world, there is no reason to make the US policy towards China even worse.
Of course there is; China needs to get stronger, and that will automatically make US policy worse.
So as I said, China should seek to improve relations with the US. Sure there will always be competition in some areas, but to say that there is zero cooperation is not true.
As you said, there is no country that China can offend. Before, it was to make good relations with every country around China by giving them whatever they wanted so China could focus on its main rival, the US. And now, it's that China should capitulate to the US as well. Can you please go belong to another nationality? It's truly a shame that someone like you claims to be Chinese.

How, other than destroying its own competitiveness, can China improve relations with the US?
Also you need to keep in mind that America is a pluralistic democracy, which means people have different opinions. There are people in America even who are favorable towards China and want to cooperate with China. China should do what it can to help these voices to more influential.
Very very few people, both democrat or republican, have a favorable view of China, and I'm totally happy with that because that is a sign that you have them on the ropes. Stop being a coward and realize you need to stand on your own legs rather than look/beg for help from everyone, scared to offend anyone. Or... at least, that's what China does. You live your life your way.
The bottom line is you and some of the Chinese posters here underestimate the United States.
Is that the bottom line? Because most people here think the bottom line is that you overestimate the US and are scared of a fight.
The United States is more advanced than China in technology and it is not that easy to catch up.
Nothing's easy but China's been doing it every day, in some areas already surpassing the US. Easy is a meaningless word here.
The United States has closer relations with more countries than China.

The current configuration is that the US, Japan, South Korea, the rest of the Five Eyes, are firmly in the US camp, India is being driven to the US camp by the border conflict, and even the EU is not happy with what China is doing in Hong Kong, and maintains an arms embargo on China. Who are China's friends? Russia, Pakistan and Iran, not as impressive.

China is surrounded and encircled by a larger alliance which has (a) a bigger economy, (b) a bigger population, (c) is more technologically advanced. It is not in China's interest to exacerbate this situation.
Everything you said was far worse before and getting better everyday. Even in the worst days when the balance was most lopsided against China, China still persevered and grew. Today, things have never been better for China and China will only use this momentum to continue its ascent.

The bottom line is that you are scared of challenge and are under the false impression that if you roll over and show everyone your belly, they'll like you and make your life easier. That may be how you live your life rolling over and getting on your knees at every obstacle, but that doesn't work in international affairs and that is not China's philosophy. Looking at China's growth trajectory, it has no reason to change and will not change to do things your way. It's time you came to terms with this.

PS Remember to reply to the bold.
 
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ansy1968

Brigadier
Registered Member
Yeah, if China becomes unable to challenge the US, it gets better. If China gets more competitive, it gets worse.

Of course there is; China needs to get stronger, and that will automatically make US policy worse.

As you said, there is no country that China can offend. Before, it was to make good relations with every country around China by giving them whatever they wanted so China could focus on its main rival, the US. And now, it's that China should capitulate to the US as well. Can you please go belong to another nationality? It's truly a shame that someone like you claims to be Chinese.

How, other than destroying its own competitiveness, can China improve relations with the US?

Very very few people, both democrat or republican, have a favorable view of China, and I'm totally happy with that because that is a sign that you have them on the ropes. Stop being a coward and realize you need to stand on your own legs rather than look/beg for help from everyone, scared to offend anyone. Or... at least, that's what China does. You live your life your way.

Is that the bottom line? Because most people here think the bottom line is that you overestimate the US and are scared of a fight.

Nothing's easy but China's been doing it every day, in some areas already surpassing the US. Easy is a meaningless word here.

Everything you said was far worse before and getting better everyday. Even in the worst days when the balance was most lopsided against China, China still persevered and grew. Today, things have never been better for China and China will only use this momentum to continue its ascent.

The bottom line is that you are scared of challenge and are under the false impression that if you roll over and show everyone your belly, they'll like you and make your life easier. That may be how you live your life rolling over and getting on your knees at every obstacle, but that doesn't work in international affairs and that is not China's philosophy. Looking at China's growth trajectory, it has no reason to change and will not change to do things your way. It's time you came to terms with this.

PS Remember to reply to the bold.

HI manqiangrexue

China has AWAKEN from its ILLUSION of AMERICA, ITS SYSTEM and ITS VALUE, and had gone back/ REDISCOVER its ROOTS, ITS CONFUCIAN VALUE and CIVILIZATION.

As I said before, these challenges is good , it will redouble CHINA effort to modernized its industry at a FASTER RATE, and realize to reinvest its hard earned income DOMESTICALLY rather than investing in US treasure notes.
 

AndrewS

Brigadier
Registered Member
The bottom line is you and some of the Chinese posters here underestimate the United States.

The United States is more advanced than China in technology and it is not that easy to catch up.

The United States has closer relations with more countries than China.

The current configuration is that the US, Japan, South Korea, the rest of the Five Eyes, are firmly in the US camp, India is being driven to the US camp by the border conflict, and even the EU is not happy with what China is doing in Hong Kong, and maintains an arms embargo on China. Who are China's friends? Russia, Pakistan and Iran, not as impressive.

China is surrounded and encircled by a larger alliance which has (a) a bigger economy, (b) a bigger population, (c) is more technologically advanced. It is not in China's interest to exacerbate this situation.

If China was really that surrounded by a firm US-led alliance like you describe, then I would agree China should do whatever it takes to mend relations and accept a subserviant position to the USA.

But your description is not accurate at all.

1. Japan was previously firmly in the US camp, but now it is hedging for the day when China becomes more important than the USA
2. Korea was previously firmly in the US camp, but now it is hedging and already leaning somewhat towards China.
3. South East Asia now accepts that China is more important than the USA, as per the surveys of decision makers.
4. The EU is not happy with China, but they are not happy with the USA either.

Lots of Americans don't realise this shift has happened, and that we are now in a leaderless world where no-one looks to the USA for leadership. Examples below


EU Leads Effort to Create Alternate Trade Court as U.S. Prepares for WTO Reform Talks
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US absent from global conference to raise money for coronavirus vaccine
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EU asks US to rethink World Health Organization withdrawal
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The U.S. is hurtling toward another trade war — but this time it isn't with China
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ASEAN’s future: China or the US?
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Brainsuker

Junior Member
Registered Member
Cooperation is not a yes-no, it is at the margins. The reality is, Chinese companies are still raising a lot of capital from the US, China is still exporting a lot of goods to the US, Chinese students are still learning in the US, and the US has not recognized Taiwan or anything like that.

US policy towards China can always get worse, or it can always be less bad.

Given that the US is the most powerful and technologically advanced country in the world, there is no reason to make the US policy towards China even worse.

So as I said, China should seek to improve relations with the US. Sure there will always be competition in some areas, but to say that there is zero cooperation is not true.

Also you need to keep in mind that America is a pluralistic democracy, which means people have different opinions. There are people in America even who are favorable towards China and want to cooperate with China. China should do what it can to help these voices to more influential.

But it is about to change, isn't it? Trump block everything that has any relation with China. Like China students are getting blocked to study in USA, Trump start to use Taiwan to oppose China, etc. That relationship start to wane. Even if China wants to improve the relationship, it looks futile. Trump even threat to stop every relationship with China. These event can goes directly to Cold War 2.0.

So I think the thread is right, that if Cold War 2.0 is really happening. What will China do. So the question that we're discussing is, what will change with China's doctrine, if Cold War 2.0 become a reality.
 

AndrewS

Brigadier
Registered Member
But it is about to change, isn't it? Trump block everything that has any relation with China. Like China students are getting blocked to study in USA, Trump start to use Taiwan to oppose China, etc. That relationship start to wane. Even if China wants to improve the relationship, it looks futile. Trump even threat to stop every relationship with China. These event can goes directly to Cold War 2.0.

So I think the thread is right, that if Cold War 2.0 is really happening. What will China do. So the question that we're discussing is, what will change with China's doctrine, if Cold War 2.0 become a reality.

From the comments reported in the Chinese media, they see the 2020s as a difficult time for strategic competition, but that things will get better in the 2030s.

In the 2020s, you would expect much more friction with the USA whilst China is/becoming a rival in every respect.
But by the 2030s, if China has clearly surpassed the USA in terms of economic heft and become a hi-tech nation, the friction will decrease as the US reconciles itself to the situation.

So my view is to power through the next decade in terms of GDP growth and R&D spending.
But this is dependent on internal Chinese reforms and performance, rather than being dependent on imports and foreign tech.

At the same time, China needs to prevent a hostile alliance from containing China.
Part of that is building a big enough military to deter such an alliance from being created by the USA.
 

Wangxi

Junior Member
Registered Member
For those who want to read John Bolton's book, there is a lot of talk about China, Huawei, and the divisions of the Trump administration.
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He starts talking about China on page 260.
 
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