2026 Iran War Strategy and Analysis

Eventine

Senior Member
Registered Member
China will help with the reconstruction of Iran and will transfer dual use technology, there is no question of that. But it'll stay outside of any treaty-based entanglements on the other side of the world. The reality is that Iran is too far, and China doesn't have a blue water navy capable of contesting the US Navy around the world. You'd need a strong network of bases in Pakistan to realistically reinforce Iran in a land war, and China has not built that kind of infrastructure, nor is Pakistan in a hurry to encourage it.

Much of modern geopolitics can be understood from the lens of Western (or specifically American) logistical hegemony and while that is starting to shift, it's not something that'll go away in a few years, or even decades, of bad decisions. The disaster in Iran is only a stepping stone towards that end - its significance is more in showing the limits of US power in the pursuit of violent regime change than in establishing a new world order. The US empire will survive - this is not the killing blow - and its vassals will go back to business as usual. The burning of Rome is yet to come.
 

iewgnem

Captain
Registered Member
"NOOOOOOO WHATDOYOUMEANIRANWONTHISWAR REEEEEEEEEEEE"

View attachment 176797
They changed it to "Iranian Strategic Victory", I guess a lot of Americans were too butthurt lol
* Actually after I typed this its changed back to "Iranian Victory", looks like there's a massive edit war going on right now lol

The American cope I've seen is US achieved tactical victory and only lost strategically
They argue US achieved tactical victory because they bombed stuff and stuff blew up.
But Iran also bombed stuff and also blew stuff up, which means Iran also achieved tactical victory, in addition to strategic.

So at end of the day I guess Americans would rather believe they lost 2-1 than 1-0
 

wuguanhui

Junior Member
They changed it to "Iranian Strategic Victory", I guess a lot of Americans were too butthurt lol
* Actually after I typed this its changed back to "Iranian Victory", looks like there's a massive edit war going on right now lol

The American cope I've seen is US achieved tactical victory and only lost strategically
They argue US achieved tactical victory because they bombed stuff and stuff blew up.
But Iran also bombed stuff and also blew stuff up, which means Iran also achieved tactical victory, in addition to strategic.

So at end of the day I guess Americans would rather believe they lost 2-1 than 1-0

Can you add "American national dignity" under the "Casualties and Losses" section.
 

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
Tactical victory imply US lost less than Iran in terms of military asset value which is just not true.
Yeah, but most of Iran's gear could use an upgrade anyway while everything that Iran blew up of America's was state of the art super expensive equipment that America will struggle with the time and resources to rebuild. With that reparation money, Iran should, with its recent experience and Chinese expertise on the down low, be building next gen missiles, drones, radars, launchers under its mountains ready for the next Israeli misadventure.
 

Gloire_bb

Colonel
Registered Member
Yeah, but most of Iran's gear could use an upgrade anyway
It isn't the case. Iran lost huge numbers of it's modern AA defenses, which are darn expensive - probably the most expensive part of Iranian weapon program.
Iran invested a lot into these programs, more so since they are run in parallel between IRGC and Artesh. Their hard failure doesn't make them any less expensive...
 

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
It isn't the case. Iran lost huge numbers of it's modern AA defenses, which are darn expensive - probably the most expensive part of Iranian weapon program.
Iran invested a lot into these programs, more so since they are run in parallel between IRGC and Artesh. Their hard failure doesn't make them any less expensive...
But I would think that their hard failure does make them in need of upgrade/replacement. Sunk cost is what you already spent; if the result is a product that doesn't get the job done, then it's not worth the money invested. Iran has plenty of experience and data now to build versions that hopefully work and are worth more than their investment.
 

iewgnem

Captain
Registered Member
It isn't the case. Iran lost huge numbers of it's modern AA defenses, which are darn expensive - probably the most expensive part of Iranian weapon program.
Iran invested a lot into these programs, more so since they are run in parallel between IRGC and Artesh. Their hard failure doesn't make them any less expensive...
Funny how most American jets were shot down after Iran supposedly lost its modern AAs.
And even by that metric, just the single early warning radar Iran took out was probably worth more than all those Iranian "modern AA"

Also Iranian AA are only expensive when they're not made out of wood or, in some instances, paintings on the ground, lol
 
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