Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis
- Thread starter sndef888
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Think this is actually a good video on a bit more on the situation, although no translation, so only really for people that can understand chinese.
The gist or short version being that we're likely gonna see an approach from the east, which will make it harder for the PLA to intercept it (might have to directly fly above Taiwan).
Besides the above, it also talks about how it kind of has become a military showdown between the US military and the PLA, although not likely to directly lead to war, but the US side wants to 'test' the PLA and see what kind of response they will do.
And finally, the video alludes that the rift between the political side and the military side in the US is there, with the US military in fact not truly caring about Pelosi dying or not, while Pelosi doesn't care about how this might result in a military crisis say one like cuban or the crisis in 1996.
Oh, and lastly, it was also said that the PLA might very well take some other hard measures, such as directly firing missiles to hit some target on Taiwan.
The assumption is far from certain that US needs to be defeated first.
If the US leadership is as hardened as Putin is. Or if the US population is as frugal and warlike as the Japanese in ww2. Then perhaps war would be a certainty.
But that is not the case. Americans seem loud on the Internet (through its hard to know how many of those are real people) but I'd bet that when push comes to shove, even jai hinds are more likely to actually fight for their country. America is under severe economical pressure. Even during the Vietnam war era, Americans were much poorer and still heavily resisted conscription.
Of course it is far more preferable for America to not join the civil war compared to if they join.
US lost in Afghanistan and Syria, doesn't dare to send troops to Ukraine even with Russia being so slow and practically inviting NATO to try and topple their forces.
If Biden don't even dare to defend Ukraine with troops when Ukraine is a sovereign nation fighting a defensive war against Russia who joined into their civil war, what are the likelihood of Biden declaring an offensive special military operation on China's core territories then?
As much as I disagree with half of the nonsense being said here, you're right that the US has no real interest in entering another war. It would be foolish to preemptively attack and brings up memories of Pearl Harbor.
I'm wondering whether it would be an option to just let the plane land unopposed, then use that as justification for the invasion of Taiwan.
Otherwise Pelosi's plane can just fly away when confronted not entering Taiwanese airspace and America will continue using Taiwan against China.
The J-16 should have no problems with intercepting her aircraft, especially with tanker support
An illustration showing the last known position of US and Chinese aircraft carriers.
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