ISIS/ISIL conflict in Syria/Iraq (No OpEd, No Politics)

SampanViking

SampanViking

The Capitalist
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there is apparently a massive and unified terrorist assault against Government forces in Southern Aleppo currently ongoing since yesterday.
The aim appears not to reopen the Castillo Rd, but to force passage through to the most Southern and Westerly tip of Occupied Aleppo.
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The terrorists appear to be making some progress; which; of itself, is not that much of a surprise given the supposed large scale of the offensive. The question is more of how much this move was anticipated or indeed intercepted by Syrian/Russian intelligence and prepared for.

The other thing that occurs to me, looking a the map, is what an insecure passage way this would be and how unlikely it would be for the terrorists to be able to keep it open.
Could it simply be a final chance for trapped fighters to force a passage and flee the city?
 
Jura The idiot

Jura The idiot

General
LOL Mr. Assad perhaps believed his own Propaganda
Friday at 10:42 AM
SampanViking said:
You may be interested Jura, that the next declared target is Kafr Hamra, which is the town just to the West of where the two SAA forces have joined.

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Click to expand...
Saturday at 3:46 PM
SampanViking said:
SANA and Almasdar have been reporting all day that civilians from East Aleppo are starting to trickle out through the Humanitarian Corridors and that some fighters are also laying down their weapons and exiting as well.

...
Click to expand...
... and here's is the turn:
Today at 10:12 AM
SampanViking said:
there is apparently a massive and unified terrorist assault against Government forces in Southern Aleppo currently ongoing since yesterday.
The aim appears not to reopen the Castillo Rd, but to force passage through to the most Southern and Westerly tip of Occupied Aleppo.
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


The terrorists appear to be making some progress; which; of itself, is not that much of a surprise given the supposed large scale of the offensive. The question is more of how much this move was anticipated or indeed intercepted by Syrian/Russian intelligence and prepared for.

The other thing that occurs to me, looking a the map, is what an insecure passage way this would be and how unlikely it would be for the terrorists to be able to keep it open.
Could it simply be a final chance for trapped fighters to force a passage and flee the city?
Click to expand...

now just the most recent
  1. chopper down:
    Cow0fAtWgAATW3f.jpg
    and
  2. the latest map from a pro-Government Twitter account:
    CownMpqUkAALqLY.jpg
and soon I'll update ...
 
Jura The idiot

Jura The idiot

General
let me look back
Jun 4, 2016
Jura said:
May 8, 2016
Jura said:
... Government had lost the area around
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in the morning of May 6; using that map anyway, I approximated this area by the white arrowhead, and the threat to the Government could be its forces in Aleppo might be trapped (which I approximated by the white line: I'm predicting NOTHING though):
9Plby.jpg
Click to expand...

anyway can't resist :) to compare to what I saw in Twitter
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a moment ago:
CkEA9EbWkAAaSd_.jpg

​
EDIT
it's about five kilometers through the Government held-territory in between Marata (lost yesterday) and the sewage plant:
ZLoYK.jpg
Click to expand...
as the last map is usable now: the Government lost "al-Hikma area", shown in middle-top (saw a vid) etc. ... I'm going to update this evening
 
Jura The idiot

Jura The idiot

General
Jura said:
... I'm going to update this evening
Click to expand...
lwI6Q.jpg


based on what I saw at
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around 1830 hours and compared to info in Twitter, and based on several available videos, I approximate the current positions by the red lines in the map above:
let's see tomorrow
 
Jura The idiot

Jura The idiot

General
flqu.jpg
as far as I understand (based on what I read in Russian Internet and in Twitter), on Sunday, July 31, anti-Government forces took from it from Khirbat Mara'ta area
https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/is...no-oped-no-policis.t6913/page-375#post-400603
in the bottom-left corner of the above map, and yesterday took over Al-Hikma and Musrifah
https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/is...no-oped-no-policis.t6913/page-400#post-408083
their objective being "Ramouseh Artillery Base / Academy" (in yellow above); if it was achieved, they would connect with so called besieged Aleppo (anti-Government units in the top-right corner, "where Wikipapia sign is") ... totally critical situation for the Government forces in the area (you may want to look at the gentleman behind a Russian journalist:
JP0zY.jpg
have to go now
 
thunderchief

thunderchief

Senior Member
I will give my bold assessment that rebels actually lost war yesterday (August 1st 2016) . Their major offensive , announced and trumped trough media (amateurish mistake IMHO ) didn't make much progress and they suffered heavy losses. Today we already have attacks and counter-attacks without much territorial gains. Aleppo remains surrounded and likely in following days Syrian army would have full control over it . SAA is far for being effective military, but still they do have undeniable advantage in firepower, especially on open ground. They managed to wither down rebel manpower, what remains now is grinding down individual pockets of resistance. This would drag on, but without major intervention from outside of Syria, I would say that rebellion days are numbered.
 
Jura The idiot

Jura The idiot

General
interestingly, also this post
Jul 20, 2016
Jura said:

... but now I read in Twitter claim(s) anti-Government forces cut the Government supply route in the area which I put in red ellipse in the map below (OK I just located the area (before I forget :) "Al-Ameria" & "Ramouseh"), I don't know if the claims are true, and I don't know about supply route(s) there):
8ijrd.jpg
Click to expand...
is kinda usable, as anti-Government forces reportedly blew up tunnel bombs in, well, Al-Ameria & Ramouseh this afternoon (I mean I know where it is) ... some pro-Government Twitter account twenty minutes ago said the Syrian Army there was, quote, consolidating its positions, end of quote ... and regarding
Today at 7:38 AM
Jura said:
flqu.jpg
... anti-Government forces ... objective being "Ramouseh Artillery Base / Academy" (in yellow above) ...
Click to expand...
... reportedly there's a fire there now:
Co3YDHHXgAEUPyw.jpg

​
let's see tomorrow
 
Jeff Head

Jeff Head

General
Registered Member
Reports in US today of potential Syrian use of Chlorine gas...but the pictures they showed and the reported "causalities" did not match.

A couple of what looked like large plastic jugs on the ground broken, and reporting a few people with skin burns...and this supposedly from Syrian aircraft.

I do not buy it.
 
Jura The idiot

Jura The idiot

General
Jeff Head said:
...

I do not buy it.
Click to expand...
let me comment here (just in a general way though): I've been following the Syrian War for ten months now, so, understandably :) I saw fakes ranging from primitive (the events in a picture presented in a certain way, while it would be obvious to anybody reading Arabic that in fact something else was going on) to elaborate (cleverly inserting footage into otherwise legit video), but I noticed one thing:
If Something Is Too Bad* To Be True, It Isn't

* Bad = Good for the other side

(I'll get to real news during the day.)
 
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