2026 Israel-US vs. Iran conflict [Military updates/News Only]

protonme18

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Oil prices ease as report of Israel-Lebanon ceasefire sparks hope


Guys, another nonsense report from the snake oil trader. When you see headlines like this, prepare for the oil spike. What a bunch of nonsense ceasefire. Basically there's not ceasefire, again, what IDF Zionist group doing is while the American empire influence still available and has an effect, to get whatever inches of land they can and still absorb, continue absorbing for the greater Israel dream, this similar to Hitler dream of Lebenstraum, the living space project for the Germans, I mean every decades, centuries, there will have people like this with their vainglory ambitions. These group clearly knows the US empire has fallen and whatever military action they need to secure the land, they need to do it within certain windows of time frame, before the next American President incoming grabs control back from their money backers and calls the shot. I would see "shocking" news then, "unexpected" decision, breaking events.....when the next incoming President, really controls US adminstrations, halt weapons deliveries and sanctions the Israelis Cabinet and military group....but this will only happen when an Arab or Muslim descent becomes the President of US ....but I foresee he will get assassinated as well. Anyway, Kamala husband, another Zionist planted agent already left her probably foreseeing she probably amounts to nothing and won't become the next President. That's their fail safe measure, betting both candidates, no matter Kamala or Trump won...they got their mole inside the administration and influence the internal decision.

Guys, the war is not over till the fat lady sings......till one side gonna break and it will ends.....all the ding dong nonsense news, just ignore them.
 

FriedButter

Brigadier
Registered Member
Guys, another nonsense report from the snake oil trader. When you see headlines like this, prepare for the oil spike. What a bunch of nonsense ceasefire. Basically there's not ceasefire, again, what IDF Zionist group doing is while the American empire influence still available and has an effect,

The ceasefire here doesn’t even exist from the start. This agreement is between the Israeli and the pro-US Lebanese government. The same government who said they are waiting for permission from Israel to build a water pipeline to a village. This is the same circus show with Russia in the early days. They negotiate a deal between themselves on what is acceptable and expect the other side to agree it without question.

——————

The airport.

 

FriedButter

Brigadier
Registered Member
Closing bab el mandab not really a big deal. Ships can still go via the suez canal from saudi coast and transport oil that way

So no fuel and adding +40 days to tanker trips.

There's nothing. So once you're out, you're out. And then ships will have to try to buy diesel fuel, for example," Johnson said.

Mercuria shipping head says fuel shortages could idle 10% of global fleet​

The shipping sector is fast approaching a fuel crisis that could paralyze a tenth of the global fleet, Larry Johnson, global head of freight at commodities trading house Mercuria, said in an interview.

Since the Middle East war erupted, markets have been preoccupied with potential shortfalls in the diesel and jet fuel traditionally exported in large quantities from the Persian Gulf.

However, as refiners strain to capture soaring clean product cracks, residual fuels have suffered. Increasingly, feedstocks have been held back from the marine fuel market to kept for further processing, leaving the shipping sector at risk of crippling shortages, Johnson said.

"My view on marine fuel oil is there will be regional stock-outs by July and that there are potentially outages in the major hubs by August, September, at the latest," Johnson said.

Unlike other sectors, the shipping industry lacks a buffer of state reserves to manage emergency crises. A steeply backwardated market structure has encouraged suppliers to offer stocks rather than forfeit hefty premiums for prompt supply, triggering steep draws on private inventories.

Singapore, the world's largest bunker hub, saw residual fuel supplies near one-year lows in April, but has pulled additional stock from Europe and Russia to slow losses. Inventories in Northwest Europe have continued to slide, however, and stocks in the UAE's Fujairah have launguished at record lows.

"For marine fuel oil, there's no buffer. There's nothing. So once you're out, you're out. And then ships will have to try to buy diesel fuel, for example," Johnson said.

The sector would then be forced to compete with other end-markets for limited gasoil supplies, which already command a premium to conventional fuel oil.

The global shipping industry in 2025 consumed roughly 3.3 million b/d of residual fuels, and 870,000 b/d of marine gasoil, equivalent to almost 5% of global oil product consumption, according to analysts at S&P Global Energy CERA.

Prices for 0.5% sulfur fuel oil – the industry's most popular fuel type – almost doubled in the first three weeks of the war, lifting the Platts bunkerworld marine fuel index to a four-year high of $1022/mt. Values have since eased to $830/mt, but remain almost 60% higher than pre-war levels.

After the first price spikes, ships were seen part-loading tanks to minimize fuel costs and bet on future price drops. But as the conflict drags on and shortages become more visible, confidence on future fuel availability is faltering.
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Moonscape

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Great Foreign Affairs article on recent changes to Iran's military, government, economy, and society

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Most interesting part for me: Iran is no longer expecting sanctions relief, ever, so it's not a consideration in talks.

Washington assumes that Tehran remains interested in negotiating for sanctions relief. But the IRGC is not counting on diplomacy; it no longer believes the United States will ever lift sanctions. Rather, it seeks a deal that ends the war, consolidates Iran’s gains, and paves the way for economic dividends from taxing maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.
...
The country’s leaders understand that the United States is seeking to get from talks what it could not achieve in war and that Washington is not interested in a deal but in Iran’s surrender. Twice before, last June and in February, talks with the United States were interrupted by U.S. and Israeli strikes. And after a collapse in talks in Islamabad on April 12, Washington immediately imposed a naval blockade, followed by another demand for Iran’s unconditional surrender. Iranian leaders already claim they have won the war. They are not prepared to forfeit the gains they have made or to return to the containment cage they occupied before the war. This self-confidence—rooted in the belief that the war has empowered Iran rather than weakened it—is informing their international outlook. It is also central to the legitimacy they seek at home. Their diplomatic endgame must reflect what Iran’s defiance won in the war.
 

FriedButter

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Exclusive: Video reveals damage from fire on US aircraft carrier after sources say fire control system failed​

When a fire burned aboard the world’s biggest aircraft carrier in March as it took part in operations against Iran, the US Navy released a short statement saying the blaze had been “contained,” that two sailors had received medical treatment for “non-life-threatening injuries” and that the carrier was “fully operational.”

But new video obtained by CNN makes clear the fire was more severe and damaging than the Navy suggested. Bunks where sailors slept were totally destroyed, the video shows. What remained of the beds was charred, twisted metal beneath a ceiling also apparently hollowed out by the inferno. Wires dangled from the ceiling and heaps of ashes littered the ground around the bunks, according to the video.

“I seriously thought we were going to lose the ship,” one sailor aboard the ship, the USS Gerald R. Ford, told CNN, describing how he felt while fighting the fire. “It’s either fight or die.”

The ship’s fire-suppression system failed to work, leaving the sailors scrambling to put out the blaze, according to the sailor and a senior US official familiar with the incident.

The senior US official told CNN that the Navy’s public statement downplayed the impact the fire had on the Ford as it was in the Red Sea supporting US military operations against Iran, as the fire did have an effect on capabilities. Two days passed before the Ford was able to fly sorties again, Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Daryl Caudle said in April, and the ship was forced to head to port in Greece for temporary repairs.

Asked about the extent of the fire and the fire control system’s failure to function, a Navy spokesperson told CNN, “The investigation of the fire is ongoing.”

It took the Ford’s crew about 30 hours to put out the fire, clean it up and prevent it from reigniting, and roughly 600 sailors lost access to their bunks due to the damage, CNN previously reported.

“It shouldn’t have gotten that bad. The fire-suppression system built into the ship should have put it out,” the sailor said, speaking on the condition of anonymity to avoid retaliation from the Navy. “Everybody — me included — helped put the fire out.”

Videos obtained by CNN and accounts of sailors on the Ford paint the clearest public picture yet of the adversity that sailors experienced during a record-breaking, 11-month deployment that included the war with Iran and the US military operation in Venezuela.

“Big fires are always a challenge, and this was significant — laundry and dryer-based fire,” Caudle told CNN after the Ford returned to its home port in Virginia. “The crew handled that so well, and they fought it brilliantly and courageously and basically was back in the fight within a matter of days.”

The $13-billion ship was central to US military operations against Iran. Pilots aboard the Ford flew wave after wave of bombing sorties that hammered Iranian targets. But the massive carrier wasn’t solely on the offensive.

The carrier strike group that includes the Ford was under “persistent threat from enemy missiles and one-way attack drones,” a Presidential Unit Citation awarded to the group said.

The sailor interviewed by CNN recalled at one point, when the Ford was in the Red Sea, seeing an orange streak in the sky as Iranian munitions appeared on the horizon. When Iranian missiles or drones would come within a certain range of the Ford, the ship would “sound an alert, telling us to expect to get hit and do damage control,” the sailor said.

The fire wasn’t the only issue during the deployment. The ship’s toilets were repeatedly clogged. Another video from aboard the Ford obtained by CNN shows human waste filled to the brim of toilet after toilet.

“If you were in the forward section of the ship, you’d have to walk all the way to the aft section, just to find a toilet that worked,” the sailor said.

The fallout from the fire could’ve been worse. Hunter Stires, who served as a maritime strategist to the then-Navy secretary until 2025, said the ship’s quick recovery from the fire was a testament to the crew’s training and resiliency amid a record-breaking deployment.

“Fire and flooding are the two greatest dangers aboard any ship,” Stires told CNN. “The US Navy, to its credit, has an organizational culture and design philosophy that is relentlessly focused on damage control preparation and system redundancy in order to assure ship survivability.”

“War and battle damage is inherently unpredictable,” Stires said, when asked about the failure of the fire-suppression system. “You don’t know what is going to break,” he said, adding that’s why training and preparing sailors is so important.

Commissioned into the Navy in 2017, the Ford is the newest and most technologically advanced of the 11 US nuclear-powered aircraft carriers and has become a symbol of the strength, and limits, of US naval power.

The Ford’s electronic catapult system allows it to launch anything from small drones to big aircraft, giving commanders an array of firepower options, Brent Sadler, a 26-year veteran of the Navy and former submarine officer, previously told CNN. The other 10 US aircraft carriers don’t have that capability, according to Sadler.

The Ford’s deployment, which ended when it returned to Norfolk, Virginia, in May, also saw the ship help with the US operation to capture former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. The deployment — the longest operational one by a carrier since the Vietnam War — also included stops in the Mediterranean and Norway.

The Ford is now looking at an extended phase of maintenance from all of the wear-and-tear of the voyage, including additional repairs related to the fire. One US official told CNN it could be a least a year before the Ford is ready to sail again, and that other ships may have to fill the gap.
The senior US official told CNN that the Navy’s public statement downplayed the impact the fire had on the Ford as it was in the Red Sea supporting US military operations against Iran, as the fire did have an effect on capabilities.
“I seriously thought we were going to lose the ship,” one sailor aboard the ship, the USS Gerald R. Ford, told CNN
describing how he felt while fighting the fire. “It’s either fight or die.”

01-fire-uss-gerald-ford.JPG

02-fire-uss-gerald-ford.JPG
 

FriedButter

Brigadier
Registered Member
What is that? A burnt, collapsed rack?”

That’s the bunk beds. Roughly 600 sailors lost access to their bunks from a reported laundry fire.

Also the toilets only work on the aft section.

“If you were in the forward section of the ship, you’d have to walk all the way to the aft section, just to find a toilet that worked,” the sailor said.
 

protonme18

Junior Member
Registered Member
Again, I would propose to the IRGC commanders, do not wait for another strike from US/Israel and their proxies, when you find a weakness, or KC refuelers in range, or they are bringing heavy equipment and radars to the GCC, STRIKE!.....just strike first, and find the political excuses, reason later. Pre-emptive strikes are not the rights of 1 or 2 countries, it's fundamental rights for all warring nation. US/Israel vs Iran is at war no matter how they want to term or define it. Remember, your dead sailors, leaders, bases, schools, hospitals are attack by these aggressors, therefore show no mercy to them and their supporters. Trump can talk or post all the nonsense he wants late at night....when military strategic opportunity arises to strike their leaders/commanders.....just do it. This is war after all....
 
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