its not gonna end, its just beginning
just wait until october youll see
China need a new geopolitical Doctrine ?
- Thread starter MrCrazyBoyRavi
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just wait until october youll see
What's happening in October? Please tell.
Trump henchmen said he was going to keep escalating every 1 or 2 weeks until the election
Many think SCS goes hot by mid Oct
I don't want to speculate
Many who? The Western Alliance, Americans, or folks in China. I dont think Trump will risk a military confrontation in the SCS so close to the elections. What happens if it does not go as well for him as expected.
If he views it as only way to cancel elections then he might go through with it.
If he starts the war in mid to late October there would not be enough time for outcome yet since dust wouldnt have settled by nov 6.
This topic seems to get brought up often in the last week. I have yet to see a reputable commentator or source indicating any potential military engagement against China in the SCS (please post here if you see any). It does not mean that China is not ready for a confrontation, just that it is highly unlikely.
As many people have mentioned before, a military engagement in SCS would require the U.S. to be the aggressor and there is no way for Trump to get enough internal support for that. If the Trump Admin is unwilling to engage Iran or Syria militarily, then China is not even in the realm of possibilities.
I do agree that the Trump Admin will try to escalate tensions with China up and until the election, but these escalations will largely be symbolic in nature and economic attacks. We might see more of Pompeo's desperate speeches like the one calling for regime change in China or maybe another speech on SCS / HK / Xinjiang. Trump would need significantly more internal support (especially from Democrats) to go beyond these gestures as the risks will be a lot higher.
Given problems at home such as COVID, racial tensions, economic / unemployment and fight between liberals vs. conservatives, Trump's best hope of reelection is diverting attention to China, which is what he has been trying to do. IMO China is waiting till election results to act. Further escalation against the U.S. by China now plays into Trump's hand of diverting media attention.
Except the Democrats and other law makers aren't that foolish.
If Trump really wanted to start a war to divert elections, he would have done it with Iran.
I hope not, but you'll never know with Trump. I think he'll do anything to cling on to power.
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