Ukrainian War Developments

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ansy1968

Brigadier
Registered Member
Restricting their own oil export further damages the Russian economy which already overly dependent on gas and oil sales. Russia is a petrostate. The US has for years wanted Germany to forgo Russian oil/gas and buy LNG from the US.
@Petrolicious88 brave talk buddy, when the gas and oil stop its flow, let see what the European will do, There are demand outside EU and those gas and oil are very welcome to China and East Asia.
 

Sardaukar20

Captain
Registered Member
Guess it's legit then... I'm thinking Ukrainian side probably have arty spotter all over the place among civilians, this will make even low tech artillery extremely effective.

My only question is how the hell are there surviving Ukrainian artillery.... but then again maybe I should ask how the hell are there surviving Ukrainian UAV/aircraft first.... Mind boggling
My guess... NATO ISR + local informants. They must have been doing a good job pinpointing Russian troops movement. And then, what remained of the Ukrainian artillery, and UCAV force did the damage. Also, with such advanced intelligence, Ukrainian forces could conduct effective guerilla hit and runs on vulnerable Russian convoys. This is beginning to look similar to the carnage the Russians suffered in Chechnya.

Why haven't the Russians been doing ISR themselves in those ultra dangerous urban areas? They should have recon UAVs flying around to spot Ukrainian troops movements. Russia should be using UCAVs armed with guided micro munitions like the TB2 to eliminate Ukrainian artillery or ambush squads in civilian areas. They have that capability. The Russian Orion drones have been tested with their own guided micro munitions. The Russians have used a kamikaze drone to kill the FSA 'TOW Sniper' in Syria. Where are all these things when the Russians need them most? Big questions that are yet to answered.

Nevertheless, if the Russians just don't mind taking casualties, and bad PR. Then they could still very much overwhelm the Ukrainian defenders. It's just that it's gonna take longer, and look uglier.
 

enroger

Senior Member
Registered Member
My guess... NATO ISR + local informants. They must have been doing a good job pinpointing Russian troops movement. And then, what remained of the Ukrainian artillery, and UCAV force did the damage. Also, with such advanced intelligence, Ukrainian forces could conduct effective guerilla hit and runs on vulnerable Russian convoys. This is beginning to look similar to the carnage the Russians suffered in Chechnya.

Why haven't the Russians been doing ISR themselves in those ultra dangerous urban areas? They should have recon UAVs flying around to spot Ukrainian troops movements. Russia should be using UCAVs armed with guided micro munitions like the TB2 to eliminate Ukrainian artillery or ambush squads in civilian areas. They have that capability. The Russian Orion drones have been tested with their own guided micro munitions. The Russians have used a kamikaze drone to kill the FSA 'TOW Sniper' in Syria. Where are all these things when the Russians need them most? Big questions that are yet to answered.

Nevertheless, if the Russians just don't mind taking casualties, and bad PR. Then they could still very much overwhelm the Ukrainian defenders. It's just that it's gonna take longer, and look uglier.

Where is our UAV salesman, we need him back! Don't slack off!

For real though there's no way Russia could lose, but still it is really eye opening as to the state of Russia's industry. As you said they tested a lot of fancy things in Syrian, with all the new equipment they paraded I used to think Russia is alright in this regard. Now it seems like non of those things has been mass produced.
 

KYli

Brigadier
It is funny the same people who claim that mainland Chinese are brainwashed and don't listen but at the same time refused to accept different of opinions by adopting cancel culture.
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The strong pro-war sentiment online has shocked many Chinese. Some WeChat users on my timeline warned that they would block any Putin supporters. Many people shared articles about China’s long, troubled history with its neighbor, including Russian annexation of Chinese territory and a border conflict with the Soviet Union in the late 1960s.

One widely shared WeChat article was titled, “All those who cheer for war are idiots,” plus an expletive. “The grand narrative of nationalism and great-power chauvinism has squeezed out their last bit of humanity,” the author wrote.
 

Zichan

Junior Member
Registered Member
I think the only thing left are drones.
There was footage from earlier today of two Ukrainian Su-25 shot down by Russian AA. Unfortunately for the Russians, they seem to have taken out one of their supply convoys before getting shot down.
 

tokenanalyst

Brigadier
Registered Member
My guess... NATO ISR + local informants. They must have been doing a good job pinpointing Russian troops movement. And then, what remained of the Ukrainian artillery, and UCAV force did the damage. Also, with such advanced intelligence, Ukrainian forces could conduct effective guerilla hit and runs on vulnerable Russian convoys. This is beginning to look similar to the carnage the Russians suffered in Chechnya.

Why haven't the Russians been doing ISR themselves in those ultra dangerous urban areas? They should have recon UAVs flying around to spot Ukrainian troops movements. Russia should be using UCAVs armed with guided micro munitions like the TB2 to eliminate Ukrainian artillery or ambush squads in civilian areas. They have that capability. The Russian Orion drones have been tested with their own guided micro munitions. The Russians have used a kamikaze drone to kill the FSA 'TOW Sniper' in Syria. Where are all these things when the Russians need them most? Big questions that are yet to answered.

Nevertheless, if the Russians just don't mind taking casualties, and bad PR. Then they could still very much overwhelm the Ukrainian defenders. It's just that it's gonna take longer, and look uglier.
I think the Russians should invest more in UAVs and collaborate more in that area with China, to think they only had 30 of this:
1645975434807.png

Kronshtadt Orion


while the Chinese already are flying this:
1645975511473.png


And exporting this:
1645975623113.png
is interesting to say a least.

Maybe is Russian pride but they should have imported more drones from China.
 
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