2026 Israel-US vs. Iran conflict [Military updates/News Only]

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fleetmaestrooo

New Member
Registered Member
plawolf said:
You have it backwards. If you want to argue that the current round of assassinations are working, the burden of proof really is on you to demonstrate how any of these successful assassinations have contributed to reducing Iranian attacks and war fighting capabilities.

If there is no observable impact, then what does that say about the effectiveness of this strategy?
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No strategy shows instant results in the middle of an ongoing conflict. These strikes arent meant to stop attacks overnight.I think they aree about weakening leadership, coordination, and continuity over time.
By the end of this, Iran as a state may survive, or it could fragment without the current regime. And even if a more hardline regime takes over, the question is whether it would be as effective as the current one.
A collapsed country isn’t a functional one. For all its shortcomings, the current regime has managed the country’s position despite sanctions. If things spiral, you could end up with something closer to Syria or Libya. Chaos not stability.
 
zyklon

zyklon

Senior Member
Registered Member
Looks like President Trump may have finally come to the
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that the US military will be unable to secure the Strait of Hormuz, at least not at an acceptable price in terms of military casualties and political capital.

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As usual, Trump may not have "thought things through" prior to tweeting: Saudi Arabia and more broadly the GCC's commitment to the petrodollar is premised upon America's willingness and ability to serve as their security guarantor.

If the US won't or can't secure the Strait of Hormuz, the Gulf's Arab sheikhdoms will inevitably have little choice but to consider "alternative" regional security and financial architectures.
 
plawolf

plawolf

Lieutenant General
fleetmaestrooo said:
No strategy shows instant results in the middle of an ongoing conflict.
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Not really true. Iran hitting regional US bases and closing the strait of Hormuz both had rapid, independently observable impacts on the war at the tactical and strategic levels.

Indeed, Israeli assassination tactics have also had rapid and observable impacts on this war, only its been the exact opposite of what they intended as the killing of Khamenei and other leaders in the opening strike has only served to make Iran much more unified, decisive and bold in the way they are fighting this war compared to the earlier 12 day war.

fleetmaestrooo said:
These strikes arent meant to stop attacks overnight.I think they aree about weakening leadership, coordination, and continuity over time.
By the end of this, Iran as a state may survive, or it could fragment without the current regime. And even if a more hardline regime takes over, the question is whether it would be as effective as the current one.
A collapsed country isn’t a functional one. For all its shortcomings, the current regime has managed the country’s position despite sanctions. If things spiral, you could end up with something closer to Syria or Libya. Chaos not stability.
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Well, please find me one example where regime changes has been achieved via purely air strikes with zero boots on the ground or local rebels you can use as boots on the ground.
 
R

Ringsword

Senior Member
Registered Member
RottenPanzer said:
He still lives in one of his apartment btw when he was killed. They barely put any security considerations for their top brass.
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Should've been in a secure IRGC armoured bunker deep under 100 meters of granite/reinforced concrete/steel-moved constantly bunker-to-bunker and FFS ,no Iphone,Samsung,Ericcson,Motorola cellphone/no tablet/laptop-when will these Iranians learn??
 
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