American Economics Thread

HereToSeePics

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Isnt it a good time to invest in US rental property then ? Granted the rise in price(NAV) might cool or even correct quite a bit, but with yield(rental)running so high cash flow will certainly looks good.

I wouldn’t - the average retail 30y mortgage rate just breached 6% - a value that hasn’t been seen just prior to the 2008-2009 financial collapse. There was so much inflation(money printing) driven demand for homes over the last 4 years that people are still paying ridiculous prices for real estate, but once more and more buyers start getting priced out of the credit market due to the higher rates, demand will drop significantly, as would home prices.
 

Nutrient

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From the Breaking News thread, but I think my response is more appropriate here ...

Americans aren't just watching the proxy war comfortably though, they are probably laughing since US is selling LNG at more expensive prices to Europe, making a profit.
Let the Americans laugh. The only reason their oil prices aren't sky high is that Biden has been emptying their piggy bank: selling oil from their Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). Needless to say, this is extremely short-sighted.

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, half of the medium sour crude will be gone from their SPR. The medium sour is what their own refineries can handle; the rest, about 15% of what the SPR was last year, is light sweet crude.

So their strategic reserves of medium sour might last until next year -- maybe, if nothing goes wrong. Perhaps a little longer than that, if they can mix some Venezuelan heavy sour with their remaining light sweet.

When the SPR is exhausted, watch the US's oil prices hit the roof. And the Americans won't be laughing any more.
 

GodRektsNoobs

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Nah, the US would just spike oil production (
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) and harvest Saudi Arabia
Have you seen Saudi's actions lately? They are the opposite of a country that's laying flat and waiting to be harvested (ie Japan). Also, there is simply no way US domestic production could remotely satisfy global demand. It's absurdity of the highest order. If it could, you'd think they would have done something already. Honestly you are starting to sound like a certain former member of this forum known for his sleepy habits.
 

hhuang41

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Have you seen Saudi's actions lately? They are the opposite of a country that's laying flat and waiting to be harvested (ie Japan).
Saudi Arabia has limited leverage when its entire existence is dependent on the United States
Also, there is simply no way US domestic production could remotely satisfy global demand. It's absurdity of the highest order.
The US doesn't need to satisfy global demand. It can ban oil exports as it historically has done and spike domestic production in the United States. In fact, making the US a cheap oasis of energy while the rest of the world has expensive oil makes the US a far more competitive place to do business
 

hhuang41

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Saudi Arabia has limited leverage when its entire existence is dependent on the United States

The US doesn't need to satisfy global demand. It can ban oil exports as it historically has done and spike domestic production in the United States. In fact, making the US a cheap oasis of energy while the rest of the world has expensive oil makes the US a far more competitive place to do business
The United States oil deficit (in the years it exists) is entirely covered by imports from Canada; however bad high gas prices may get to be in the United States, it is infinitely worse for the rest of the world
 

GodRektsNoobs

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Saudi Arabia has limited leverage when its entire existence is dependent on the United States

The US doesn't need to satisfy global demand. It can ban oil exports as it historically has done and spike domestic production in the United States. In fact, making the US a cheap oasis of energy while the rest of the world has expensive oil makes the US a far more competitive place to do business
Yes, and you think that would never change? Once upon a time, US had limited leverage and its entire existence was dependent on Britain. It's funny how arguments defending US in 2022 assume status quo is perpetual.

As for your second point. I'll believe you when US shale gas becomes cheaper than Russian pipe gas. In fact, US attempt to put a price gap on Russia gas actually will work further against your assumption, assuming it actually works. Besides, even our Canadian gas honestly can't compete with Russian gas on price.

BTW Sleepy, it's time to get off the computer. The more you type, the more deranged you sound.
 

hhuang41

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"In 2021, the United States exported about 8.63 million b/d of petroleum to 176 countries and 4 U.S. territories. Crude oil exports of about 2.98 million b/d accounted for 35% of total U.S. gross petroleum exports in 2021. The resulting total net petroleum imports (imports minus exports) were about -0.16 million b/d in 2021, which means that the United States was a net petroleum exporter of 0.16 million b/d in 2021."
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