2026 Iran War Strategy and Analysis

protonme18

Junior Member
Registered Member
An empire with 39 trillion in debt, I just read the news, average american owe 11,000 dollars credit card debt. What did they promised you again? 300 billions for you...and you believe them? They need the money to repair their own ships, replenish their own weapon stocks, their own planes, 6th generation fighter jet research and bla bla.......they say they will gives you 300 billions? And you believe it.....OH MY GOD!!!!

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Credit card delinquencies hit 15-year high as Americans owe $1.25 trillion

The average American household now carries $11,169 in credit card debt, according to WalletHub. Odysseas Papadimitriou, founder and CEO of WalletHub, warned of the trajectory: “There’s no question we are on a concerning trajectory.” He noted that when cardholders fall into trouble, they often lack viable options to recover. “It’s pointing to the fact that when people get in trouble, there aren’t options for them to get out of trouble,” Papadimitriou said.
 

plawolf

Lieutenant General
Normally a 30 day implementation period is just logistical reality, but with Trump’s America, signing a deal isn’t worth much until the promised outcomes have been delivered. So I am pessimistic about this deal holding despite the ink on the paper.

Iran should pay special attention to when and how that $300bn is to be paid, and obviously Israel will do everything in their power to sabotage the deal. Hell, there’s even a shockingly high chance this was just more hot air from Trump giving himself a birthday win and he will order new bombings later.
 

Temstar

Brigadier
Registered Member
The $300 billion fund is confirmed.




From main thread courtesy of friedbutter.

That pause from vance after receiving the question makes me think it is real, he had to really think how to spin it positively.

300B which GCC most likely to be the one holding the bag.

Thats some insane war rep.
For comparison, Convention of Peking 1860 called for 16 million treasury standard taels of silver as war indemnity. If we use today's silver price that works out to be about 1.5B USD. Obviously purchasing power of silver these days is a lot lower than 1860. If instead we use wage/income values (relative labour) 16 million taels of silver is equal to 120B to 200B today.

If you calculate using share of GDP then 16 million taels of silver would be like asking China today to pay 2.4 trillion to 7.2 trillion USD, but that's mostly to do with size of China's economy these days.

Of course US isn't going to cough up that 300B, so I imagine Trump is going to try to force GCC to come up with that money. But then again if he does that who would still want to be US allies after this.
 

another505

Junior Member
Registered Member
For comparison, Convention of Peking 1860 called for 16 million treasury standard taels of silver as war indemnity. If we use today's silver price that works out to be about 1.5B USD. Obviously purchasing power of silver these days is a lot lower than 1860. If instead we use wage/income values (relative labour) 16 million taels of silver is equal to 120B to 200B today.

If you calculate using share of GDP then 16 million taels of silver would be like asking China today to pay 2.4 trillion to 7.2 trillion USD, but that's mostly to do with size of China's economy these days.

Of course US isn't going to cough up that 300B, so I imagine Trump is going to try to force GCC to come up with that money. But then again if he does that who would still want to be US allies after this.
He doesnt care if he burns the bridge of us and gcc. Hes always self centered and short term thinking.

Also, a small nuance to it, it seems to be 300b investment into iran not repayment.
 

FriedButter

Brigadier
Registered Member
Israel is the pivot to the Strait of Hormuz and its neighborhood's future.

Israel can live with the retreat from Lebanon. It can always come back and finish Lebanon's destruction later.

Israel could but the current political party won’t. The problem is the US mid terms is in early November and the Israeli elections is in late October.

And only one can survive. Netanyahu won’t survive with the ceasefire and Trump won’t survive without the ceasefire.
 

shiftenter

Junior Member
Registered Member
I wonder how Iran got so much money frozen. Why didn't they move the money out much earlier when they had the chance
1. Not all iranian believes the war is inevitble.
2. Some kind of assets are not immediately liqudiable even if owner have the determination since last June.
 

protonme18

Junior Member
Registered Member
One of the technique of fishing out "traitors" within your rank is how hard the party is selling the deal to you.....pay attention to what is said, done, to convince you to accept the deal. In negotiation, usually the party will argue base on the interest/goals of their assigned puppet master/their own goals and you will see whose side this person sitting behind. I notice in the news a couple of the Iranian "leaders" blowing a toot about how good this deal.......I say to the buyers, beware!! What is being done now, Trump is buying time. We know IDF goal, to grab and hold the inch of land they now occupied. We know the pressure of inflation and midterm on Trump falling popularity is having on him. We know US wanting to get their "allies" G7,8,9 or nonsense onboard for the next round on Iran. Again, do something unexpected to test the resolve and sincerity of each party talking. Do a surprise attack on IDF and blowing up their their GHQ, tankers, com, leaders , then we see how committed are the GCC, Trump and those parties in this deal or they rise to defend. Here, what they do as actions count, words really doesn't matter at all or basically no meaning just some symbols/alphabets put together to form some nonsense. Just like words flowing out from Trump's mouth. Just some air flowing out from his larynx forming whatever he think on or feel about today or next day. I read Vance going to sign the nonsense deal Friday? Yeah, put your signature on it....Trump future will campaign he didn't sign it, this bad deal is on Vance.
 
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