2026 Israel - Iranian conflict [TEMP LOCKED]

Will Iran-Israel conflict start again?


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meedicx

Junior Member
Registered Member
I have questions about the sustainability of US/Israeli aerial operation in Operation Epic Fury. Unlike previous bombing campaigns, these fighters and bombers need to fly vast distances which reduce the attack throughput. Fighter jets are taking off from Israel and need constant aerial refueling and US Bombers look like they're taking off from North America to bomb Iran and then going back.

Even if they achieve aerial dominance and can use their unlimited JDAMs, how much sorties can they generate when fighter jets are taking off from Israel and need constant aerial refueling? Fighter jets need special fuel and maintenance per hour flown. Also their air bases in Israel are under constant missile/drone threat.

What if the attack throughput isn't high enough and Iran can just take the hits to drag this thing out for months and years? Everyone focuses on Iran ballistic missile attack numbers decreasing, but what about US/Israel sortie numbers?
 

gaussgun

New Member
Registered Member
US air defenses may not be able to intercept many of Iran's one-way drones

Trump administration officials told lawmakers during a closed-door briefing on Capitol Hill Tuesday that Iran’s Shahed attack drones represent a major challenge and US air defenses will not be able to intercept them all, according to a source in the briefing.

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A bit late but I didn't see it
 

tokenanalyst

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
I have questions about the sustainability of US/Israeli aerial operation in Operation Epic Fury. Unlike previous bombing campaigns, these fighters and bombers need to fly vast distances which reduce the attack throughput. Fighter jets are taking off from Israel and need constant aerial refueling and US Bombers look like they're taking off from North America to bomb Iran and then going back.

Even if they achieve aerial dominance and can use their unlimited JDAMs, how much sorties can they generate when fighter jets are taking off from Israel and need constant aerial refueling? Fighter jets need special fuel and maintenance per hour flown. Also their air bases in Israel are under constant missile/drone threat.

What if the attack throughput isn't high enough and Iran can just take the hits to drag this thing out for months and years?
I predicted that they would attack Gulf Bases to create distance between their country and the US, forcing the US to fight from their Aircraft Carriers outside their missile range. Distance is one of US the biggest enemy here.
 

bebops

Junior Member
Registered Member
Carl Zha seems to be confident that China is supply raw materials, drones and ISR to Iran. It will get to Iran by railroad, Caspian sea or through countries from the east borders. He mentioned China's fully booked drone manufacturing is the reason to supply Iran some drones.

If US needs to waste patriot missile to hit drones, it will be a game changer. Drone with more explosive and higher speed is basically a cruise missile.

 

tokenanalyst

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
Carl Zha seems to be confident that China is supply raw materials, drones and ISR to Iran. It will get to Iran by railroad, Caspian sea or through countries from the east borders. He mentioned China's fully booked drone manufacturing is the reason to supply Iran some drones.

If US needs to waste patriot missile to hit drones, it will be a game changer. Drone with more explosive and higher speed is basically a cruise missile.

No just raw materials but semiconductors, motors, carbon fiber and so on. Iran has a entire network of shell companies in Central Asia for procurement.
 
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