Brumby
Major
There are three key underlying premises in my view and so they must be understood as a contextual reference.Heh! Heh! Heh! What?? did you get a new pencil sharpener for Christmas??? well let me be a little obnoxious before addressing your concerns with direct quotes from my old man, Air Force C-130 IP and Supply Officer, and General Tight-Wad, he always claimed to be Scottish in order to justify his frugality?? turns out we are more likely Teutonic/Swiss.
Quote 1 "Liars figure, and figures Lie!"
Quote 2 "Go with what you Got!"
I am a proponent of super-maneuverability, and no it does not require TVC, but, since my position is the "status quo" in the USAF, and all our partner Air Forces, it is YOU sir, not I who need to defend your own 3G aircraft, and make a case that anyone should be worried about air combat 50-60 years in the future???
To start, the 7-9G fighter aircraft is the "industry standard", what is going to happen when you slam that poor little "ultra light" onto an aircraft carrier deck??? I'm having trouble with stresses and cracking with my 7 G airplane now, and will have to re-engineer, replace or repair the main bulkhead in my F-35B, an aircraft which you state in the F-35 thread is "well designed".
Going further, what will happen when the bad guy in a J-20/T-50 or whatever are on your six and get a "missile lock" on your aircraft??? are you going for broke trying to "break that Lock" or are you just gonna "take your medicine". Either way, in your 3G bird, you are "dead meat"?
Finally, your 3G bird is not going to last your requisite 50-60 years?? it just isn't??
Firstly, the notion of choices in a design that are tradeoffs. Secondly the notion of competitive edge that will likely drive an outcome in any future air to air engagement. Finally, the likely trend of future engagements.
The question is what would be a clear choice when faced with a decision between stealth or maneuverability (not having both). It is not whether maneuverability is important or necessary. In my view, I would take stealth any day because I would get the first shot as stealth gives me a competitive edge every time there is an air to air engagement. It is a statistical fact that PK's on BVR are improving. Ongoing trends suggest BVR will dominate because of development in sensor range and AAM. Technological developments are geared towards even more potent AAM. The unknown is how lasers would change this equation. Philosophically, BVR will be the dominant engagement and you want to tactically position an aerial asset that would give you the edge in such an engagement rather than in exceptions.
Theoretically, an LRSB armed with a truckload of long range AAM's and defensive lasers operating at sub sonic speed can take on a whole air wing of super maneuverable non stealthy adversaries.
BVR received bad press during the Vietnam era because long range AAM's were unreliable and so the PK's were poor. However the trend and PK's are clear where the future is.We've been through the whole Metric of WVR combat is out of date? and we don't need a gun "ad nauseam", and still we keep having to come back to the robust, maneuverable aircraft, with its gun to do the job.
Take the example of the B-52's. They are excellent work horse and are still useful for certain missions but they are not survivable in a non permissive environment unless operating from standoff range. The difference between it and a B-2 is stealth.As a final thought, we are 115 years into the history of flight, the C-130, B-52, and Tu-95, are still in service and still ably performing their missions with up-grades, but they are transports and bombers?? even though some third string air-forces may be operating old fighters, they are old fighters that are no longer competitive in the real world of peers,and near peers.
I have never disputed all the excellent features that goes into a fighter design are not necessary. My only point is when faced with design choices, I would say stealth takes precedent over maneuverability.and for my PS, the study you quoted only affirms my statement that agile fighters will require a vertical stabilizer to remain competitive in the real world of air-combat. Fighter aircraft development has in the past, and likely will in the future continue on a relatively "linear" pathway, with incremental advancements in airframes and weapons.
I opened this thread about ACM in order to learn a little something about how effective modern AAM actually are, and if in fact ACM can/will give us an opportunity to survive in the currently very hostile environment of AAM and SAM? Feel free to exercise your flights of fancy, and design for future fighters, but please indulge me a little when it comes to your thoughts of the threat, and defeating that threat? thanks much Brat
I apologise if the conversation on stealth has taken the main topic off course. I agree with Scratch's post #12 that there are so many variables that it is impossible to conclude to what extend maneuvering as a counter measure is sufficient to escape a lock. It requires a combination of counter measures in an attempt to escape and even with that, we know the chances are less than 50 % as evident by the PK's. Hence the ultimate edge is first shoot and that comes with stealth. However with lasers, intuitively the game changes somewhat but makes maneuvering even more redundant as you can't out maneuver light.