2026 Israel - Iranian conflict [TEMP LOCKED]

[iewgnem]

Considering how fast Iran has responded compare to last time, all the generals and leaders must know can die any moment and had orders to continue the fight.

My bet is that Khameni death is not going to end the war

A pet conspiracy theory I sometime entertain is Iranian generals did not infact all meet at one place knowing USIS was about to strike, that the intel they received on the upcoming strike also told them who the Mossad agents are, and knowing that feed him false information so that USIS started the war believing Iran lost it's entire leadership, which in turn actually ensured the safety of their leadership.

Or maybe Iran doesn't need leaders and orders and intel are just diseminated through pigons, who knows.

 

[Chevalier]

https://www.reddit.com/r/iranian/comments/1rmjkqn
You aren't yourself when you're hungry.

I actually switched from trump tacos to Persian food

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2029990556332609897

first few pics of Iranian strikes on U.S. bases starting to turn up, there’s been an information blackout but we’re also seeing casualties numbers rise

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2030119386342645934

 

[_killuminati_]

That's basically all mountains. The logistics would be painful, to say the least.

The topography of Afghanistan is worse; the terrain is more rugged, mountains are higher, valleys are narrower, and the existing infrastructure (in 2001) was severely degraded compared to Iran's. The weather is also harsher in Afghanistan, especially from Autumn to Spring. But US got in anyway and occupied it for 20 years. Although the US did not have a good time, they still wrecked Afghanistan for decades to come. I think it is doable in Iran; not saying it is easy (especially as Iran is more developed as a fighting force, but maybe not as experienced at resistance as the Afghan veterans of the civil war and preceding Soviet War).

The most important area to occupy is this flat land where majority of the oil is.

I suspect US wants to break this piece off just as Kuwait was once splintered from Iraq. The demographics of this area - Arabs and Lurs - have a history of conflict with the state, as well as some active separatist groups (Lurs are often labeled as Kurds),

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This map was suggested once by an American decades ago. It probably won't happen but you can guess what the thought process is in Washington,

 

[MMelon]

The topography of Afghanistan is worse; the terrain is more rugged, mountains are higher, valleys are narrower, and the existing infrastructure (in 2001) was severely degraded compared to Iran's. The weather is also harsher in Afghanistan, especially from Autumn to Spring. But US got in anyway and occupied it for 20 years. Although the US did not have a good time, they still wrecked Afghanistan for decades to come. I think it is doable in Iran; not saying it is easy (especially as Iran is more developed as a fighting force, but maybe not as experienced at resistance as the Afghan veterans of the civil war and preceding Soviet War).

The most important area to occupy is this flat land where majority of the oil is.
View attachment 170991
I suspect US wants to break this piece off just as Kuwait was once splintered from Iraq. The demographics of this area - Arabs and Lurs - have a history of conflict with the state, as well as some active separatist groups (Lurs are often labeled as Kurds),

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This map was suggested once by an American decades ago. It probably won't happen but you can guess what the thought process is in Washington,
View attachment 170992

That flat land is the same area Iraq invaded and lost half a million soldiers in, if I recall correctly. It may be flat, but it is defended and controlled from high ground. Meaning anyone who tries to occupy it without also occupying the high ground is likely to be on the receiving end of extermination.

 

[_killuminati_]

That flat land is the same area Iraq invaded and lost half a million soldiers in, if I recall correctly. It may be flat, but it is defended and controlled from high ground. Meaning anyone who tries to occupy it without also occupying the high ground is likely to be on the receiving end of extermination.

But it is US invading, not Iraq. Remember also, Iran is not invincible - it was invaded & occupied by both Russia and Britain less than a century ago.


It's been done in the past already.

 

[GulfLander]

allegedly the flight was visible on flight radar...

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2029937599901507862

 

[MMelon]

But it is US invading, not Iraq. Remember also, Iran is not invincible - it was invaded & occupied by both Russia and Britain less than a century ago.
View attachment 170993
View attachment 170994
It's been done in the past already.

There's a reason why it did not last.

 

[_killuminati_]

Eyewitness Indian from Israel claims Israel is hiding casualties. "100ft deep bunkers and people killed in them by missile strikes".

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2030140097333710871

There's a reason why it did not last.

Nothing lasts forever, but that invasion was successful.

 

[Randomuser]

There's a reason why it did not last.

The point is although Iran has terrain advantages, that does not guarantee anything. It needs to be smart and make the best use of them to crush its enemies. At the very least even if it goes down, it needs to hurt the US to a point where US can't really recover from that damage for a long while.

 

[tankphobia]

Without the watermark:
View attachment 170989
Compared to an intact one:
View attachment 170990

I'm pretty sure that's real. All the details are correct including that rubber fence thing around it.

Based on the damage this looks more like a drone strike than one from a BM, some dude with a stinger could've prevented this. Doesn't those bases have CRAM?