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Rettam Stacf

Junior Member
Registered Member
This is the latest World Bank press release on revised global growth forecast. Fairly pessimistic to read.

Stagflation Risk Rises Amid Sharp Slowdown in Growth​

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Compounding the damage from the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russian invasion of Ukraine has magnified the slowdown in the global economy, which is entering what could become a protracted period of feeble growth and elevated inflation, according to the World Bank’s latest Global Economic Prospects report. This raises the risk of stagflation, with potentially harmful consequences for middle- and low-income economies alike.

Global growth is expected to slump from 5.7 percent in 2021 to 2.9 percent in 2022— significantly lower than 4.1 percent that was anticipated in January. It is expected to hover around that pace over 2023-24, as the war in Ukraine disrupts activity, investment, and trade in the near term, pent-up demand fades, and fiscal and monetary policy accommodation is withdrawn. As a result of the damage from the pandemic and the war, the level of per capita income in developing economies this year will be nearly 5 percent below its pre-pandemic trend.

For advanced economies :

Growth in advanced economies is projected to sharply decelerate from 5.1 percent in 2021 to 2.6 percent in 2022—1.2 percentage point below projections in January. Growth is expected to further moderate to 2.2 percent in 2023, largely reflecting the further unwinding of the fiscal and monetary policy support provided during the pandemic.

For emerging markets and developing economies :

Among emerging market and developing economies, growth is also projected to fall from 6.6 percent in 2021 to 3.4 percent in 2022—well below the annual average of 4.8 percent over 2011-2019. The negative spillovers from the war will more than offset any near-term boost to some commodity exporters from higher energy prices. Forecasts for 2022 growth have been revised down in nearly 70 percent of EMDEs, including most commodity importing countries as well as four-fifths of low-income countries.
 

KYli

Brigadier
It doesn't matter what Gu Ailing thinks or feels. What matter is what mainland Chinese think and feel. Gu Ailing competes for China and won many Olympics golds and medals and she was and is rewarded handsomely.

Gu Ailing decides to promote for Salt Lake Winter Olypmics for the US which is also perfectly fine. However, the mainland Chinese are also perfectly justified to feel offense by her actions and no longer supports her and deny her further using her status to make more money from China.

Being a bridge between the US and China is fine. But trying to use her Chinese status to have great financial gains in China has certain responsibilities and requirements.



I mean, sure, but am I wrong to assume that in order to be a chinese national you need to be a chinese citizen?
It should be the case that you have to renounce your foreign citizenship. However, Gu Ailing is a special case as she is a Chinese citizen by birth. As long as China decided to continue to issue her a Chinese passport, then Gu Ailing is still a Chinese citizen. In a normal circumstance, Gu Ailing needs to renounce her foreign citizen when she turns 18. I doubt it has happened.
I didn't know it worked like this. I always assumed that in such cases, if you ask chinese authorities to recognise you as a chinese citizen, they would ask you to relinquish the previous one, but as you explained that is not the case.
that's not how it works when you relinquish the chinese one though, right? in that case they enforce the rule iirc
Your assumption is correct. However, both Beijing winter Olympics and Football citizenships were granted in a special case basis. That is why there might be some leeway that allowed them temporary to retain their foreign citizenships.
I'd just like to point out that I'm not trying to fan the flames of some weird jingoism here, I was just puzzled by the circumstances cause I didn't know the rules re: dual citizenship well enough
Dual citizenship isn't allowed in China. Normally, the Chinese authorities don't go out of their ways to track down and prosecute violators. However, some violators were found out and their Chinese passports were confiscated but that is extremely rare.
 
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taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
I didn't know it worked like this. I always assumed that in such cases, if you ask chinese authorities to recognise you as a chinese citizen, they would ask you to relinquish the previous one, but as you explained that is not the case.
Your example only applies to a native foreign person to be neutralized as a Chinese. In this case, you are known to possess foreign citizenship, therefor you must relinquish that foreign citizenship and provide proof. This is not what I explained.

But a person born to Chinese parent abroad is naturally Chinese citizen already at birth, whatever legal document that he/she is issued by foreign government is legally non existing. Of course Chinese authority would logically assume that you have it, but from a procedural perspective, it doesn't exist. This is what I explained.

that's not how it works when you relinquish the chinese one though, right? in that case they enforce the rule iirc
The simple answer is, they enforce the rule when they are made aware of your foreign citizenship. You can keep them in the dark, but it is your choice not theirs.

When a Chinese person obtain foreign citizenship, by law he/she looses the Chinese citizenship. However, the government has no way to know that change until the person reveals the fact of change such as presenting foreign passport upon entering Chinese border.

Only when the Chinese authority is made aware of such change can they enforce the rule such as de-registering you from civil registration and taking over your Chinese passport.

The law also put the responsibility of making Chinese authority aware solely on the individual. During the (gray or limbo) period from when the person acquires foreign citizenship to when the person fullfills all legal obligation of relinquishing his/her Chinese citizenship, the Chinese government can treat the person in a way of their own convenience.
 

solarz

Brigadier
But a person born to Chinese parent abroad is naturally Chinese citizen already at birth, whatever legal document that he/she is issued by foreign government is legally non existing.

That's not entirely true, if the parents are permanent residents and the child is issued the passport of his country of birth, then the child forfeits his Chinese citizenship.

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《国籍法》第五条:父母双方或一方为中国公民,本人出生在外国,具有中国国籍;但父母双方或一方为中国公民并定居在外国,本人出生时即具有外国国籍的,不具有中国国籍。

Eileen Gu is an American citizen, and most likely does not have PRC citizenship, but as I pointed out earlier, the IOC is not concerned with citizenship, only nationality. Eileen Gu is able to claim Chinese nationality through her mother.
 

siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Not sure whether this has been posted here before, but here goes.

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To put it simply, Biden wants a "China House" set up to address (read: counter, suppress and vilify) China on all fronts.

This means the United States desires a Cold War 2.0 with China.

Left with no other alternatives, China can do nothing, but to face the United States head on.

Though, I'm confident China would say: "Bring it on".

Remember, China is none of the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Japan, Italy, South Korea, and even the Soviet Union.

China IS China.

And in order for the Global South to survive, grow up and stand tall with dignity, China MUST WIN.

House of Adrian Zenz.
 
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