2026 Israel - Iranian conflict [TEMP LOCKED]

Will Iran-Israel conflict start again?


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Serb

Senior Member
Registered Member
Is the US running out of munitions or not? Which one is it?

So they can continue to bomb out hospitals and stadiums while getting their entire 10+ bases in all of ME pummeled every day?

Once they ran out of interceptors to protect Israel sufficiently, it's game over. The US will have to back off with essentially nothing, but losing the entire region.

Truly a great 4D chess. Stake your entire empire and even survival as a nation, so Israel gets a chance to rule the ME without Iran.
 

tamsen_ikard

Captain
Registered Member
So they can continue to bomb out hospitals and stadiums while getting their entire 10+ bases in all of ME pummeled every day?

Once they ran out of interceptors to protect Israel sufficiently, it's game over. The US essentially got nothing, but lost the entire region.

Truly a great 4D chess. Stake your entire empire and even survival as a nation, so Israel gets a chance to rule the ME without Iran.
Instead of hitting these empty bases, Iran needs to hit actual air fields where US is landing and launching attacks. They need hit these planes when they are landed.

I wonder why they can't do that at all. If US is using Cyprus then they should try to hit cyprus as much as they can.
 

TPenglake

Junior Member
Registered Member
Remember that war is a deception. I never believed that US has low stockpile on missiles at all. If you really believed everything the pentagon or news media said about missile running out, you are in for a big surprise.

When US pull Thaad from Korea, it is meant to test China's response to see if they will attack Taiwan now. It is all a ruse.
Perhaps so, but the Ukraine War has been going on for 4 years now and its already a known fact amongst NATO and Israel, that their militaries were built around lightning fast decapitation strikes and surges meant to catch the enemy off guard rather than attritional warfare. That's great and all if you're going after a country like Iraq or some Latin American military, less so if you're taking on an enemy that can actually defend their territory in depth.

So maybe its deception, but I think there's plenty of real world evidence that neither the US nor its allies have the stockpiles necessary for a prolonged conflict. Ie. kinetic action that lasts longer than a month and unless they put their factories on war footing, they're in trouble. That's also not to mention that even if they did put their factories on war footing how are they going to produce what they need without Chinese rare earths.
 

EmoBirb

Junior Member
Registered Member
If I were in a position to have a serious sit down with him, I’d tell him to just bring in Chinese and Russian bases and stop these proxy antics in the region. But it’s far too late for that now.
The Proxy antics was one of the best things Iran did in the last couple hundred years. At their peak they exerted a lot of influence across the entire reason through their Proxy network. Being a general headache and especially humiliating an Arab coalition in Yemen. Only when Ivdea started to commit full blown genocide in Gaza in order to root out Hamas and indiscriminately attack Lebanon to take a jab at Hezbollah did Iranians regional influence start to erode. They got well over a decade of good use out of them though. And the Houthis and Hezbollah are still in the fight.

As for foreign bases, yes there are advantages to the idea. But neither Iran, nor Russia, nor China are in any form of formal alliance or coalition. Support between each other doesn't go beyond a certain threshold and ultimately the key objective that connects them is to counter US influence in their respective back yards. But at large each of them is subsequently doing their own thing. Iran in the MENA region, Russia in Ukraine and the Arctic and China in the Western Pacific and Indo-Pacific region. And when you have an Iran that puts a lot of effort into being as self sufficient as possible, a Russia that is fighting the entirety of the EU economy and weapons stockpiles and a passive China, then you get the situation we see now.

And it's not like a Russian base prevented Syria from descending into Chaos. And on the flip side, we see that US bases are not really protecting the Gulf States right now.

But the idea, of a joint naval or air base as a staging point in the region, it is obviously undeniably intruiging. But I don't see it happening soon, nor do I think was it ever truly on the table.
 

Serb

Senior Member
Registered Member
Instead of hitting these empty bases, Iran needs to hit actual air fields where US is landing and launching attacks. They need hit these planes when they are landed.

I wonder why they can't do that at all. If US is using Cyprus then they should try to hit cyprus as much as they can.

Since it's getting easier and easier to hit those bases, why not?

There are likely still some strategic and expensive assets left there.

The key will be hitting Israel hard, but that takes more time to break.
 

AlexYe

Senior Member
Registered Member
Is the US running out of munitions or not? Which one is it?
This isnt the type of munitions people n experts talking about, they mostly talk about interceptors and long range stand-off ones.
There's absolutely no credible source for this. Tucker Carlson first stated it as a fact without any evidence or source to back it up, and others are now just parroting it. I'm not saying that it's impossible, but absolutely zero-evidence claims should not be posted over and over again.
Qatari news posted that they arrested 'IRGC spies that were going to sabotage' But the news came out AFTER tucker let his bit out.

Yeah, I get the feeling Iran is forgiving a lot of Indian backstabbing.... I wonder how much of it is due to some strange Iranian's racism about Aryan race origin or something like that (If anyone met and talked to Iranians you'd know what I mean)
Idk about the race angle but mostly its because of business/investment ties, Iran saw india as a more 'neutral' but economically strong country it could link with, as both China n Russia are more 'controversial'
Quite ungrateful indeed. And they also begged them for help to get their diplomats out of Lebanon for which Azerbaijan send a plane. And they still proceeded to launch drones at them:

Iran has been denying this
They are basically sacrificing their entire empire, even the entire country, and its hundreds of years of existence, for one small Israel.
Well thats the point, to americans religious zealouts this will bring the rapture or closer to them, so what if american empire dies with it.
What Israel accomplished in the US is something that will be study in history books and 100 years from now.
If it ever gets into the history book in this form, a few months ago there was that clip of israeli billionaire or someone at an event going around in which he said something like
"We must make sure when the books about gaza is written its not about the victims (gazans) but about the israeli story"
US system itself being inferior and retarded from the very beginning.
This is less of state problem but a mix a Economic capture, the financialization-fiat-ing of the currency and every thing in the economy, plus huge hugggeeee work done to make american evangelists into pro-zionists.
At least the locals seems to enjoy the sight of it
Most Bahraini locals are shia and were part of Iran
  • don't believe in the legitimacy of most of their neighbors because of imperial past
??? Which country does iran not believe legitimacy of? among its neighbours, really asking
Backstabbing, weakness or both?
Prob more weakness, India navy didnt even respond to the distress.
If this goes beyond Ukrainian drone support and extends to actual ground troops, that would be so stupid. Sending soldiers highly experienced at fighting in Ukraine's forests and plains to instead fight in deserts and mountains sounds like the kind of stupid thing imperialists would do. It's like insisting on using a screwdriver as a hammer.
Man.. is US gonna force Ukrainians to become mercs for hire in middle east now.
When was the exercise announced? If it was long before the war it's just bad timing and not planned.
it ended like on 25th feb, afterwards they were downtime n stuff.
Are they selling oil contracts at a loss?
Always.

My own personal peeps from PN are saying that Iranian drones struck a US supply ship out of the hormuz strait. As in USN supply ship not cargo
 

gwel

New Member
Registered Member
Remember that war is a deception. I never believed that US has low stockpile on missiles at all. If you really believed everything the pentagon or news media said about missile running out, you are in for a big surprise.

When US pull Thaad from Korea, it is meant to test China's response to see if they will attack Taiwan now. It is all a ruse. When you are strong (lying about real missile count), appear as if you are weak (say you ran out of missiles). US is using Sun Tzu against China.

I cannot tell if this is satire or not.

The US procurement process is largely very transparent, because the funding approval process is transparent, so we have basically near perfect information of what is bought.
We also have good data of what was used.
From that it is surprisingly easy to calculate US stockpiles with very good accuracy.

Yes the US has a few hidden programs and such, but even on those we know what companies work on that, what department of that company works on it, etc.
I am unaware of any large funding going to any missile manufacturer for "secret projects" sufficient to produce any surprise missile stockpile.

Let's not forget these are publicly traded companies with shareholder responsibilities which issue detailed financial statements.
 
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