Frontal area is an imperfect, not necessarily a poor proxy for maximum cross sectional area.
Re: CAD: the problem is that we'd need to get a CAD model up, whereas the model-makers have already done CAD measurements for us.
Re: VTech,
They seem to be including the probe in the dimensions; they seem to have gone off an old Paralay diagram that measured it at approximately 20x13. The final measures are 20.95 x 12.88, implying 4.75% error in the length axis and .93% error in the wingspan axis.
I think one way to consider the supercruise claim would be to scale the AL-31 to the WS-10IPE, which has a claimed maximum thrust of 142kN. That's roughly a 16% increase in thrust. This puts us up to 15.66 kN dry thrust at 10km, assuming linear scaling, which is enough for pseudo-supercruise at Mach 1.1, with afterburner boost. If, however, often factors squeeze in, such as the possibility that the inlets are designed for the potential airflow needs of the higher-powered WS-15, not the AL-31F, it is possible that actual thrust is higher. As I understand it, the DSI geometry has changed from the J-20 2001 prototype to the production models, so it's possible that the inlets are now more optimized for transsonic speeds at altitude, and may be downgraded once the upgraded engines come out.
About the Mach 2.9 speed, if you look around on Chinese sites, they seem to cite 3Mm/h speeds, or Mach 2.9. One possibility is simply going from 87 kN WS-10IPE dry to 180 kN WS-15, afterburner. This clearly puts us at Mach 2.9, but of course, we know the J-20 is not currently capable of Mach 2.9 speeds due to engine weakness.
Re: CAD: the problem is that we'd need to get a CAD model up, whereas the model-makers have already done CAD measurements for us.
Re: VTech,
They seem to be including the probe in the dimensions; they seem to have gone off an old Paralay diagram that measured it at approximately 20x13. The final measures are 20.95 x 12.88, implying 4.75% error in the length axis and .93% error in the wingspan axis.
I think one way to consider the supercruise claim would be to scale the AL-31 to the WS-10IPE, which has a claimed maximum thrust of 142kN. That's roughly a 16% increase in thrust. This puts us up to 15.66 kN dry thrust at 10km, assuming linear scaling, which is enough for pseudo-supercruise at Mach 1.1, with afterburner boost. If, however, often factors squeeze in, such as the possibility that the inlets are designed for the potential airflow needs of the higher-powered WS-15, not the AL-31F, it is possible that actual thrust is higher. As I understand it, the DSI geometry has changed from the J-20 2001 prototype to the production models, so it's possible that the inlets are now more optimized for transsonic speeds at altitude, and may be downgraded once the upgraded engines come out.
About the Mach 2.9 speed, if you look around on Chinese sites, they seem to cite 3Mm/h speeds, or Mach 2.9. One possibility is simply going from 87 kN WS-10IPE dry to 180 kN WS-15, afterburner. This clearly puts us at Mach 2.9, but of course, we know the J-20 is not currently capable of Mach 2.9 speeds due to engine weakness.