American Economics Thread

chgough34

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Are we still blaming COVID19 for the entire year of 2023 when we re-opened in mid 2020?
No. Seasonal adjustments (way oversimplified) work by taking a moving average of the prior number of time periods and then takes the historic value at y(t) divided by y(t-1)….y(t-60) in order to remove the seasonal effect from the underlying trend. 2020 numbers were obviously unique but were throwing into the seasonal adjustments so the resulting seasonal adjustment coefficients were all quite haywire. And only until enough time has passed that those values fall off the panel is when COVID related seasonal weirdness goes away
 

luminary

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A study by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Eviction Lab at Princeton University shows
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associated with evictions. “Simply being threatened with an eviction—even when that case did not result in an eviction judgment—was associated with a 19% increase in mortality,”
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. “Receiving an eviction judgment was associated with a 40% increase in death.

Post-eviction, there is a
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. Homeless individuals die at an average age of 50 years old.
 

abenomics12345

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Lets move this discussion here @chgough34.

I understand Preventative Care is 'free' - but me, as someone who's a regular Joe, my head hurts - I have no idea what on that list I need to get. Is it because I drank too much last night or is it early onset of a brain tumour? I have no idea.

I need to visit my PCP correct? Is that visit free? Or do I need to pay for that visit?

If I need to pay, is that not a dis-incentive for me to visit? Obviously if its a hangover the visit is a waste, but if its a tumour then it obviously isn't a waste. But there is now way to know ex-ante.

Ultimately the decision to pay for that initial visit is still born by the individual - and my entire point is that the individual should not be asked to make these risk/reward tradeoffs - because they don't know how.
 

chgough34

Junior Member
Registered Member
Lets move this discussion here @chgough34.

I understand Preventative Care is 'free' - but me, as someone who's a regular Joe, my head hurts - I have no idea what on that list I need to get. Is it because I drank too much last night or is it early onset of a brain tumour? I have no idea.

I need to visit my PCP correct? Is that visit free? Or do I need to pay for that visit?

If I need to pay, is that not a dis-incentive for me to visit? Obviously if its a hangover the visit is a waste, but if its a tumour then it obviously isn't a waste. But there is now way to know ex-ante.

Ultimately the decision to pay for that initial visit is still born by the individual - and my entire point is that the individual should not be asked to make these risk/reward tradeoffs - because they don't know how.
Presumably, one only sees a doctor if the headache is sustained over a longer than normal period of time. The most likely adverse outcomes won’t worry about cost, either because they are on Medicaid/Medicare or are in a POS/HMO plan, and thus HDHPs. But people in HDHPs adversely select to be wealthier and healthier; so they shouldn’t be too stressed to visit a doctor and more importantly, both Oregon and RAND have substantial empirical evidence that consumers are able to make this choice themselves when faced with a budget constraint
 

abenomics12345

Junior Member
Registered Member
Presumably, one only sees a doctor if the headache is sustained over a longer than normal period of time. The most likely adverse outcomes won’t worry about cost,
Well look if your argument is that a layman can diagnose their own health why have doctors in the first place. The nature of having a professional is that they are the ones deciding whether one is okay or not.
 

supercat

Major

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A study by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Eviction Lab at Princeton University shows
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associated with evictions. “Simply being threatened with an eviction—even when that case did not result in an eviction judgment—was associated with a 19% increase in mortality,”
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
. “Receiving an eviction judgment was associated with a 40% increase in death.

Post-eviction, there is a
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. Homeless individuals die at an average age of 50 years old.
Even Japan's banking sector is affected by America's real estate market.
 
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