2026 Iran War Strategy and Analysis

plawolf

plawolf

Lieutenant General
phrozenflame said:
There is no way Iran gets Nuclear umbrella from Pakistan in current situation.

I think it’s likely a mix of 1,4,5,6.
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Theoretically, if credible intelligence was unearthed of an imminent nuclear strike by Israel or America, Pakistan or another party could fly one of their own tactical nukes into Iran for a demonstration detonation test in the desert.

Ideally the blast would be done underground so that no analysis of the fallout material could be done by outside parties to unearth the true province of the warhead. And such a demonstration should immediately cancel any ISUS nuclear strike ideas as immediately suicidal.

Obviously massive risk for the country donating the nuke inherent in sending a nuke into an active war zone with minimal ability to safeguard it from attack or seizure by the Iranians. But it is a viable way to derail any ISUS nuclear strike plans if anyone was brave enough to risk it.
 
FriedRiceNSpice

FriedRiceNSpice

Major
plawolf said:
Thus far, the Saudis have shown a decent degree of restraint and good sense and appears to be listening to the sage advice Pakistan and China are no doubt whispering in their ear.

Indeed, I think it’s a sign that some degree of understanding has been reached that the Houthis are now getting actively engaged in the fight instead of being wholly held back as a hedge against Saudi Arabia doing all-in on Trump.

If SA can remain neutral and essentially stay out of this fight for the most part, then they will be in a position to be the peacemakers after, and broker a new ME security framework based on Arab and Muslim self-determination and co-operation backed up with full spectrum Chinese state-of-the-art arms paid for using all the Yuan they will have from ditching the petrodollar for the petroyuan.
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At this stage, it is still not entirely clear the degree to which SA is complicit in the pedo-imperialists' strikes on Iran. Despite China pushing SA and Iran into normalization of relations, there exists still deep rooted emity and mistrust between SA and Iran.
 
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RobertC

Junior Member
Registered Member
A significant indicator is whether or not Oman will allow US military ships and aircraft to use its ports and airfields for staging operations or for refueling and replenishment.

If Oman says No, then distances and positions become difficult for the US military. It also isolates Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Qatar has already said they are out of the conflict. Saudi Arabia seems on the fence and hopefully China will help them over it. That isolates the UAE, loved only for its money, directly across the Strait which is Iran's chokehold on the GCC's lifeblood. The USrael war will end before the November elections, perhaps shortly after Trump's visit to China.

If Oman says Yes, the spines of Saudi Arabia and the UAE will be stiffened and Oman will have years of regret.
 
T

tokenanalyst

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
As expected, the US and Israel are depleting their arsenals at a pretty fast rate because they both prepared for a short week long war and Iran prepared for a long multi year protracted war. What the US can do now? Well one solution is the Russification of the US military, I not saying it because Russia is weak, Russia is a still pretty strong military, but high tech weaponry are complicated to make and require time to be made so they can't be use in a protracted war, I am referring to the US relying in cheap and way less effective weapons. The problem for the US, the tyranny of distance, Russia is fighting from its border, the US from Aircraft carriers and far off bases.​
 
K

klimsa

New Member
Registered Member
tokenanalyst said:
As expected, the US and Israel are depleting their arsenals at a pretty fast rate because they both prepared for a short week long war and Iran prepared for a long multi year protracted war. What the US can do now? Well one solution is the Russification of the US military, I not saying it because Russia is weak, Russia is a still pretty strong military, but high tech weaponry are complicated to make and require time to be made so they can't be use in a protracted war, I am referring to the US relying in cheap and way less effective weapons. The problem for the US, the tyranny of distance, Russia is fighting from its border, the US from Aircraft carriers and far off bases.​
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Cheap weapons don't make for good embezzling. The MIC, and the way it spends its money, are not a product of coincidence. Of course, that doesn't help them fight wars esp. as we are entering the drone age, but much like the financial sector, these industries are bigger than national interest at this point.
 
T

tokenanalyst

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
klimsa said:
Cheap weapons don't make for good embezzling. The MIC, and the way it spends its money, are not a product of coincidence. Of course, that doesn't help them fight wars esp. as we are entering the drone age, but much like the financial sector, these industries are bigger than national interest at this point.
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That is another problem. cheap easy to make weapons don't make the profits for the MIC companies and I have my doubts that crypto stooge tech bros like this clown understand that.

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R

RobertC

Junior Member
Registered Member
This announcement must be independently confirmed but Iran's evolving partnership with Oman seems to be strengthening:

A member of Iran’s National Security Commission announced that a plan to manage the Strait of Hormuz has been approved.

Key points of the plan include:

1. Enhanced security measures in the strait

2. Naval vessel safety protocols

3. Environmental protection considerations

4. Financial and fee regulations

5. Banning passage of US and Israeli vessels

6. Reinforcing Iran’s sovereign authority and role of its armed forces

7. Collaboration with Oman on the legal framework

8. Restricting access for countries enforcing unilateral sanctions against Iran
 
FairAndUnbiased

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
sheogorath said:
I would think scrapping them would be safer and you wouldn't run the risk of getting pilots killed if you want to get rid of the A-10. The Su-25 aren't doing great survival wise and thats a faster platform being used stand-off-ish as flying Grad, I can only imagine what will happen to the A-10's

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2038658231271317861
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I wonder if a few Mohajers equipped with R-60s or MANPADs wouldn't trade favorably with A-10s?
 
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