2026 Iran War Strategy and Analysis
- Thread starter plawolf
- Start date
Larry Johnson ex-CIA guy showed a picture on the Judge Napolitano show last Friday showing the rear of a really big ship that was clearly damaged. He says that was the hit there.
We are getting closer to the end game here.
That is why I keep saying I do not like the way Iran has conducted this war.
What is the end game for Iran? They probably still making that up.
What is the end game for America. Who knows. They were clueless since day one, and that is referring to the hostilities in the summer of last year!
Taking control of the Strait of Hormuz probably is the end goal, to maintain that control.
Having control of the Strait of Hormuz, kind of answers the question of whether destroyed US bases will return?
What for right? Cannot protect the bases, cannot control the Strait of Hormuz. If you were Saudi Arabia, then what is the rationale for US bases?
That is why those pipsqueak nations like UAE and Bahrain must be eliminated as the Russians like to say. That is what Iran got to do. Besides putting a beating on Israel that they will never forget.
That is a lot to do, but Iran got those drones in countless numbers that no one in the region can intercept. Let's face it, no saturation attacks this time. Just fire and forget.
There is a time limit to this war. The longer it goes on, the more unhappy people will be with Iran. Simply because they control the Strait of Hormuz now.
That is why I think they should increase the amounts of attacks against Israel, UAW, Bahrain. This war can suddenly end.
The end game should be clear to Iran. Codify control of the Strait of Hormuz. Pound the enemy like they have never been pounded before. Make them borderline functioning states. That is what they are trying to do to you.
Lastly, Iran should end this war soon, make deals with Russia and China, for more weapons. Iran needs to preserve its strength, while trying the crush the enemies even more.
There is going to be a round 3.
China must look at what Iran does, and be prepared to react accordingly to what it does in the next few weeks.
So far, a good show, but can you really trust them still?
That is why I keep saying I do not like the way Iran has conducted this war.
What is the end game for Iran? They probably still making that up.
What is the end game for America. Who knows. They were clueless since day one, and that is referring to the hostilities in the summer of last year!
Taking control of the Strait of Hormuz probably is the end goal, to maintain that control.
Having control of the Strait of Hormuz, kind of answers the question of whether destroyed US bases will return?
What for right? Cannot protect the bases, cannot control the Strait of Hormuz. If you were Saudi Arabia, then what is the rationale for US bases?
That is why those pipsqueak nations like UAE and Bahrain must be eliminated as the Russians like to say. That is what Iran got to do. Besides putting a beating on Israel that they will never forget.
That is a lot to do, but Iran got those drones in countless numbers that no one in the region can intercept. Let's face it, no saturation attacks this time. Just fire and forget.
There is a time limit to this war. The longer it goes on, the more unhappy people will be with Iran. Simply because they control the Strait of Hormuz now.
That is why I think they should increase the amounts of attacks against Israel, UAW, Bahrain. This war can suddenly end.
The end game should be clear to Iran. Codify control of the Strait of Hormuz. Pound the enemy like they have never been pounded before. Make them borderline functioning states. That is what they are trying to do to you.
Lastly, Iran should end this war soon, make deals with Russia and China, for more weapons. Iran needs to preserve its strength, while trying the crush the enemies even more.
There is going to be a round 3.
China must look at what Iran does, and be prepared to react accordingly to what it does in the next few weeks.
So far, a good show, but can you really trust them still?
I don't think Iran is fully ready for a full scale ground war yet. The ground forces are probably in specific high value spots or in hiding rather than dispersed and ready to capture pilots in remote areas. This is what allowed US to execute this kind of bold operation. Iran still fought enough to cause more casualties and downed more planes. That's a good success.
This is actually not a problem - because there is literally no threat anyone other than China can make to Iran to open the strait.
What are they gonna do, bomb Iran? Sanction Iran?
And for China to threaten Iran, it would have to be monumentally stupid to an extreme degree. "Please stop collecting taxes using our currency which we can pay for free by printing RMB, we much prefer the straits closed, ruining our reputation with the Global South, supporting our rivals for free and losing discounted oil." Even the most vassal of vassal states would not do this.
To forcibly open the Strait of Hormuz, there is no other way than to completely occupy Iran.
The reason NATO allies rejected Trump's request is because they know they have no chance of winning the war. Even if they all agreed to participate in the US invasion plan now, it would have no impact on the outcome.
China's influence over Iran is limited, and China has no reason to help the US clean up this mess.
It is still a problem, just not exactly China's problem, heh, right.
If the world economy tanks, which it looks like it will, then it becomes problematic for China too. Customers got less money to spend.
But we got to wait to see how the Iranians respond to all of this.
Ultimately, I think this is good for Iran to end this war sooner than later. Hence I think having the time limit is the right move.
Iran is still a pariah state. Due to those US sanctions. It has been this way for a long time. Too long. People start thinking they are fanatics.
Well, here is the chance for Iran to rehabilitate itself, in front of the rest of the world. If Iran can trade with China in RMB, then others can trade with Iran in RMB.
If the rest of the world still thinks they're nuts and fanatics, they did close that strait, well, why bother dealing with Iran at all, Iran's isolation will continue.
Here is a chance, a victorious Iran can emerge out of its isolation. But they must show some flexibility with the Straits of Hormuz. Otherwise any goodwill others may have towards it because of this war, will be lost because of this war.
I doubt they have thought that far ahead, because they have been isolated this long.
Didn't all GCC countries attacked it? That is how isolated Iran is.
Round three coming. If Iran does not care for the rest of the world, at least try to take stock and prepare again.
Right now, it is just senseless destruction of civilian infrastructure on both sides.
There is no point in that.
That is why Iran should have hit them harder, destroy certain states in the region as functioning societies, then end this war to start to prepare for the next war.
Maybe getting the better of them would convince some to not to join in the next round. I think those pissant countries need more convincing.
But looks like Israel and Iran will continue to strike each other civilian infrastructure, while the Americans plan on some sort of ground action while running out of ammo. Make perfect sense in their world I guess.
So I do agree with you, just thinking about related stuff.
FriedRiceNSpice
Major
Iran is allowing countries including France and even India to traverse the strait provided they pay the toll in RMB - how much more flexibility do you want them to show?
manqiangrexue
Brigadier
Iran's endgame is to inflict so much damage on USA and Israel that the US makes excuses to unilaterally back off because it realizes that its chances against China are getting beat into hamburger meat and Israel is too scared to initiate anything against Iran again. Those 2 things realized, the world then accepts that Iran now controls the Strait of Hormuz and can toll it in any way it sees fit and it can develop its military including nuclear program unharrassed. Once nuclear weapons are produced, then Iran can say to its citizens that they are finally safe. From there, they can either turn into the dominant power of the middle-east and the monster Israel always feared or they can mellow out in that safety. It's a choice they can make in comfort.We are getting closer to the end game here.
That is why I keep saying I do not like the way Iran has conducted this war.
What is the end game for Iran? They probably still making that up.
What is the end game for America. Who knows. They were clueless since day one, and that is referring to the hostilities in the summer of last year!
Taking control of the Strait of Hormuz probably is the end goal, to maintain that control.
Having control of the Strait of Hormuz, kind of answers the question of whether destroyed US bases will return?
What for right? Cannot protect the bases, cannot control the Strait of Hormuz. If you were Saudi Arabia, then what is the rationale for US bases?
That is why those pipsqueak nations like UAE and Bahrain must be eliminated as the Russians like to say. That is what Iran got to do. Besides putting a beating on Israel that they will never forget.
That is a lot to do, but Iran got those drones in countless numbers that no one in the region can intercept. Let's face it, no saturation attacks this time. Just fire and forget.
There is a time limit to this war. The longer it goes on, the more unhappy people will be with Iran. Simply because they control the Strait of Hormuz now.
That is why I think they should increase the amounts of attacks against Israel, UAW, Bahrain. This war can suddenly end.
The end game should be clear to Iran. Codify control of the Strait of Hormuz. Pound the enemy like they have never been pounded before. Make them borderline functioning states. That is what they are trying to do to you.
Lastly, Iran should end this war soon, make deals with Russia and China, for more weapons. Iran needs to preserve its strength, while trying the crush the enemies even more.
There is going to be a round 3.
China must look at what Iran does, and be prepared to react accordingly to what it does in the next few weeks.
So far, a good show, but can you really trust them still?
Plan B is that the US is too stupid and/or has too much hubris to admit defeat and just keeps committing more resources, China Challenge be damned. In that case, Iran's endgame should be to mire the US down as badly as it can, absorbing horrific damage, dealing as much back as it can, in order to buy China time to eclipse the US. There would be an agreement, whether legal or simply understood, that Iran will claim all its rewards for their sacrifices and contribitions once Pax Sinica is established. In this case, Iran would probably end up as the only prosperous middle-eastern country after Chinese renewable energy projects put the entire region into the poor house.
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