ISIS/ISIL conflict in Syria/Iraq (No OpEd, No Politics)

...
I'm going to update this post "Soon" LOL
Government frontline collapses in southern Aleppo after blitz offensive by rebels
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plus I saw several videos showing swift movements from Khan Tuman area ... now I quickly looked at older maps plus at claims of the Government loses; if they were true (and in this pub I can't find out if those claim are, or are not, true :) situation could get back to something like
Nov 24, 2015
...
Syria_Battle_for_Aleppo_November_24_2AM.png

...
(I of course didn't refer to the arrows in the above map, as the anti-Goverment attacks are carried out from different directions)
 
Yesterday at 6:43 PM
Government frontline collapses in southern Aleppo after blitz offensive by rebels
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plus I saw several videos showing swift movements from Khan Tuman area ... now I quickly looked at older maps plus at claims of the Government loses; if they were true (and in this pub I can't find out if those claim are, or are not, true :) situation could get back to something like
Nov 24, 2015
...
... now I watched videos probably consistent with the most recent Government losses, about ten km north-south direction, much less in east-west direction) down to Khalsah, as this map shows:
CkCyVX3WUAAN8pS.jpg

another map though shows Qalajiyah, not Khalsah, lost:
CkDb1AxWYAIHRD3.jpg

so let's see in the beginning of next week EDIT yesterday it was just Day #1, right?
 
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... the most recent Government losses, about ten km north-south direction, much less in east-west direction) down to Khalsah, ...
... and in the meantime, the Government took on this desert adventure:
CkDLWPFWsAABOGh.jpg

pro-Government Twitter account:
CkBwQ5VXIAAmCLg.jpg

proud announcement:
Breaking: SAA begins military operation to recapture ISIS-held Raqqa + [Photos]
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and just to finish with
Yesterday at 11:00 AM
... now I saw a report claimed the Government is pushing toward Raqqa:
... but from where such an attack would be mounted??
you didn't tell me :) it's
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May 8, 2016
... Government had lost the area around
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in the morning of May 6; using that map anyway, I approximated this area by the white arrowhead, and the threat to the Government could be its forces in Aleppo might be trapped (which I approximated by the white line: I'm predicting NOTHING though):
9Plby.jpg
anyway can't resist :) to compare to what I saw in Twitter
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a moment ago:
CkEA9EbWkAAaSd_.jpg

EDIT
it's about five kilometers through the Government held-territory in between Marata (lost yesterday) and the sewage plant:
ZLoYK.jpg
 
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SampanViking

The Capitalist
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The push to Tabqa/Raqqa is a surprise, but is perhaps a response to circumstances or even a quietly laid plan between Russia and the US? (given that both Airforces are both operating not only in the same general space, but actually sharing by turn some of it.

The opportunity part of it make sense, with ISIS fighting full out on pretty much every front against all sides, it now faces the problem that the SAA and allies have been all too familiar with, namely having too much front line and not enough manpower to scale up on any of it.

The big question for me is; to misquote Bowie "and where were the Tigers?"
 
Today at 9:42 AM
... and in the meantime, the Government took on this desert adventure: ...
... and now I tried to find out what's going on with "taking Raqqa" (based on multiple sources, which I won't quote, so don't read the rest if you don't believe me LOL):
allegedly the group of about 5000 Government plus Iranian and Russian SF soldiers spearheaded by armored unit(s), also comprising T90 tanks and
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(I watched a video which I can't post as it shows several ISIL had been members), has made it, EDIT obtaining Syrian/Russian CAS, so far from
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    (which is the red point to the left in the map below), to
  • the village of "Alzakija" (which I believe is marked down the "42" road)
IvwVO.jpg

which is about thirty miles ... on one hand, you might remind me von Manstein's tanks made almost three hundred kilometers in four days to take the bridges over the Dvina :) but,
on the other hand,
Let's see next week.
 
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for our Canadian member :)
Canadian military brass to review whether soldiers should continue wearing Kurdish flag
tab-na-flag12jpg.jpg.size.custom.crop.1086x724.jpg
Canada’s military is reviewing whether soldiers serving in northern Iraq will continue wearing the Kurdish flag on their uniforms—a potential flashpoint in that nation’s politics.

Maj.-Gen. Mike Rouleau, who oversees the troops deployed to Iraq, said he’ll be making recommendations in the coming days to Gen. Jonathan Vance, the chief of defence staff, whether the practice of wearing the Kurdish flag — which dates to the first days of the mission in 2014 — should continue.

Canadian troops say that wearing the distinctive red, white and green flag with a sun emblem in the middle is meant as a symbol of solidarity with the Kurdish peshmerga troops they are training and advising near Erbil.

But sporting the flag has raised questions, given the long-held aspirations of Kurds who seek independence from Iraq.

While Kurds and Iraqis find themselves together in the fight against Daesh extremists, those tensions are never far from the surface.

That means the practice of wearing the flag could be see as a potentially provocative move by Canada’s military, a display of public support to the nationhood aspirations of the Kurdish people and a poke at the Iraqi central government in Baghdad.

“I refuse to get embroiled in the politics of the war. That’s not my job. I’m a general,” said Rouleau, who oversees the Canadian Special Operations Forces Command.

“It is a recognized symbol worn by Iraqi security forces. . . . People can debate it and kind of spin it any way they want. For me, it’s nothing more than a symbol of solidarity,” Rouleau said in an interview Wednesday.

Rouleau said he’s not aware of any complaint from the Iraqi government, despite multiple visits by high-level dignitaries from Baghdad to the area where Canadians are assisting.

A small group of Canadian special forces soldiers were deployed to northern Iraq in the fall of 2014 to assist peshmerga forces contain the onslaught of Daesh fighters, also known as ISIS and ISIL.

Rouleau said the Canadians have been wearing the Kurdish flags on their uniforms from the start — the Kurdish flag on the right shoulder and the Canadian flag on their left.

But the practice got added attention last month when the Toronto Star and CTV reported on the work of the soldiers assisting the peshmerga near the front lines.

“I’m certainly looking at it. I want to make some recommendations to (Vance) . . . if it’s a practice we should still continue. The chief will give us some direction,” Rouleau said during a visit to Garrison Petawawa.

The sprawling military base is home to elements of Rouleau’s special forces command.

U.S. troops serving in neighbouring Syria came under recent criticism for wearing the insignia of the YPG, a Kurdish armed body that Turkey claims is a terrorist group. The American soldiers were ordered to pull the markings from their uniforms.

But Rouleau stressed that the peshmerga are sanctioned by the Iraq government.

“This is not some kind of guerrilla organization that we’ve raised. This is part of the Iraqi security forces,” he said.

If the decision is made to remove the Kurdish flags, Rouleau said it would not change the “fraternity that we show the people that we are supporting.”

Canadian commanders have tried to steer clear of Iraq’s internal debates and any discussions about what may come next when the current fight against Daesh ends.

“While we’re here, while we are performing this function to rid Iraq of ISIL, I think it’s in all of our best interests to have the political unity necessary to deal with this threat,” Vance told reporters during a visit to northern Iraq in April.

“Where Iraq decides to go after in terms of its political laydown is up to Iraq,” the top general said.

“The success of Iraq will depend on what they do after ISIL is gone. We want to make certain that ISIL is removed as expeditiously as possible.”
source:
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delft

Brigadier
(and I'm not completely sure if there is such a thing as flanks of a column on a desert road)
The fighting with open flanks has been intensively considered for half a century or more partly inspired by the Israeli operation in the Sinai during the Six day War. Even I know about it, superficially. You use intensive reconnaissance by aircraft and helicopters along the flanks.
 
The fighting with open flanks has been intensively considered for half a century or more partly inspired by the Israeli operation in the Sinai during the Six day War. Even I know about it, superficially. You use intensive reconnaissance by aircraft and helicopters along the flanks.
thanks for reading my Internet kibitzing :)

from what I figured, the "Raqqa Group" from
https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/is...no-oped-no-policis.t6913/page-375#post-400634
takes villages along the "42" road
 
Friday at 10:40 AM
... I read ISIL reinforcements arrived, so Kurds would have to go into urban combat anyway:
pYPIg.jpg
also according to what I found in Twitter a moment ago:
CkJNmsJUUAEdIOS.jpg

... let's see what happens over this weekend in Manbij area
Syria_Battle_for_Manbij_June_2_5AM.png
the closest "save" view of Manbij now is:
CkK-SH-WkAAU0yI.jpg
(at least according to a Twitter source, saying it's Manbij Silos in the bottom-right corner ... they would be at
36°30'27.5"N 37°57'43.5"E
which is in the middle bottom of my map I quoted above (where "Google" is in this map) ... sorry if that source made it up :) could be a view of almost anything in Middle East, I guess)
 
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