Trying to make count. I don't think 2nd DD and 6th DD will get new ships.
9th Destroyer Division SSF -- 170, 171, 172, 173, 174, 175
No new ships coming? Along with the 6th, this is the most experienced destroyer division in the PLAN.
6th Division ESF --- 150, 151, 152, 153, 154, 155, 156 Zibo (latest)
Awaiting
157 Nanning --- 052DL currently in Jiangnan.
Getting new ships
10th Destroyer Division NSF. Formerly all Ludas, making it a butt joke within the Chinese Navy. Now its all getting a bunch of new ships. Transition from 051 to 052D, which is a huge gap in technology, is taking a while. With the exception of 122 Tangshan, every 052D of this division comes from Dalian. Not sure why.
New ships
119 Guiyang (not sure if this ship is 1st or 10th)
120 Chengdu -- This ship, and with 119, is being used to train and transition Luda division to 052D
121 Qiqihar -- Sitting on Dalian waiting for the 10th to get it.
122 Tangshan -- Finished trials, and waiting for the 10th to get it. Sitting in Jiangnan
123 --- 052DL in Dalian
124 --- 052DL in Dalian
3rd Destroyer Division ESF. Previous ships
131 --- 052D
136 --- Sov, now refit
137 --- Sov, now refit
138 --- Sov
139 --- Sov
This destroyer division is being overhauled to 052D standard. Next ships
132 --- 052DL Suzhou on trials
133 --- 052DL in Jiangnan
134 --- 052DL in Jiangnan
2nd Destroyer Division SSF. Current ships
161 Hohhot --- 052D
167 Shenzhen --- 051B refit
168 Guangzhou --- 052B currently in active for refit
169 Wuhan --- 052B, still active
Recently retired
165 --- This is a Luda
166 Zhuhai --- Also a Luda.
Now it has free numbers from 162 to 166. Three will be filled.
162 --- 052DL in Jiangnan
163 --- 052DL in Dalian
164 --- 052DL in Jiangnan
1st Destroyer Division NSF. Current ships
101 055 Nanchang
112 052 Harbin
113 052 Qingdao
115 051C Shenyang
116 051C Shijiazhuang
117 052D Xining
118 052D Urumqi
119 052D Guiyang (not sure if this is 1st or 10th).
I have seen this list given for 055 but they seem speculative.
Jiangnan Shipyard
Ship #1 101 Nanchang, in active service
Ship #2 102 Lhasa, to be commissioned
Ship #5 103 Anshan, being outfitted
Ship #7 104 X X, being outfitted
Dalian Shipyard
Ship #3 105 Dalian, under sea trial
Ship #4 106 Yanʼan, being outfitted
Ship #6 107 Zunyi, being outfitted
Ship #8 108 X X, under section assembly at dry dock
These numbers would suggest all 8 ships are going into the NSF with the 1st Destroyer Division. I kind of having doubts that all these ships are going to the 1st, unless you are anticipating a mass exit of four ships, namely the veterans 112, 113, 115 and 116. This will free manpower and port facilities.
This large concentration of 055 to me in the north points to carrier CV17 and possibly even CV18, will be permanently stationed in Qingdao.
It won't make sense to have CV17 Shandong stationed in Hainan, which is the home of the 9th Destroyer Division, when the 9th, although an experienced group, isn't getting any new ship, 052DL or 055.
Unless of course, some of the pennants are wrong.
If any new 052DL or 055 goes to the 9th and stationed in Hainan, the pennant will fill 176, 177, 178 and 179. The lack of any planned 052DL going to the 9th, suggests to me 176 to 179 might be all 055 in the future if a carrier will be stationed there, and this is the only other port in China that can host one other than Qingdao. Already one of the Type 901 is stationed in that base.
So you have alternative paths with carrier and 055 deployment. Where the 055 will go, that's where the carrier will follow. Where the carrier goes, that's where the 055 will follow.
I am also inclined that there might be a ratio of 4 055 to 1 carrier, the current 8 will satisfy the two existing carriers. For 003, its going to call for another batch of four 055.
The numbers of 055s are not confirmed. I assume the 1st and 9th divisions will share the 8 055s, not matter what number they are given.