Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis

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Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
Seems to be official
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Nancy Pelosi to meet Taiwan’s president on Wednesday​

Nancy Pelosi, Speaker of the US House of Representatives, plans to meet Taiwan’s president Tsai Ing-wen on Wednesday in a controversial visit that has triggered concern about a possible military response from China.
Three people familiar with the situation said Pelosi would meet Tsai in Taipei as part of a wider visit to Asia that began in Singapore on Sunday.
 

texx1

Junior Member
I found your use of "lower class Chinese people" at the beginning of your post offensive and elitist. You still have time to edit your post if that is not what you intended.

Let me be politically correct then, working class Chinese people. Would that satisfy you? Then again working class also includes middle class. That is a petty wide spectrum considering the cost of living across mainland. Working class in tier one cities is arguably middle class in tier three cities. I am sure some of them would miss certain imported goods no longer available due to sanctions.
 

lych470

Junior Member
Registered Member
It isn't.

Why should the Chinese nuclear posture remain minimal deterrence? What makes you think the PLA assesses that it has adequate nuclear weapons to achieve its strategic aim?

From the 2019 Defence White Paper:

"中国始终奉行在任何时候和任何情况下都不首先使用核武器、无条件不对无核武器国家和无核武器区使用或威胁使用核武器的核政策,主张最终全面禁止和彻底销毁核武器,不会与任何国家进行核军备竞赛,始终把自身核力量维持在国家安全需要的最低水平。中国坚持自卫防御核战略,目的是遏制他国对中国使用或威胁使用核武器,确保国家战略安全。"

Translation:


"China has always pursued the nuclear policy of no first use of nuclear weapons at any time and under any circumstances, and unconditionally not to use or threaten to use nuclear weapons against non-nuclear-weapon States or nuclear-weapon-free zones; it advocates the eventual complete prohibition and thorough destruction of nuclear weapons; it will not engage in a nuclear arms race with any country; and it has always maintained its nuclear forces at the minimum level required for national security. China adheres to a self-defense nuclear strategy aimed at deterring the use or threat of use of nuclear weapons by other countries against China and ensuring national strategic security."

The white paper says that Chinese nuclear forces will be maintained at the minimal level for national security, in order to deter others from using nuclear weapons against her.

Straight from the horses' mouth.
 

antiterror13

Brigadier
Your knowledge is impressive, i learned a lot from you thanks, but i have questions about your statement about the cost of maintaining massive nuclear arsenal, if russia with a fraction of China's economy can maintain 5k nukes, why do you think its unaffordable for China?

I think probably China has limited weapon-grade fissile material compared to the US or Russia, it is estimated to have about 14 tons of HEU and 2.9 tons of plutonium (from
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) but I guess nobody really knows apart from few top Chinese leaderships. From reading how relax Xi and other Chinese leaderships are, I would triple the number. China is said to stop making HEU and Pu by the end of 1980s, why is that? the most probable scenario is that China has enough HEU and Pu or continue producing them but undetected. I read somewhere that producing Pu is hard to be undetected but reasonably easy for HEU

I don't have anything to backup, but I think China already have >1K nukes, the number of 300-400 nukes has been around since 1980s and never changed, and Chinese technologies and economy have jumped to like 100x from 1980s

I don't think Chine need 5,000 nukes, I think ~1,500 is enough with advanced delivery system and decoys
 
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